Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 20, NWS Atlanta, GA
NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Jan 4, 2019, 8:39 PM EST for Butts County, Henry County, Newton County, Georgia. It was in force for 21 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 4, 2019, 8:39 PM EST (01:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2019, 8:39 PM EST
- In force
- 21 days
- Issued by
- NWS Atlanta, GA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Butts County, GA, Henry County, GA, Newton County, GA
The radar
The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point South River at GA 81 at Snapping Shoals (SPGG1). The gauge peaked at 12.39 ft at Jan 5, 2019, 4:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16 ft
- Major stage
- 20 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02204520, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
447
WGUS42 KFFC 050139
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
839 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...
South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and
Newton Counties
.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.
The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United
States Geological Survey.
&&
GAC035-151-217-051538-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0020.190105T0139Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.190105T0130Z.190105T0130Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
839 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from
the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions
of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to
flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
3339 8393 3346 8398
$$2 follow-up statements
924
WGUS82 KFFC 050313
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1013 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County
Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
Wilkinson Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and
Newton Counties
GAC009-303-319-051713-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190107T2154Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.190104T2007Z.190105T0600Z.190107T1554Z.NO/
1013 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 30.4 feet and rising quickly.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 31.3 feet by after
midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* At 30 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the
woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage near
the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek backs up and a
few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also Tanyard Branch
Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston Streets in
Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have four to
five gates open to reach this height.
&&
LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
3297 8316 3304 8324
$$
GAC135-051713-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0019.190105T0310Z-190105T2136Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.190105T0115Z.190105T1200Z.190105T1536Z.NO/
1013 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 8.2 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.3 feet by tomorrow
morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late
morning.
* At 8 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins along
the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at U S Highway 23
or Buford Highway. Portions of the Suwanee Creek Park off of
Suwanee Creek Trail begin to flood to Martin Farm Road. This will
also include areas behind the Suwanee Elementary School and the
George Pierce Park.
&&
LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
3403 8412 3406 8409
$$
GAC035-151-217-051713-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.190105T0130Z.190105T0230Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1013 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 12 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from
the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions
of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to
flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
3339 8393 3346 8398
$$740
WGUS82 KFFC 050918
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties
Falling Creek near East Juliette affecting Jones County
Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson
Counties
Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee
Counties
Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield
County
Coosa River near Plant Hammond affecting Floyd County
Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties
Chattahoochee River near Columbus affecting Lee...Russell...
Chattahoochee and Muscogee Counties
South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and
Newton Counties
Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
Monroe and Twiggs Counties
Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
Counties
Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
Wilkinson Counties
Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson
Counties
Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and
Wilkinson Counties
Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes
Counties
GAC059-133-219-052318-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190107T2112Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.190104T2205Z.190106T1800Z.190107T1512Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 4 AM Saturday the stage was 14.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet by Sunday
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very
close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be
approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to
higher ground.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Jan 12 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327
$$
GAC009-303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190107T2154Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.190104T2007Z.190105T0645Z.190107T1554Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 30.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Monday
morning.
* At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the
woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage near
the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek backs up and a
few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also Tanyard Branch
Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston Streets in
Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have four to
five gates open to reach this height.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.8 feet on Sep 22 2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
3297 8316 3304 8324
$$
GAC303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.190105T0835Z.190105T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* At 18.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant Mine
off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will be at the
top of the boat ramp.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet on Dec 4 2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
3284 8303 3292 8311
$$
GAC167-303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.190102T0700Z.190109T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and slowly rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue
to rise to near 23.7 feet by Tuesday evening.
* At 23.0 feet...Moderate flooding continues. Portions of the Old
Balls Ferry Road leading to the boat ramp becomes flooded with a
foot of water or more. The entire dirt parking lot near the boat
ramp is under three to five feet of water. Extensive flooding of
the woodlands near the river continues.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.8 feet on Nov 14 2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
3265 8298 3278 8300
$$
GAC313-052132-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190105T2132Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190104T0615Z.190104T2145Z.190105T1532Z.UU/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding begins. Pasture and fields
upstream...right and left bank from the Keiths Mill Road bridge...
and downstream on the left bank begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.5 feet on Apr 5 2017.
&&
LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
3480 8488 3474 8486
$$
GAC115-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMG1.1.ER.190104T1300Z.190105T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Coosa River near Plant Hammond.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 571.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 570.0 feet.
* At 572.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields
and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage
behind Plant Hammond. The water reaches a low lying portion of a
parking lot near the intakes behind the plant. The boat ramp near
the intakes and a small portion of an access road near and under
the Georgia Highway 100 bridge will be under two feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 571.7 feet on Jan 6 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3425 8531 3420 8536 3421 8539 3427 8542 3428 8537
$$
GAC117-121-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190106T1912Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190104T2100Z.190106T0000Z.190106T1312Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.2 feet by this evening.
The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 8.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the
woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south
Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County.
Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding
with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths
will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage
on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the
YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Jul 18 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
3404 8433 3407 8427
$$
ALC081-113-GAC053-215-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190107T1536Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.190104T1216Z.190106T1200Z.190107T0936Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chattahoochee River near Columbus.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 4 AM Saturday the stage was 28.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will begin rising to near 30.2 feet by Sunday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river upstream
and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. Large
portions of the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded up to 3 feet
deep. The water level reaches the top of the boat ramp behind the
Columbus Convention and Trade Center. The Phenix City Amphitheater
in Alabama will be flooded up to two feet deep. Portions of the
River Walk in Phenix City will begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.4 feet on Apr 1 2016.
&&
LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
3238 8502 3250 8503
$$
GAC079-263-269-293-052150-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190105T2150Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.190104T1834Z.190105T0330Z.190105T1550Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 20.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this
morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river in the
woodlands and fields upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S.
Highway 19. The flood waters will cover the boat ramp up to two
feet deep and cover a portion of the access road by the bridge on
the Taylor County side of the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.0 feet on Apr 8 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
3265 8415 3276 8437
$$
GAC035-151-217-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.190105T0130Z.190105T0830Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from
the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions
of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to
flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Feb 6 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
3339 8393 3346 8398
$$
GAC169-051507-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190105T1507Z/
/FALG1.1.ER.190104T1723Z.190105T0045Z.190105T0907Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
...Flood Warning extended until this morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Falling Creek near East Juliette .
* Until this morning.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage later this
morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands and natural flood plain along the creek in the Piedmont
National Wildlife Refuge upstream and downstream from the gage on
Round Oak-Juliette Road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Apr 2 2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3316 8377 3317 8366 3310 8368 3303 8368
3302 8372 3310 8376
$$
GAC021-153-169-207-289-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190108T1312Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.190104T1600Z.190105T1800Z.190108T0712Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by this afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand. Large portions
of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the
Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to
3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions of
agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be under
1 to 5 feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Mar 29 2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
3263 8359 3274 8363
$$
GAC091-271-315-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0192.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.1.ER.181215T1900Z.190110T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by early Thursday
morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Roads to homes along the
west side of the river in Abbeville become inaccessible.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.1 feet on Apr 7 2016.
&&
LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
3175 8299 3184 8320
$$
GAC013-157-052015-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190105T2015Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.190105T0650Z.190105T0830Z.190105T1415Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this
morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the
gage at Georgia Highway 82. A few dirt access roads will be
flooded. A residential yard just downstream will begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.7 feet on Dec 24 2013.
&&
LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
3395 8352 3402 8363
$$
GAC265-317-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.1.ER.190104T2358Z.190105T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 21.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at Lundberg
Road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet on Dec 24 2013.
&&
LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
3361 8258 3358 8272
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 4, 7:29 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 4, 7:29 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 729 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 221 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019/ SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/... While the post-dry slot portion and sfc occluded front is exiting the CWA to the east and north, some breaks in the wrap-around stratocu may tease momentary glimpses of the thing we call the sun for this afternoon. While the center of the upper cutoff low and associated lingering low level moisture continues to push across the MS/TN Valleys, cloud cover is unfortunately expected to fill back in for this evening into overnight though NW flow behind this system will allow for a much more optimistic clearing trend for the weekend. In the mean time, the steepening lapse rates and continued moisture near the main cold core of the low will actually allow for some continued shower and isolated thunder development in parts of north GA. There may even be a few shallow cells that generate graupel or small hail. Late tonight the last of the precip should diminish in the far northeast. Keeping it all showers late given thermal profile trend but could not rule out a few flurries or snow grains right at the tail end though sfc temps stay above freezing in the mountains. Temps mainly in the mid 50s to low 60s for Saturday with clearing skies and enhanced NW gradient winds, then even better Sunday with temps moderating into the mid to upper 60s as the flow becomes more zonal. Baker LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/... No major forecast concerns during the long term period. 12Z model guidance in relatively strong agreement with broad upper ridging over the eastern CONUS transitioning to southwest flow and a broad upper trough over the northern/central CONUS latitudes on Monday, followed by strong NW flow aloft and subsidence Tues thru Thurs. There could be some light rain Monday night associated with warm advection ahead of front but other than that, the entire forecast will be dry. Both max and min temperatures through Wednesday will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal, possibly higher before the next front arrives on Tues night or Wednesday. Even after that, temps will remain around 5 degrees above normal. SNELSON PREV LONG TERM DISCUSSION... /Issued 332 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019/ The long term begins with a ridge of high pressure building over the central U.S. This will bring dry and more stable air into the CWA for a few days. Another weak but fast moving system will move across the CWA late Monday and Monday night. The system will weaken as it moves across the CWA, however it will have enough moisture for another chance of showers. After Monday night, a broad trough will dominate the eastern half of the nation with the axis just off the east coast. This puts the CWA in a west northwest flow bringing dry and stable conditions for the remainder of the long term. Temperatures will be at or just above normal through the long term. 17 && .AVIATION... 00Z UPDATE... Winds remain elevated at terminals this evening and will continue to carry low end gusts into the overnight period and right on through Sat for ATL. Some clearing initially behind the front but MVFR should move in by 03Z and IFR likely thereafter for a brief period. A much needed return to VFR conditions anticipated for Sat morning and persisting through the remainder of the TAF period. //ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE... Medium on IFR conditions. High on remaining elements. Deese && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 41 57 39 66 / 20 5 0 0 Atlanta 41 56 41 65 / 10 0 0 0 Blairsville 37 51 35 63 / 40 10 0 0 Cartersville 40 55 37 63 / 20 0 0 0 Columbus 43 60 42 68 / 10 5 0 0 Gainesville 40 54 39 64 / 20 5 0 0 Macon 44 60 40 68 / 10 5 0 0 Rome 39 56 36 63 / 20 0 0 0 Peachtree City 41 57 40 67 / 10 0 0 0 Vidalia 45 61 42 67 / 20 5 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...Baker LONG TERM....SNELSON AVIATION...Deese
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 4, 2:05 PM EST, 6 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 205 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-051100- Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa- Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta- Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel- Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene- Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson- Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon- Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray- Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach- Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton- Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs- Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren- Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes- Wilkinson- 205 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight... Although the rain has ended, some creeks and rivers will continue to rise through tonight, resulting in a few spots experiencing minor flooding. Water levels are expected to fall over the next few days. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged to submit reports of flooding through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 4, 3:23 PM EST, 5 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
323 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
GAZ013-014-021-022-042100-
Dawson GA-Cherokee GA-Forsyth GA-Pickens GA-
323 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON...
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE...NORTHWESTERN FORSYTH AND SOUTHEASTERN PICKENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EST...
At 323 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Lathemtown, or 8 miles
east of Canton...moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and pea sized hail.
IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
light...unsecured objects.
Some locations in the path of this storm include
Ball Ground, Reavis Mountain and Hollis Lathem Reservoir.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.
LAT...LON 3422 8435 3427 8445 3446 8429 3439 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 227DEG 20KT 3428 8435
HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPHSpecial weather statement, Jan 4, 3:58 PM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
358 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
GAZ014-015-042130-
Dawson GA-Lumpkin GA-
358 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN DAWSON AND LUMPKIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EST...
At 358 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over McKee, or over
Dawsonville...moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and pea sized hail.
IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
light...unsecured objects.
Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dahlonega, Dawsonville, Auraria, Garland, Porter Springs, Turners
Corner, Nimblewill, Gooch Mountain Shelter, McKee and Juno.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.
LAT...LON 3468 8387 3462 8388 3461 8386 3455 8386
3454 8384 3453 8384 3437 8412 3436 8420
3445 8426 3447 8426 3465 8406 3464 8404
3467 8403 3468 8399 3470 8399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 223DEG 25KT 3446 8413
HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPHSpecial weather statement, Jan 4, 4:30 PM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
430 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
GAZ015-016-042200-
White GA-Lumpkin GA-
430 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHITE AND SOUTHEASTERN LUMPKIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EST...
At 430 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Porter Springs, or
near Dahlonega...moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and pea sized hail.
IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
light...unsecured objects.
Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dahlonega, Cleveland, Helen, Unicoi State Park, Camp Coleman Lake,
Robertstown, Anna Ruby Falls, Garland, Smithgall Woods Conservation
Are, Porter Springs, Sautee and Qualatchee Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.
LAT...LON 3477 8365 3477 8364 3476 8363 3475 8363
3473 8362 3472 8364 3467 8364 3466 8366
3462 8364 3461 8364 3449 8393 3460 8400
3479 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 234DEG 23KT 3458 8393
HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPHLocal storm report, Jan 4, 5:14 PM EST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
514 PM EST FRI JAN 04 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM FLOOD 3 SSW MOLENA 32.97N 84.52W
01/04/2019 UPSON GA EMERGENCY MNGR
DRIPPING ROCK RD WAS CLOSED AT ELKINS CREEK NEAR THE
PIKE/UPSON COUNTY LINE
&&
EVENT NUMBER FFC1900001
THIEMLocal storm report, Jan 4, 5:16 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
516 PM EST FRI JAN 04 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM FLOOD 2 NW LIFSEY SPRINGS 33.06N 84.39W
01/04/2019 PIKE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
OLD ZEBULON RD WAS CLOSED AT THE POWDER CREEK CROSSING
BETWEEN COOK RD AND POWDER CREEK RD
&&
EVENT NUMBER FFC1900002
THIEMLocal storm report, Jan 4, 5:17 PM EST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
517 PM EST FRI JAN 04 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM FLOOD 1 NNW HILLTOP 33.12N 84.44W
01/04/2019 PIKE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD CLOSURE DUE TO RAINWATER RUNOFF AT MILNER RD AND
BOTTOMS RD
&&
EVENT NUMBER FFC1900003
THIEMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 7:14 PM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Taliaferro, Wilkes | 37 hr |
| Jan 4, 7:53 PM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Gwinnett | 21 hr |
| Jan 4, 9:25 PM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Floyd | 4 days |
| Jan 5, 12:53 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Barrow, Jackson | 16 hr |
| Jan 5, 4:07 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Washington, Wilkinson | 21 days |
| Jan 5, 5:18 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Floyd | 21 days |
| Jan 5, 5:26 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Bibb, Crawford, Houston, Peach | 27 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.