Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
152 PM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1129 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

UPDATE...
The upper low is slowly trekking across portions of south
alabama. Have made minor tweaks to hourly POPs over the next
several hours, but overall the forecast is on track with scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 407 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...
An upper level low in conjunction with a surface a low centered over
eastern central Mississippi and western Alabama is expected to
continue to track east through the day today. A front is expected to
push through the area followed by the center of the surface low
later this afternoon.

Ongoing showers with embedded thunderstorms across central Georgia
are expected to spread north and east across the area through the
morning hours before more scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected again this afternoon and evening. A few
storms may become strong to severe today, with the best chances
across east and central Georgia. The main threats with any stronger
storms will be damaging winds and hail. SPC has included much of
eastern and central Georgia in a Slight Risk for severe storms.
Rainfall totals through tonight are expected to range from half an
inch to about an inch with locally higher amounts possible with any
stronger storms. As the low pushes across the area, showers and
thunderstorms are expected to come to an end overnight tonight
pushing east out of the area. High temperatures this afternoon will
be in the 70s with some spots reaching the 80s further south. Lows
overnight are still above average but are expected to be cooler than
previous nights with lows in the upper 40s across the mountains and
50s/low 60s elsewhere.

As the upper level trough moves out of the southeast on Wednesday,
high pressure moves in and a wedge expected to build into the
northeastern portion of the CWA. Overall, Wednesday is expected to
be dry with high temperatures in the 70s and 80s across the area.

Reaves

LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...  /Issued 407 AM EDT
Tue Apr 9 2019/
The beginning of the long term starts out in between systems with
dry and stable weather. The first of two short waves and
associated surface cold front will move across the southeast
Thursday night and Friday bringing increasing chances of showers
and thunderstorms Thursday night and Friday with the best chances
across north Georgia. The cold front stalls across central Georgia
Friday night and Saturday as the next short wave and cold front
develops over the southern plains. This system will move across
the CWA Sunday bringing increasing CAPES and shear Sunday. The
main focus for strong to severe storms will be along and ahead of
the cold front that will move across the CWA Sunday. Drier air
spreads across the CWA Sunday night and Monday.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

MVFR/VFR CIGs across the area will deteriorate to MVFR with ant
TSRA, expected 19-01Z across the TAF sites. Gusty variable winds
will be possible in and around storms. Winds are mostly light,
7kts or less out of the SE and SW, they should favor NE/NW after
00Z before wavering back out of the NE/E during the day Wednesday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  54  77  53 /  70  40   0   5
Atlanta         74  56  78  59 /  70  20   0   5
Blairsville     72  47  75  51 /  60  20   0   0
Cartersville    75  52  79  55 /  60  20   0   5
Columbus        76  58  82  61 /  80  30   0   5
Gainesville     74  54  75  56 /  70  20   0   5
Macon           76  58  79  54 /  70  50   5   0
Rome            76  52  80  55 /  50  10   0   0
Peachtree City  75  55  80  55 /  70  20   0   5
Vidalia         80  62  79  59 /  60  60  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Reaves

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated severe storms possible today, mainly across central and
parts of northeast Georgia.

A strong storm system centered over Mississippi will move eastward
across Georgia today. This will destabilize the atmosphere across
north and central Georgia. The result will be scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms, a few of which could be
severe. The main hazards will be damaging winds and large hail.
The potential for severe thunderstorm development should taper off
by 6 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another strong storm system will move over Georgia late this week
and into the weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop Thursday night into Saturday. A strong
cold front will move across the region Sunday, destabilizing the
atmosphere further. This will result in a few storms becoming
strong to severe, mainly Sunday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

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