Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Des Moines, IA

239 
WWUS53 KDMX 160007
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
707 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC125-160015-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190616T0045Z/
Marion IA-
707 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central and southeastern Iowa.

LAT...LON 4090 9244 4100 9293 4132 9272 4134 9241
      4116 9241 4116 9237 4090 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 287DEG 31KT 4105 9272 

$$

IAC123-135-179-160045-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190616T0045Z/
Monroe IA-Wapello IA-Mahaska IA-
707 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MONROE...WESTERN WAPELLO AND SOUTHERN MAHASKA
COUNTIES...

At 705 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Albia, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At about 7pm...quarter sized hail 
         was reported near Albia with this storm.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ottumwa, Oskaloosa, Albia, Eddyville, Ottumwa Industrial Airport,
Fremont, Beacon, University Park, Blakesburg, Rose Hill, Kirkville,
Chillicothe, Keomah Village, Albia Municipal Airport, Lake Keomah
State Park and Oskaloosa Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 9244 4100 9293 4132 9272 4134 9241
      4116 9241 4116 9237 4090 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 287DEG 31KT 4105 9272 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Fowle

889 
WWUS53 KDMX 160031
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
731 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC123-160041-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190616T0045Z/
Mahaska IA-
731 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MAHASKA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central and southeastern Iowa.

LAT...LON 4090 9244 4096 9271 4116 9247 4116 9237
      4090 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 278DEG 36KT 4099 9251 

$$

IAC135-179-160045-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190616T0045Z/
Monroe IA-Wapello IA-
731 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL MONROE AND WESTERN WAPELLO COUNTIES...

At 731 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ottumwa, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ottumwa, Ottumwa Industrial Airport, Blakesburg and Chillicothe. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Des Moines .

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 9244 4096 9271 4116 9247 4116 9237
      4090 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 278DEG 36KT 4099 9251 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Fowle

400 
WWUS53 KDMX 160035
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
735 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC135-179-160045-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190616T0045Z/
Monroe IA-Wapello IA-
735 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MONROE AND
WESTERN WAPELLO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central and southeastern Iowa.

LAT...LON 4090 9244 4096 9271 4116 9247 4116 9237
      4090 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0033Z 275DEG 30KT 4099 9247 

$$

Fowle

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
638 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Sunday/
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Confidence: Medium to High

Main concern in the first period is the ongoing convection.  Storms
pulsing up with instability and given lack of shear have been
favoring wind over hail for the moment.  Weak boundary over northern
and northeast Iowa continues to focus slow moving storms. Other
concerns include brief funnel/spin up or localized flash flooding
due to slow movement.  To the west of the area in eastern Nebraska,
a remnant MCV is drifting east into Iowa as well.  HIres models had
indicated that this would refire more convection in conjunction with
with the ongoing current convection this afternoon.  Will monitor
through the evening hours as airmass remains primed for some severe
and localized heavy rainfall. After sunset, convection will likely
quiet down through 06z and be east of the region between 06z and 12z
Sunday.  Of the 3 synoptic models, the Euro hangs on to the trough
the longest on Sunday over portions of eastern Iowa. This may result
in a brief shower or two, but for now will leave forecast dry.
Lows tonight will remain in the upper 50s/lower 60s north and in
the mid 60s over the south. Sunday will see afternoon readings in
the mid 70s north to the lower 80s in the south. A weak ridge of
high pressure will drop south into Iowa Sunday night into early
Monday. Lows will remain on the mild side, but generally a few
degrees cooler in the mid 50s north to the lower 60s south.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday night through Saturday/
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Confidence: Medium

The early portion of the week will begin on a quiet note, though
already by Monday afternoon the next approaching trough may spread
some scattered showers and a few thunderstorms into the western
third of the area.  Highs will be just below seasonal norms Monday
and back in the mid 70s north to the lower 80s south. From Tuesday
into Wednesday, a slow moving wave will track over the region and
continue chances for showers and thunderstorms. The Euro continues
to track the surface low across northern Missouri while the GFS has
it tracking over Iowa. This will have some impact on rainfall
amounts and also the scope of rain chances. The remainder of the
week will feature a zonal flow with continued energy rippling
through the pattern. This will result in nearly daily chances for
some precipitation.  Though the mid to late week systems look rather
insignificant, the Friday through Sunday system is more robust. This
should increase chances for stronger storms and bring a potential
for more widespread rains.  Highs through the period from Tuesday
through Saturday will remain range-bound from the mid 70s to lower
80s and be highly dependent upon day to day rain coverage. Any
chances for stronger to severe storms should hold off until late in
the week.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening/
Issued at 638 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Ongoing convection through 03z to 04z will move east. Behind the
boundary, expecting lowering CIGS in rain cooled airmass with IFR
and MVFR cigs spreading southwest from northeast Iowa back toward
the I-35 corridor. KMCW/KALO has the greater chance of IFR cigs
aft 06z while KFOD/KDSM/KOTM will see risk of MVFR cigs aft
11-12z. Lower cigs eventually lift between 15 to 18z...though
northeast sites KMCW/KALO may see MVFR cigs linger through 21z or
so Sunday afternoon. /rev

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...REV
LONG TERM...REV
AVIATION...REV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
336 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-162045-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
336 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through mid evening.
The main threats are lightning, large hail, damaging winds and
locally heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado may also occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through Friday. At this time,
the predictability of severe weather is too low; although toward
Friday some of the storms may be approaching severe limits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

REV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TORNADO          3 N WHITTEN             42.31N 93.00W
06/15/2019                   HARDIN             IA   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF DAMAGE TO BARN FROM
            POSSIBLE LANDSPOUT/TORNADO NEAR WHITTEN.
            THIS WAS IN THE 3500 OF 270TH STREET.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
559 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             3 NNE RHODES            41.96N 93.17W
06/15/2019  E0.88 INCH       MARSHALL           IA   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
614 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW LISCOMB            42.20N 93.03W
06/15/2019                   MARSHALL           IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4+ INCHES OF RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING
            INCLUDING BASEMENTS FILLING DUE TO ALREADY
            HIGH WATER TABLE.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
624 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE DES MOINES INT AI 41.53N 93.64W
06/15/2019                   POLK               IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WOI-TV VIEWER SHARED PHOTO LARGE TREE THAT
            SNAPPED NEAR SW 18TH STREET AND ARMY POST RD
            IN DES MOINES.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
634 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARSHALLTOWN            42.04N 92.91W
06/15/2019                   MARSHALL           IA   PUBLIC

            TREE AND POWER POLE DAMAGE VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA/SNAPCHAT. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
640 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SE DES MOINES INT AIR 41.52N 93.63W
06/15/2019  E65 MPH          POLK               IA   PUBLIC

            COUPLE LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN WITH ONE
            ESTIMATED AROUND A FOOT IN DIAMETER FALLING
            AND DAMAGING A CHAIN LINK FENCE ON WADE
            STREET. ANOTHER 5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCH DOWN
            ON MASON AVENUE FROM THE EARLIER STORM. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

ANSORGE