Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 45, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jul 9, 2019, 9:14 PM CDT for Clay County, Minnesota. It took effect at Jul 10, 2019, 5:48 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2019, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 10, 2019, 5:48 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2019, 9:21 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Clay County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point South Branch Buffalo River at Sabin (SABM5). The gauge peaked at 11.61 ft at Jul 11, 2019, 9:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
313 WGUS43 KFGF 100214 FLWFGF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Warning National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 914 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 ...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a flood warning (new) for these river locations in Minnesota... new flooding is forecast to occur at... * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County. .River levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall Monday through Tuesday evening. Additional rainfall, possibly up to one-half of an inch, is possible through early Wednesday which will lead to additional rises. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-100314- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/ 914 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a new Flood Warning for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River * from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday evening. * At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Friday early afternoon. && LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666 $$
4 follow-up statements
399
WGUS83 KFGF 100626
FLSFGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
...The flood warning continues for these river locations in
Minnesota...North Dakota...
* Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties
* Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay County
* Dilworth...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County
* Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County
* Mapleton...on the Maple River ...in Cass County
>>>> ****** REMOVE Below ***********
(General Synopsis Section)
**************************
1) Enter a brief, non-technical description of
the flood situation below.
2) Remember to preceed it with a period
(as supplied in the following section).
3) Before issuing the FLW
remember to remove these instructions
****** REMOVE Above ***** <<<<
. Area river levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall from
thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday night. Additional rainfall,
possibly up to one half of an inch, is possible through this morning
which will lead to additional rises.
This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.
Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change
as new weather and river information is used.
River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise.
However, depending on the situation, they may include
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...turn around, don't drown...
- Don't travel through flooded areas!
- Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life
and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.
- Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river
levels while the river is in, or near, flood.
For more information...go to the AHPS/River section
on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks
&&
MNC027-NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190713T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor
flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet this
weekend.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed
(Moorhead).
&&
DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:
Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
(month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17
Red River
Fargo 19.8 20.1 20.4 20.5 20.1 19.7 M
&&
LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673
$$
MNC027-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* from this afternoon to Saturday evening...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday afternoon then
begin to fall.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 14.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins.
&&
DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:
Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
(month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17
S. Buffalo River
Sabin 13.3 13.4 12.5 11.0 9.6 8.5 M
&&
LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666
$$
MNC027-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190711T0000Z-190716T1400Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.190711T0000Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* from this evening to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue
to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to
flood.
&&
DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:
Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
(month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17
Buffalo River
Dilworth 13.0 13.1 15.2 15.3 13.2 10.6 M
&&
LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682
$$
NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.190710T1200Z-190715T2125Z/
/HWDN8.1.ER.190710T1200Z.190713T0600Z.190714T1525Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River.
* from this morning to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 83.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 84.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday morning and
continue to rise to near 85.8 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.
&&
DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:
Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
(month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17
Sheyenne River
Harwood 84.3 84.9 85.8 85.0 82.5 80.8 M
&&
LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698
$$
NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T1900Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0601Z.190711T0600Z.190713T1300Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this morning and
continue to rise to near 20.9 feet by Thursday morning, then begin
falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.
&&
DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:
Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
(month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17
Maple River
Mapleton 20.9 20.5 18.7 16.7 15.7 15.3 M
&&
LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732
4694 9710
$$162 WGUS83 KFGF 100630 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County * Mapleton...on the Maple River ...in Cass County . Area river levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall from thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday night. Additional rainfall, possibly up to one half of an inch, is possible through this morning which will lead to additional rises. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-111830- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190713T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet this weekend. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed (Moorhead). && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Red River Fargo 19.8 20.1 20.4 20.5 20.1 19.7 M && LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673 $$ MNC027-111830- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/ 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River. * from this afternoon to Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday afternoon then begin to fall. