Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
152 PM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1129 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

UPDATE...
The upper low is slowly trekking across portions of south
alabama. Have made minor tweaks to hourly POPs over the next
several hours, but overall the forecast is on track with scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 407 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...
An upper level low in conjunction with a surface a low centered over
eastern central Mississippi and western Alabama is expected to
continue to track east through the day today. A front is expected to
push through the area followed by the center of the surface low
later this afternoon.

Ongoing showers with embedded thunderstorms across central Georgia
are expected to spread north and east across the area through the
morning hours before more scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected again this afternoon and evening. A few
storms may become strong to severe today, with the best chances
across east and central Georgia. The main threats with any stronger
storms will be damaging winds and hail. SPC has included much of
eastern and central Georgia in a Slight Risk for severe storms.
Rainfall totals through tonight are expected to range from half an
inch to about an inch with locally higher amounts possible with any
stronger storms. As the low pushes across the area, showers and
thunderstorms are expected to come to an end overnight tonight
pushing east out of the area. High temperatures this afternoon will
be in the 70s with some spots reaching the 80s further south. Lows
overnight are still above average but are expected to be cooler than
previous nights with lows in the upper 40s across the mountains and
50s/low 60s elsewhere.

As the upper level trough moves out of the southeast on Wednesday,
high pressure moves in and a wedge expected to build into the
northeastern portion of the CWA. Overall, Wednesday is expected to
be dry with high temperatures in the 70s and 80s across the area.

Reaves

LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...  /Issued 407 AM EDT
Tue Apr 9 2019/
The beginning of the long term starts out in between systems with
dry and stable weather. The first of two short waves and
associated surface cold front will move across the southeast
Thursday night and Friday bringing increasing chances of showers
and thunderstorms Thursday night and Friday with the best chances
across north Georgia. The cold front stalls across central Georgia
Friday night and Saturday as the next short wave and cold front
develops over the southern plains. This system will move across
the CWA Sunday bringing increasing CAPES and shear Sunday. The
main focus for strong to severe storms will be along and ahead of
the cold front that will move across the CWA Sunday. Drier air
spreads across the CWA Sunday night and Monday.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

MVFR/VFR CIGs across the area will deteriorate to MVFR with ant
TSRA, expected 19-01Z across the TAF sites. Gusty variable winds
will be possible in and around storms. Winds are mostly light,
7kts or less out of the SE and SW, they should favor NE/NW after
00Z before wavering back out of the NE/E during the day Wednesday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  54  77  53 /  70  40   0   5
Atlanta         74  56  78  59 /  70  20   0   5
Blairsville     72  47  75  51 /  60  20   0   0
Cartersville    75  52  79  55 /  60  20   0   5
Columbus        76  58  82  61 /  80  30   0   5
Gainesville     74  54  75  56 /  70  20   0   5
Macon           76  58  79  54 /  70  50   5   0
Rome            76  52  80  55 /  50  10   0   0
Peachtree City  75  55  80  55 /  70  20   0   5
Vidalia         80  62  79  59 /  60  60  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Reaves

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated severe storms possible today, mainly across central and
parts of northeast Georgia.

A strong storm system centered over Mississippi will move eastward
across Georgia today. This will destabilize the atmosphere across
north and central Georgia. The result will be scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms, a few of which could be
severe. The main hazards will be damaging winds and large hail.
The potential for severe thunderstorm development should taper off
by 6 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another strong storm system will move over Georgia late this week
and into the weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop Thursday night into Saturday. A strong
cold front will move across the region Sunday, destabilizing the
atmosphere further. This will result in a few storms becoming
strong to severe, mainly Sunday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
322 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

GAZ069>071-092000-
Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Upson GA-
322 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN LAMAR...SOUTHWESTERN
MONROE AND NORTHEASTERN UPSON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 321 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Redbone, moving
northeast at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Barnesville, Yatesville, Aldora, Redbone, Goggins, Collier,
Johnstonville and Brent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3289 8414 3299 8423 3312 8415 3307 8399
      3293 8394
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 232DEG 6KT 3297 8412

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
324 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

GAZ073-074-084-092015-
Wilkinson GA-Washington GA-Baldwin GA-
324 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WILKINSON...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN BALDWIN COUNTIES UNTIL 415
PM EDT...

At 324 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near McIntyre, moving east
at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
McIntyre, Oconee and Hebron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3283 8297 3285 8326 3293 8329 3305 8310
      3307 8308 3306 8307 3308 8306 3297 8295
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 248DEG 13KT 3290 8321

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
325 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

GAZ006>008-014-092000-
Gilmer GA-Dawson GA-Union GA-Fannin GA-
325 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GILMER...WESTERN
DAWSON...SOUTHWESTERN UNION AND SOUTHEASTERN FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL
400 PM EDT...

At 325 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Jones Creek to near Stover Creek Shelter to near
Pisgah to near Fausett Lake...and moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Amicalola Falls State Park, Dial, Springer Mountain Shelter, Len
Foote Hike Inn, Margret, Pisgah, Black Gap Shelter, Stover Creek
Shelter, Hawk Mountain Shelter, Jones Creek and Fausett Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3488 8410 3480 8396 3469 8410 3466 8412
      3465 8416 3461 8419 3458 8419 3456 8421
      3439 8421 3443 8426 3447 8426 3447 8431
      3448 8433 3453 8434 3471 8433
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 195DEG 10KT 3484 8408 3469 8426 3469 8426 3449
8428

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
330 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

GAZ053-054-092000-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-
330 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE AND
SOUTHEASTERN COWETA COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 330 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm with intense rainfall was
centered near Turin, or 11 miles southeast of Newnan...moving east
at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain will likely cause
           temporary street flooding especially in poor drainage
           areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Peachtree City, Senoia, Brooks, Sharpsburg, Turin, Haralson and
Starrs Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3335 8469 3340 8450 3330 8446 3326 8448
      3326 8450 3325 8450 3325 8451 3323 8450
      3322 8450 3322 8465 3323 8465 3322 8468
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 265DEG 14KT 3329 8463

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH