Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 45, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 9, 2019Clay County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jul 9, 2019, 9:14 PM CDT for Clay County, Minnesota. It took effect at Jul 10, 2019, 5:48 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2019, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 10, 2019, 5:48 PM CDT
Expired
Jul 10, 2019, 9:21 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Branch Buffalo River at Sabin (SABM5). The gauge peaked at 11.61 ft at Jul 11, 2019, 9:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101507/1007/1107/12
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

313 
WGUS43 KFGF 100214
FLWFGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
914 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a 
   flood warning (new) for these river locations in Minnesota...

  new flooding is forecast to occur at...
  *  Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County.
  
.River levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall Monday through 
Tuesday evening. Additional rainfall, possibly up to one-half 
of an inch, is possible through early Wednesday which will lead to 
additional rises.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-100314-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/
914 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a 
 new Flood Warning for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. The
  river will fall below Flood Stage by Friday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666

$$
4 follow-up statements
399 
WGUS83 KFGF 100626
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019


...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties
  * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay County
  * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County
  * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County
  * Mapleton...on the Maple River ...in Cass County

 >>>>     ******  REMOVE Below  ***********
          (General Synopsis Section)
          **************************
    1) Enter a brief, non-technical description of 
       the flood situation below.
 
    2) Remember to preceed it with a period 
       (as supplied in the following section).
 
    3) Before issuing the FLW 
           remember to remove these instructions    
           ******  REMOVE Above  *****  <<<<
 
. Area river levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall from 
thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday night. Additional rainfall, 
possibly up to one half of an inch, is possible through this morning 
which will lead to additional rises.

  This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. 
However, depending on the situation, they may include 
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190713T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet this 
  weekend.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed 
  (Moorhead).

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Red River
  Fargo             19.8   20.1   20.4   20.5   20.1   19.7     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673


$$

MNC027-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* from this afternoon to Saturday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday afternoon then 
  begin to fall.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 14.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

S. Buffalo River
  Sabin             13.3   13.4   12.5   11.0    9.6    8.5     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666


$$

MNC027-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190711T0000Z-190716T1400Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.190711T0000Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* from this evening to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to 
  flood.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Buffalo River
  Dilworth          13.0   13.1   15.2   15.3   13.2   10.6     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682


$$

NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.190710T1200Z-190715T2125Z/
/HWDN8.1.ER.190710T1200Z.190713T0600Z.190714T1525Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River.
* from this morning to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 83.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 84.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 85.8 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Sheyenne River
  Harwood           84.3   84.9   85.8   85.0   82.5   80.8     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698


$$

NDC017-111826-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T1900Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0601Z.190711T0600Z.190713T1300Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.9 feet by Thursday morning, then begin 
  falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Maple River
  Mapleton          20.9   20.5   18.7   16.7   15.7   15.3     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732
4694 9710                             

$$
162 
WGUS83 KFGF 100630
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019


...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties
  * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay County
  * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County
  * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County
  * Mapleton...on the Maple River ...in Cass County
 
. Area river levels are on the rise due to heavy rainfall from 
thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday night. Additional rainfall, 
possibly up to one half of an inch, is possible through this morning 
which will lead to additional rises.

  This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. 
However, depending on the situation, they may include 
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-NDC017-111830-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190713T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet this 
  weekend.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed 
  (Moorhead).

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Red River
  Fargo             19.8   20.1   20.4   20.5   20.1   19.7     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673


$$

MNC027-111830-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190710T2248Z-190714T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.190710T2248Z.190711T1800Z.190712T1800Z.NO/
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* from this afternoon to Saturday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Thursday afternoon then 
  begin to fall.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 14.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

S. Buffalo River
  Sabin             13.3   13.4   12.5   11.0    9.6    8.5     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666


$$

MNC027-111830-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190711T0000Z-190716T1400Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.190711T0000Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* from this evening to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to 
  flood.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Buffalo River
  Dilworth          13.0   13.1   15.2   15.3   13.2   10.6     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682


$$

NDC017-111830-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.190710T1200Z-190715T2125Z/
/HWDN8.1.ER.190710T1200Z.190713T0600Z.190714T1525Z.NO/
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River.
* from this morning to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 83.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 84.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 85.8 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Sheyenne River
  Harwood           84.3   84.9   85.8   85.0   82.5   80.8     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698


$$

NDC017-111830-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T1900Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0607Z.190711T0600Z.190713T1300Z.NO/
130 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise to near 20.9 feet by Thursday morning, then begin 
  falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Maple River
  Mapleton          20.9   20.5   18.7   16.7   15.7   15.3     M 
  
&&

LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732
4694 9710                             

$$
394 
WGUS83 KFGF 101547
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties
  * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Polk...Grand Forks and 
  Walsh Counties
  * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County
  * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County
  * Mapleton...on the Maple River...in Cass County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in North 
Dakota...

  * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County

 
.This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-NDC017-111545-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190717T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.190710T0024Z.190711T1200Z.190715T1800Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.5 feet sometime 
  Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Monday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, 3rd Street underpass is closed 
  (Moorhead).

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Red River
  Fargo             20.5   20.5   20.1   19.3   18.2   17.4   17.0
  
&&

LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-111545-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0046.190714T0051Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.190714T0051Z.190715T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River.
* from Saturday evening until further notice...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 28.0 feet by Monday mid-morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 28.0 on Monday mid-morning during
  this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Red River
  Oslo              15.9   19.5   24.1   27.1   28.0   27.9   27.1
  
&&

LAT...LON 4848 9725 4846 9706 4807 9698 4810 9721


$$

MNC027-111545-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0045.190711T1800Z-190713T2100Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.190711T1800Z.190712T0000Z.190712T1500Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday afternoon...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 13.1 feet by Thursday evening. The river 
  will fall below Flood Stage by late Friday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 13.1 on Thursday evening during 
  this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, MINOR FLOOD. Flooding on road 
  cut at old meander scar east of gage begins.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

S. Buffalo River
  Sabin             12.8   13.1   12.2   10.5    9.0    8.0    7.4
  
&&

LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666


$$

MNC027-111545-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0041.190710T1800Z-190716T1400Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.190710T1800Z.190713T1800Z.190715T0800Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this early afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 13.2 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 13.2 this evening during 
  this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to 
  flood.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Buffalo River
  Dilworth          13.1   13.5   15.4   15.0   12.6   10.1    8.3
  
&&

LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682


$$

NDC017-111545-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190715T1400Z/
/HWDN8.2.ER.190710T0825Z.190712T1200Z.190714T0800Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River.
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 84.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 86.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 87.0 feet sometime 
  Friday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 86.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Sheyenne River
  Harwood           85.9   87.0   86.4   83.4   80.5   79.7   79.5
  
&&

LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698


$$

NDC017-111545-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-190714T0900Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.190710T0607Z.190711T1200Z.190713T0300Z.NO/
1047 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.9 feet sometime 
  Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Friday 
  night.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 21.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17

Maple River
  Mapleton          20.9   19.7   16.9   15.3   14.7   14.4   14.2
  
&&

LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732
4694 9710                             

$$
307 
WGUS83 KFGF 110221
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
921 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River...in Clay County  
  
  This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. 
However, depending on the situation, they may include 
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-110251-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-190713T2100Z/
/SABM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Forecast...the river will crest below Flood Stage at 12.2 feet 
  early Friday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 12.2 on early Friday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 12.0 feet, ACTION STAGE/FORECAST SERVICE 
  STAGE.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed
(month/day)         07/11  07/12  07/13  07/14  07/15  07/16  07/17
  Sabin             12.0   12.1   11.0    9.6    8.5    7.7    7.1
  
&&

LAT...LON 4689 9670 4686 9657 4663 9650 4663 9666


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 9, 6:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 6:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

Adjustments made to reflect current trends in shower/thunderstorm
activity. Radar has been deceptive to to very moist/warm rain
process with even light returns associated with moderate to
sometimes heavy rainfall in our north. This is transition north
and east, but clusters of showers/storms filling in in our
souther CWA. Lull still expected across our south, later this
evening with loss of daytime heating/favorable lapse rates in
those areas. Better forcing still lingers north ahead of
deformation zone overnight some northern locations may continue to
have at least scattered showers through the evening. Deformation
zone then tracks west to east overnight into Wed morning, with
period of widespread rain/embedded thunder north of Highway 200.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

Area of showers will continue to move northward through the
region. Most areas have received 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain from
this recent period of rain. Not much if any lightning with this
activity.

The southern parts of the region are drying, with satellite
showing a few breaks in the clouds. This brings up the next
concern of storms across the southern forecast area. MLCAPE
1000-1500 J/KG along a surface boundary with adequate low level
vorticity and effective shear around 30 knots. An ideal low topped
supercell environment (see mesoscale discussion issued earlier).

