River Flood Warning 45, NWS Atlanta, GA

560 
WGUS82 KFFC 240532
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1232 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Crooked Creek near Norcross affecting Fulton and Gwinnett Counties

  Intrenchment Creek near Southeast Atlanta affecting De Kalb County

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Pew Creek near Lawrenceville  affecting Gwinnett County 


GAC135-241930-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWG1.2.ER.190124T0315Z.190124T0431Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1232 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pew Creek near Lawrenceville .
* Until further notice.
* At 12 AM Thursday the stage was 12.8 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 13 feet...Moderate flooding begins. The water level reaches 
  the bottom of the bridge on Patterson Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3395 8406 3397 8400 3390 8398 3388 8404
      3389 8408 3392 8409             

$$

GAC121-135-240602-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190124T0532Z/
/CRKG1.1.ER.190124T0300Z.190124T0300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1232 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Crooked Creek near Norcross.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 12 AM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3397 8421 3392 8425 3395 8429 3399 8425


$$

GAC089-240602-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-190124T0532Z/
/INTG1.1.ER.190124T0331Z.190124T0332Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1232 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Intrenchment Creek near Southeast Atlanta.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 12 AM Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 3371 8440 3375 8436 3368 8429 3368 8436


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
922 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

.UPDATE...

Near term update was mainly to adjust temperature trend with
frontal passage and a bit quicker diminishing pop trend from the
NW for late evening into early morning. Also thermal profiles
suggest less of a light wintry mix potential in the far north than
before on the very heal of the moisture axis so adjusted to only a
slight chance of light snow or sleet in some of the higher
elevations with no accumulations. Still cannot rule out a few
strong to isolated severe in central GA given the strong shear,
though the elevated instability axis remains primarily south of
the CWA and barely nosing in just SE of Columbus at the time of
this discussion. Some strong convective winds could occur along
the main front/line or possibly a brief spin-up tornado though
chance remains low over the next few hours. Overall gradient winds
have laxed some so may be expiring the Wind Advisory after the
next few hours as well. Flash Flood Watch continues in the north
and some local creeks/rivers have responded so far with expected
minor flooding. Previous discussion follows...

Baker

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 301 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...
High pressure over the area is weakening as frontal system moves in
across the region. looks like the front has moves into western AL
and making its way east. It should push into NW GA by 21-23z this
evening and continue moving east through tonight. Expecting showers
to increase from west to east over the next few hours and continue
across the state over night. By 12z Thursday...the frontal boundary
should be just east of our CWA with only a few lingering showers
remaining over eastern GA. With this rain moving through tonight
there will be an increased chance of flooding mainly across N GA
where the larger amounts are expected. Could see 1 to 3 inches of
accumulations for areas North of a Rome to Canton to Cleveland line.
Have issued a flood watch for those areas through 12z Thu morning.
Gusty winds are also an issue with this system and have been seeing
winds gusting into the 30-35kt rage across the area. These wind
speeds are expected to stay elevated through tonight. With the
increased rain on top of the already saturated soils...could see a
tree or two fall tonight. We have a wind advisory going and are
extending it to include more of central GA and taking it through 06z
Thu.

Once this system exits the area tomorrow morning will see clearing
skies and cooler temps as a cooler airmass moves in. High temps Thu
will stay mainly in the 40s and 50s with lows Thu night in the 20s
and 30s.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...
High pressure and fair weather will be the rule for much of the long
term forecast period. However, a sharp cold front and colder
temperatures are expected by the end of the week. This system will
bring some potential for wintry weather across a good portion of the
CWFA.

Dry conditions and near to slightly below normal temperatures are
expected through the first half of the weekend. Both the ECMWF and
GFS are progging a shortwave and weak frontal boundary to impact far
northern GA by late Sunday into early Monday. Neither model is
producing much precip with this system, but the ECMWF is slightly
wetter and further south with the shortwave energy.

The next system is expected to impact the CWFA Tuesday in the form
of a sharp cold front. Much colder air is anticipated on the back
side of this boundary, and there is some potential for wintry
weather before all of the low level moisture clears out. Kept the p-
type as ra/sn as it it way to early to nail down specifics. For now,
the chances for precip remain low, but will have to continue
monitoring.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Expecting primarily MVFR to high end IFR cigs filling in here soon
with main area of precip along frontal system pushing in from the
west. Vsbys could also be in the IFR/MVFR range as well before the
majority of rain (possibly isolated TS south) pushes east of the
sites by 06-08z with some lingering VCSH. MVFR cigs lingering
until about 15z Thursday then quickly scattering out to be mostly
clear after 18z. Winds initially near south 15 kts gusting 25 kts
with some LLWS then swinging west to NW overnight and some gusts
continuing Thursday near 20 kts.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium on cigs/vsbys overnight.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          45  49  30  47 / 100  10   5   0
Atlanta         39  45  30  43 / 100  10   5   5
Blairsville     33  40  25  37 / 100  20   5   0
Cartersville    37  44  28  40 / 100  10   5   0
Columbus        43  50  33  50 / 100  10   0   0
Gainesville     39  44  29  43 / 100  10   5   0
Macon           50  53  32  51 / 100  10   0   0
Rome            35  44  28  40 / 100  10   5   0
Peachtree City  40  47  30  45 / 100  10   5   0
Vidalia         56  60  36  54 / 100  30   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for the following zones:
Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...
Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dade...
Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...
Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...Gordon...Greene...
Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...Henry...
Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...
Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...Macon...Madison...Marion...
Meriwether...Monroe...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...Newton...
North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...
Pickens...Pike...Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...
South Fulton...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...
Taliaferro...Taylor...Towns...Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...
Walker...Walton...Warren...Washington...Webster...White...
Whitfield...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM EST Thursday for the following
zones: Bartow...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...Dade...Dawson...
Fannin...Floyd...Gilmer...Gordon...Lumpkin...Murray...Pickens...
Towns...Union...Walker...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...01/Baker
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
935 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-241445-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
935 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Increased gusty winds across the area today into this evening.
will see winds gusting to 35mph especially across North and
Western portions of the state. A line of showers with isolated
thunderstorms is expected to move through the area late this
afternoon into the overnight. No severe weather is expected at
this time but up to two inches of rain could fall in North Georgia
where soils are already saturated and runoff could cause rivers
and creeks in the area to rise and spill out of their banks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
719 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

GAZ011-012-019-020-030-240145-
Chattooga GA-Polk GA-Gordon GA-Bartow GA-Floyd GA-
719 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTOOGA...WESTERN POLK...
GORDON...NORTHWESTERN BARTOW AND FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM EST...

At 718 PM EST...a line of heavy showers was along a line extending
from Resaca to Forney...and moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Rome, Calhoun, Cedartown, Adairsville, Cave Spring, Kingston, Resaca,
Plainville, Shannon, Fairmount, Ranger, Pinson, Esom Hill, Redbud,
Folsom, Lake Marvin, Coosa, Oakman, Holland and Sonoraville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3459 8511 3459 8506 3462 8505 3462 8493
      3463 8491 3462 8491 3461 8486 3462 8476
      3454 8465 3446 8465 3390 8535 3390 8538
      3434 8547
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 228DEG 51KT 3455 8494 3410 8546

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
723 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

GAZ020-021-031>033-042>044-052-053-066-240130-
North Fulton GA-Douglas GA-Cobb GA-Coweta GA-Cherokee GA-Bartow GA-
Carroll GA-Troup GA-Heard GA-Paulding GA-South Fulton GA-
723 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH FULTON...DOUGLAS...COBB...
WESTERN COWETA...SOUTHERN CHEROKEE...SOUTHEASTERN BARTOW...EASTERN
CARROLL...NORTHERN TROUP...HEARD...EASTERN PAULDING AND WESTERN SOUTH
FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EST...

At 723 PM EST...a line of heavy showers was along a line extending
from near Acworth to near Buffalo...and moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Marietta, Newnan, Douglasville, LaGrange, Carrollton, Canton, Dallas,
Franklin, Roswell, Smyrna, Kennesaw, Woodstock, Acworth, Villa Rica,
Powder Springs, Holly Springs, Austell, Palmetto, Hiram and
Hogansville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3427 8464 3424 8426 3301 8502 3319 8525
      3332 8527
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 244DEG 22KT 3406 8472 3292 8544

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
834 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

GAZ089>091-102-240215-
Chattahoochee GA-Stewart GA-Marion GA-Muscogee GA-
834 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTAHOOCHEE...STEWART...WESTERN
MARION AND MUSCOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EST...

At 833 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Ladonia to near Lakepoint Resort State Park...and
moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Columbus, Lumpkin, Cusseta, Richland, North Fort Benning, Bibb City,
Upatoi, Fort Benning/lawson Army Air Fld, Laurel Hills, Green Island
Hills, Westville, Vista Terrace, Columbus Metropolitan Airport,
Jamestown/south Fort Benning, Brooklyn, Renfroe, Rose Hill, Manta,
Troutman and Omaha.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3192 8491 3195 8496 3198 8496 3199 8507
      3209 8504 3213 8506 3220 8496 3222 8498
      3222 8493 3225 8492 3226 8489 3233 8501
      3243 8496 3245 8500 3252 8500 3256 8504
      3256 8467 3252 8469 3253 8464 3192 8467
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 265DEG 37KT 3247 8512 3195 8512

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
923 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

GAZ080-081-091>093-102>104-240300-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Stewart GA-Taylor GA-Sumter GA-Marion GA-
Crawford GA-Webster GA-
923 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MACON...SCHLEY...
EASTERN STEWART...TAYLOR...WESTERN SUMTER...MARION...WESTERN CRAWFORD
AND WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM EST...

At 923 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Oakland to White House...and moving northeast at
55 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Buena Vista, Butler, Ellaville, Roberta, Preston, Richland, Reynolds,
Plains, Ideal, Weston, Putnam, Brantley, Seminole, Murrays
Crossroads, Rupert, La Crosse, Oakland, Zellobee, Leveretts and
Troutman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3197 8444 3193 8444 3192 8446 3192 8467
      3193 8468 3192 8469 3192 8480 3251 8452
      3280 8396 3190 8437
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 236DEG 49KT 3248 8450 3182 8480

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1008 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

GAZ093>095-105-240400-
Macon GA-Peach GA-Dooly GA-Houston GA-
1008 PM EST WED JAN 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MACON...SOUTHERN PEACH...NORTHERN
DOOLY AND SOUTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM EST...

At 1008 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Clearview, or over
Oglethorpe...moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Perry, Oglethorpe, Unadilla, Montezuma, Marshallville, Byromville,
Pinehurst, Dooling, Saint Louis, Whitewater State Park, Meadowdale,
Houston Lake, Grovania, Elko, Garden Valley, Grove Park, Hicks,
Andersonville National Historic, Clearview and Moss Oak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3218 8404 3219 8409 3219 8413 3223 8414
      3223 8415 3247 8415 3251 8412 3251 8403
      3250 8403 3250 8402 3251 8402 3252 8401
      3253 8364 3225 8361 3224 8362 3222 8361
      3216 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 251DEG 43KT 3226 8407

WIND...50MPH