River Flood Warning 52, NWS Atlanta, GA

775 
WGUS82 KFFC 241440
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Coosa River near Plant Hammond affecting Floyd County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 


GAC083-TNC065-250438-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190125T1300Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190124T0205Z.190124T1800Z.190125T0700Z.UU/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand along Sells Lane 
  in Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. These roads and other roads with creeks flowing into 
  Lookout Creek will flood causing the roads to be closed. The water 
  will be a few feet deep on portions of these roads. Also minor 
  flooding will continue to expand downstream as the creek crosses 
  the Tennessee border into the Tiftona area.


&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-250438-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-190126T2324Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190124T1045Z.190125T1800Z.190126T1724Z.UU/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 16.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by early Friday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early 
  afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC055-250438-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190125T0600Z/
/SUMG1.1.ER.190124T1545Z.190124T1800Z.190125T0000Z.NO/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* From late this morning until late tonight.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by this afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by this evening.
* At 16 feet...Minor flooding continues and expands further into 
  the woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream 
  from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 or Rome Boulevard. 


&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC115-250438-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMG1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190124T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Plant Hammond.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 570.5 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 570 feet.
* At 570 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage behind Plant Hammond. A boat ramp near the
  intakes of the plant will be under water. A small portion of an 
  access road near and under the Georgia Highway 100 bridge will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3425 8531 3420 8536 3421 8539 3427 8542 3428 8537


$$

GAC117-242051-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-190124T2051Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.190124T0645Z.190124T1200Z.190124T1451Z.UU/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 7 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the natural 
  flood plain of the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Atlanta Highway or Georgia Highway 9. Large portions of the 
  sidewalk and boardwalk of the Big Creek Greenway will be flooded. 
  The areas under the Georgia 400 Highway and McFarland Road will be 
  covered with around two feet of water. A portion of the sidewalk 
  under Majors Road will be covered with around 3 feet of water. 

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-250438-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-190126T1108Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190124T0625Z.190125T1800Z.190126T0508Z.NO/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.2 feet by early Friday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC063-113-255-250438-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0052.190125T0322Z-190125T1612Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.190125T0322Z.190125T0600Z.190125T1012Z.NO/
940 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* From tonight until Friday morning.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 12.7 feet by after midnight.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Friday.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. 


&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

466 
WGUS82 KFFC 250122
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
822 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 


GAC063-113-255-251522-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0052.190125T0122Z-190125T1727Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.190125T0122Z.190125T0600Z.190125T1127Z.NO/
822 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* From this evening until Friday afternoon.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 13.0 feet after midnight tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. 
 

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC077-113-255-251522-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.190124T1548Z.190124T1901Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 10.0 feet...and 
  falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* At 10.0 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

GAC093-251332-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-190125T1332Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.190124T1810Z.190125T0000Z.190125T0732Z.NO/
822 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet...and 
  falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage Friday.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodland areas 
  upstream and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90.
  Larger portions of creek access roads will flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.8 feet on Feb 5 2011.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$

029 
WGUS82 KFFC 250517
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1217 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

 
GAC063-113-255-251057-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190125T1057Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.190125T0200Z.190125T0330Z.190125T0457Z.NO/
1217 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...Flood Warning extended until early this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until early this morning.
* At midnight Friday morning the stage was 12.0 feet, and starting to 
  fall.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* At 12 feet, minor flooding occurs. Several holes and fairways on the 
  Rivers Edge Golf Course will flood and flooding of some yards occurs 
  upstream of gage between Upper Riverdale Road and Highway 138.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

184 
WGUS82 KFFC 250611
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
111 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties

 
GAC063-113-255-250641-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190125T1057Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.190125T0200Z.190125T0330Z.190125T0515Z.NO/
111 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until early this morning.
* At 1245 AM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* Between 9 and 12 feet bankfull conditions occur with high water 
  spread out into the flood plain.

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
635 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

The cold front was just east of Athens to Macon this morning and
will continue to push eastward. Some light rain is lingering behind
the front into north and west GA...but think we will see drying from
the west around 12z. The colder air is still mostly in AL with mid
40s just starting to enter the far northwest. Cooling may not be
quick enough to cause the brief rain/snow mix in the far northeast
this morning...but not confident enough to take it out. Not looking
for any accumulation if we do get it. Temperatures will again be
difficult today with a non diurnal trace and temperatures generally
falling during the day. Expecting gusty northwest winds today but
think they will stay below wind advisory criteria. Tonight will be
clear and colder. A weak impulse crossing the TN Valley on Friday
may bring only some cloudiness to north GA. Will keep the Flash
Flood Watch until expiration at 12z.

41

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

A strong surface High Pressure system will be settled in over the
region at the start of the long term period, keeping areas of
precipitation at bay towards the north and south through the
weekend. Temps will generally be around normal (albeit slowly
warming each consecutive day) with high temperatures in the 40s and
50s. Afterwards, chances of precip in the region go up as a cold
front is expected by Tuesday morning, with temperatures ranging from
10-15 degrees below normal by next Wednesday, with low temps in the
20s Wednesday morning.

In general, the GFS and Euro are in good agreement regarding the
overall pattern, through the long term, with the GFS-FV3 lagging
behind while elongating the cold front. The result is a chance for
precip from ranging from early Tuesday morning through Thursday
morning. Both the GFS and Euro agree on the highest chances of
precip coming during the day on Tuesday, with precip falling behind
the cold front. The Euro hints at some snow flurries behind the line
of storms where the GFS is much more bullish with light snow
coverage with chances all the way down to central Georgia. Both then
clear out with high pressure settling in with a weak shortwave
moving through Wednesday night. the Euro keeps this wave dry while
the GFS hints at light snow flurries possible for far North Georgia.
The GFS-FV3 on the other hand, elongates the cold front, pushing it
through slowly on Wednesday. It's much drier than the Euro and GFS,
but still has a strong signal that we could see so mixed/frozen
precip through the area on Wednesday instead, even into central
Georgia. The current forecast blends these 3 scenarios with each
having some consistency to their claims from the previous night.
Guidance has been putting a signal for some winter precip around
this time for the last several days with no clear indication on
which way Mother Nature will go. Seemed appropriate to include at
least a slight chance of each possibility. Although if you hold my
feet to the fire, I'd lean towards the Euro (front Tuesday, little
chance of frozen precip with higher temps and dry the next several
days afterwards).

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z Update...
MVFR ceilings lingering with some areas of IFR. Gradual improvement
after 14z with scattering after 18z. Rain has ended over the taf
sites but there could be a few sprinkles this morning. Winds
will be northwest with gusts to around 25kt through the
afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium on ceilings this morning.
High on all else.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          50  30  46  24 /  30   5   0   0
Atlanta         45  30  42  25 /  10   5   5   0
Blairsville     39  24  36  18 /  20   5   0   0
Cartersville    43  28  40  21 /  10   5   0   0
Columbus        50  32  50  27 /  10   0   0   0
Gainesville     45  29  42  24 /  20   5   0   0
Macon           53  32  50  24 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            43  28  39  21 /  10   5   0   0
Peachtree City  47  30  44  23 /  10   5   0   0
Vidalia         60  35  53  29 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM EST this morning for the following
zones: Bartow...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...Dade...Dawson...
Fannin...Floyd...Gilmer...Gordon...Lumpkin...Murray...Pickens...
Towns...Union...Walker...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
502 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-251015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
502 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A handful of rivers and creeks have risen out of their banks in
Northern Georgia and across the Atlanta metro from the recent
rainfall with the most sensitive now beginning to recede but
several others remaining above flood stage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Our next cold front is expected on Tuesday with a line of showers
expected to move through the forecast area, with a chance for some
light snow for north Georgia. There's still some uncertainty
regarding this system, so please stay informed regarding the
forecast going forward as the forecast is subject to change.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.