Tonight-Wednesday...Upper level low propagates eastward.
Anticipate deformation band rain showers to move through the
region by late tonight and into Wednesday, along with gusty
northerly winds. High pressure moves in by later in the day on
Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

Return flow on Thursday will bring warmer temperatures and
increasing moisture again as surface high pressure retreats over
Wisconsin. Expect breezy conditions as the pressure gradient begins
to tighten up. Otherwise...some shower and storm activity will
trigger ahead of the system. Behind the system...winds will become
more northerly but only expecting slight cooling.

Friday through Sunday will see a more progressive pattern as the
mean jet position lays along the international border. A series of
impulses will traverse the flow and bring additional chances for
light precipitation.

The next significant system to cross the region is forecast to be
late Sunday into early Monday. Temperatures will rebound to above
seasonal norms...with another batch of precipitation to accompany
it...to end the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

Cluster of thunderstorms tracking east of KFAR with additional
activity possibly developing west. Better coverage of showers
along/north of Highway 2 in MN and north central ND. Eventually
this evening activity in the south should end, but terminals along
Highway 2 may still have vicinity showers through most of the TAF
period. Next period of widespread showers will be after 08Z in ND
and 12Z in MN. MVFR CIGS lingering across parts of the region,
and while periods of VFR possible through tonight, best chance for
prolonged prevailing VFR conditions won't be until late Wed
afternoon as system begins to move east of the region.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...DJR
SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...Hopkins
AVIATION...DJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 3:41 PM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
341 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-101215-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh County-
341 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening
across southeast North Dakota and adjacent portions of Minnesota.
Threats include hail up to 1.5 inches and wind gusts to 60 mph. A
tornado is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The next main chances of thunderstorms will occur Thursday
evening and again next Monday. The atmosphere is such so that it
is possible strong or severe storms may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

dtr/TG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 7:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
715 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

MNZ003-027-100100-
West Becker MN-Clay MN-
715 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CLAY AND WESTERN
BECKER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

At 714 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Dale, or 17 miles west of Detroit Lakes, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm; brief
funnel clouds possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hawley, Lake Park, Callaway, Westbury, Dale and Detroit Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4675 9627 4691 9637 4709 9592 4684 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 247DEG 15KT 4687 9619

Lynch
Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
733 PM CDT TUE JUL 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TORNADO          2 S RUSTAD              46.70N 96.74W
07/09/2019                   Clay               MN   STORM CHASER

            REPORT AND VIDEO SHOW INTERMITTENT GROUND CONTACTS FOR
            ABOUT A HALF MILE OR SO OVER MAINLY OPEN FIELDS. THE
            TORNADO LIKELY ENDED BY 6PM CDT.

&&

GGUST
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
805 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

MNZ027-028-100145-
West Becker MN-East Becker MN-
805 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BECKER COUNTY UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Detroit Lakes, moving east at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Detroit Lakes, Height Of Land Lake, Shoreham, Rochert, Westbury,
Frazee and southwestern Toad Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4672 9599 4688 9604 4703 9557 4674 9546
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 254DEG 21KT 4683 9587

Lynch
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:29 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
829 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

MNZ030-031-100215-
East Otter Tail MN-West Otter Tail MN-
829 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY
UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

At 829 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Amor, or 20 miles northeast of Fergus Falls, moving northeast at 20
mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Perham, Ottertail Lake, New York Mills, Battle Lake, Ottertail, Deer
Creek and Bluffton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4631 9580 4642 9586 4651 9583 4668 9537
      4642 9519 4627 9566
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 246DEG 17KT 4644 9570

Lynch
Local storm report, Jul 9, 9:01 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
901 PM CDT TUE JUL 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E OTTERTAIL           46.43N 95.47W
07/09/2019  E60 MPH          Otter Tail         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS ROCKING THE VEHICLE WITH SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED
            BRANCHES LITTERING THE ROADWAY. HAIL UP TO HALF IN
            DIAMETER.

&&

GGUST
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 9:04 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
904 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

MNZ027-028-031-100245-
West Becker MN-East Otter Tail MN-East Becker MN-
904 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL OTTER TAIL AND
SOUTHEASTERN BECKER COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

At 904 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Frazee, or 7 miles east of Detroit Lakes, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Frazee, Toad Lake, Height Of Land Lake, Wolf Lake, Rochert, Evergreen
and Snellman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4667 9571 4681 9584 4702 9550 4678 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 238DEG 19KT 4677 9569

Lynch

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFBecker45 min
Jul 9, 8:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFBecker40 min
Jul 9, 8:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFOtter Tail46 min
Jul 9, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail43 min
Jul 9, 9:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFBecker41 min
Jul 9, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail, Wadena27 min
Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFWadena65 min
Jul 10, 10:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFMarshall, Polk8 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.