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins. && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 S. Buffalo River Sabin 13.3 13.4 12.5 11.0 9.6 8.5 M && LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666 $$ MNC027-111830- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190711T0000Z-190716T1400Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.190711T0000Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/ 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * from this evening to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to flood. && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Buffalo River Dilworth 13.0 13.1 15.2 15.3 13.2 10.6 M && LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682 $$ NDC017-111830- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.190710T1200Z-190715T2125Z/ /HWDN8.1.ER.190710T1200Z.190713T0600Z.190714T1525Z.NO/ 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River. * from this morning to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 83.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 84.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage this morning and continue to rise to near 85.8 feet by Saturday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Sheyenne River Harwood 84.3 84.9 85.8 85.0 82.5 80.8 M && LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698 $$ NDC017-111830- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T1900Z/ /MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0607Z.190711T0600Z.190713T1300Z.NO/ 130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Mapleton...on the Maple River. * until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...rise to near 20.9 feet by Thursday morning, then begin falling. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Maple River Mapleton 20.9 20.5 18.7 16.7 15.7 15.3 M && LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732 4694 9710 $$
394 WGUS83 KFGF 101547 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Polk...Grand Forks and Walsh Counties * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Mapleton...on the Maple River...in Cass County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in North Dakota... * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County .This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-111545- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190717T0000Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190711T1200Z.190715T1800Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Tuesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet sometime Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Monday early afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed (Moorhead). && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Red River Fargo 20.5 20.5 20.1 19.3 18.2 17.4 17.0 && LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-111545- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0046.190714T0051Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.1.ER.190714T0051Z.190715T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Saturday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday evening and continue to rise to near 28.0 feet by Monday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 28.0 on Monday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Red River Oslo 15.9 19.5 24.1 27.1 28.0 27.9 27.1 && LAT...LON 4848 9725 4846 9706 4807 9698 4810 9721 $$ MNC027-111545- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190711T1800Z-190713T2100Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.190711T1800Z.190712T0000Z.190712T1500Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River. * from Thursday afternoon to Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.1 feet by Thursday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by late Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.1 on Thursday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, MINOR FLOOD. Flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 S. Buffalo River Sabin 12.8 13.1 12.2 10.5 9.0 8.0 7.4 && LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666 $$ MNC027-111545- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190710T1800Z-190716T1400Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.190710T1800Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this early afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.2 feet by this evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.2 this evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to flood. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Buffalo River Dilworth 13.1 13.5 15.4 15.0 12.6 10.1 8.3 && LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682 $$ NDC017-111545- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190715T1400Z/ /HWDN8.2.ER.190710T0825Z.190712T1200Z.190714T0800Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River. * until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 84.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 86.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 87.0 feet sometime Friday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Sheyenne River Harwood 85.9 87.0 86.4 83.4 80.5 79.7 79.5 && LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698 $$ NDC017-111545- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T0900Z/ /MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0607Z.190711T1200Z.190713T0300Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Mapleton...on the Maple River. * until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.9 feet sometime Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Friday night. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Maple River Mapleton 20.9 19.7 16.9 15.3 14.7 14.4 14.2 && LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732 4694 9710 $$
307 WGUS83 KFGF 110221 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 921 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 ...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in Minnesota... * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-110251- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-190713T2100Z/ /SABM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019 The Flood Warning is cancelled for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River. * At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.9 feet. * Forecast...the river will crest below Flood Stage at 12.2 feet early Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 12.2 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 12.0 feet, ACTION STAGE/FORECAST SERVICE STAGE. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 07/11 07/12 07/13 07/14 07/15 07/16 07/17 Sabin 12.0 12.1 11.0 9.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 && LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 9, 6:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 6:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 Adjustments made to reflect current trends in shower/thunderstorm activity. Radar has been deceptive to to very moist/warm rain process with even light returns associated with moderate to sometimes heavy rainfall in our north. This is transition north and east, but clusters of showers/storms filling in in our souther CWA. Lull still expected across our south, later this evening with loss of daytime heating/favorable lapse rates in those areas. Better forcing still lingers north ahead of deformation zone overnight some northern locations may continue to have at least scattered showers through the evening. Deformation zone then tracks west to east overnight into Wed morning, with period of widespread rain/embedded thunder north of Highway 200. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 307 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 Area of showers will continue to move northward through the region. Most areas have received 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain from this recent period of rain. Not much if any lightning with this activity. The southern parts of the region are drying, with satellite showing a few breaks in the clouds. This brings up the next concern of storms across the southern forecast area. MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/KG along a surface boundary with adequate low level vorticity and effective shear around 30 knots. An ideal low topped supercell environment (see mesoscale discussion issued earlier). Tonight-Wednesday...Upper level low propagates eastward. Anticipate deformation band rain showers to move through the region by late tonight and into Wednesday, along with gusty northerly winds. High pressure moves in by later in the day on Wednesday. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 307 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 Return flow on Thursday will bring warmer temperatures and increasing moisture again as surface high pressure retreats over Wisconsin. Expect breezy conditions as the pressure gradient begins to tighten up. Otherwise...some shower and storm activity will trigger ahead of the system. Behind the system...winds will become more northerly but only expecting slight cooling. Friday through Sunday will see a more progressive pattern as the mean jet position lays along the international border. A series of impulses will traverse the flow and bring additional chances for light precipitation. The next significant system to cross the region is forecast to be late Sunday into early Monday. Temperatures will rebound to above seasonal norms...with another batch of precipitation to accompany it...to end the period. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 Cluster of thunderstorms tracking east of KFAR with additional activity possibly developing west. Better coverage of showers along/north of Highway 2 in MN and north central ND. Eventually this evening activity in the south should end, but terminals along Highway 2 may still have vicinity showers through most of the TAF period. Next period of widespread showers will be after 08Z in ND and 12Z in MN. MVFR CIGS lingering across parts of the region, and while periods of VFR possible through tonight, best chance for prolonged prevailing VFR conditions won't be until late Wed afternoon as system begins to move east of the region. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && UPDATE...DJR SHORT TERM...TG LONG TERM...Hopkins AVIATION...DJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 3:41 PM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 341 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-101215- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland-Western Walsh County- 341 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Isolated severe thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening across southeast North Dakota and adjacent portions of Minnesota. Threats include hail up to 1.5 inches and wind gusts to 60 mph. A tornado is also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday The next main chances of thunderstorms will occur Thursday evening and again next Monday. The atmosphere is such so that it is possible strong or severe storms may occur. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. dtr/TG
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 7:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 715 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 MNZ003-027-100100- West Becker MN-Clay MN- 715 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CLAY AND WESTERN BECKER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT... At 714 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Dale, or 17 miles west of Detroit Lakes, moving northeast at 15 mph. Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm; brief funnel clouds possible. Locations impacted include... Hawley, Lake Park, Callaway, Westbury, Dale and Detroit Lakes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service office in Grand Forks. && LAT...LON 4675 9627 4691 9637 4709 9592 4684 9577 TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 247DEG 15KT 4687 9619 Lynch
Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
733 PM CDT TUE JUL 9 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0558 PM TORNADO 2 S RUSTAD 46.70N 96.74W
07/09/2019 Clay MN STORM CHASER
REPORT AND VIDEO SHOW INTERMITTENT GROUND CONTACTS FOR
ABOUT A HALF MILE OR SO OVER MAINLY OPEN FIELDS. THE
TORNADO LIKELY ENDED BY 6PM CDT.
&&
GGUSTSpecial weather statement, Jul 9, 8:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 805 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 MNZ027-028-100145- West Becker MN-East Becker MN- 805 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BECKER COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM CDT... At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Detroit Lakes, moving east at 25 mph. Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Detroit Lakes, Height Of Land Lake, Shoreham, Rochert, Westbury, Frazee and southwestern Toad Lake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service office in Grand Forks. && LAT...LON 4672 9599 4688 9604 4703 9557 4674 9546 TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 254DEG 21KT 4683 9587 Lynch
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:29 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
829 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019
MNZ030-031-100215-
East Otter Tail MN-West Otter Tail MN-
829 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY
UNTIL 915 PM CDT...
At 829 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Amor, or 20 miles northeast of Fergus Falls, moving northeast at 20
mph.
Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Perham, Ottertail Lake, New York Mills, Battle Lake, Ottertail, Deer
Creek and Bluffton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.
&&
LAT...LON 4631 9580 4642 9586 4651 9583 4668 9537
4642 9519 4627 9566
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 246DEG 17KT 4644 9570
LynchLocal storm report, Jul 9, 9:01 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
901 PM CDT TUE JUL 9 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 PM TSTM WND GST 4 E OTTERTAIL 46.43N 95.47W
07/09/2019 E60 MPH Otter Tail MN TRAINED SPOTTER
WINDS ROCKING THE VEHICLE WITH SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED
BRANCHES LITTERING THE ROADWAY. HAIL UP TO HALF IN
DIAMETER.
&&
GGUSTSpecial weather statement, Jul 9, 9:04 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 904 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 MNZ027-028-031-100245- West Becker MN-East Otter Tail MN-East Becker MN- 904 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL OTTER TAIL AND SOUTHEASTERN BECKER COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT... At 904 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Frazee, or 7 miles east of Detroit Lakes, moving northeast at 20 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Frazee, Toad Lake, Height Of Land Lake, Wolf Lake, Rochert, Evergreen and Snellman. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service office in Grand Forks. && LAT...LON 4667 9571 4681 9584 4702 9550 4678 9531 TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 238DEG 19KT 4677 9569 Lynch
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 7:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Becker | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 8:05 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Becker | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 8:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Otter Tail | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Otter Tail | 43 min |
| Jul 9, 9:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Becker | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Otter Tail, Wadena | 27 min |
| Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Wadena | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 10:29 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FGF | Marshall, Polk | 8 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.