Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Des Moines, IA

107 
WWUS53 KDMX 152254
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
554 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC075-127-171-152330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190615T2330Z/
Marshall IA-Tama IA-Grundy IA-
554 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN MARSHALL...TAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL GRUNDY COUNTIES...

At 553 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Toledo, moving
east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Marshalltown, Toledo, Tama, Traer, Dysart, Conrad, Meskwaki Casino,
Gladbrook, Le Grand, Garwin, Gilman, Chelsea, Montour, Laurel,
Clutier, Elberon, Beaman, Haverhill, Lincoln and Ferguson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.


&&

LAT...LON 4186 9282 4187 9306 4203 9293 4215 9286
      4227 9287 4229 9230 4187 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 269DEG 25KT 4203 9258 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Fowle

219 
WWUS53 KDMX 152305
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
605 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC075-127-171-152330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190615T2330Z/
Marshall IA-Tama IA-Grundy IA-
605 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARSHALL...TAMA AND SOUTHERN GRUNDY COUNTIES...

At 604 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
Toledo, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Tama, Traer, Dysart, Meskwaki Casino, Gladbrook, Garwin,
Gilman, Chelsea, Montour, Clutier, Elberon, Vining, Tf Clark State
Park, Union Grove State Park and Toledo Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4186 9288 4197 9276 4214 9275 4223 9277
      4224 9230 4187 9230 4186 9282
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 272DEG 37KT 4201 9242 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Fowle

327 
WWUS53 KDMX 152318
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
618 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC075-127-152327-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190615T2330Z/
Marshall IA-Grundy IA-
618 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARSHALL AND
SOUTHERN GRUNDY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central Iowa.

LAT...LON 4190 9252 4204 9253 4223 9254 4224 9230
      4187 9230 4187 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 267DEG 33KT 4202 9229 

$$

IAC171-152330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190615T2330Z/
Tama IA-
618 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN TAMA COUNTY...

At 617 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Keystone, or 15
miles east of Toledo, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Traer, Dysart, Chelsea, Clutier, Elberon, Vining and Tf Clark State
Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4190 9252 4204 9253 4223 9254 4224 9230
      4187 9230 4187 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 267DEG 33KT 4202 9229 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Fowle

605 
WWUS53 KDMX 152333
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
633 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAC171-152343-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190615T2330Z/
Tama IA-
633 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TAMA COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central Iowa.

LAT...LON 4190 9252 4204 9253 4223 9254 4224 9230
      4187 9230 4187 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 269DEG 37KT 4202 9208 

$$

Fowle

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
328 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Sunday/
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Confidence: Medium to High

Main concern in the first period is the ongoing convection.  Storms
pulsing up with instability and given lack of shear have been
favoring wind over hail for the moment.  Weak boundary over northern
and northeast Iowa continues to focus slow moving storms. Other
concerns include brief funnel/spin up or localized flash flooding
due to slow movement.  To the west of the area in eastern Nebraska,
a remnant MCV is drifting east into Iowa as well.  HIres models had
indicated that this would refire more convection in conjunction with
with the ongoing current convection this afternoon.  Will monitor
through the evening hours as airmass remains primed for some severe
and localized heavy rainfall. After sunset, convection will likely
quiet down through 06z and be east of the region between 06z and 12z
Sunday.  Of the 3 synoptic models, the Euro hangs on to the trough
the longest on Sunday over portions of eastern Iowa. This may result
in a brief shower or two, but for now will leave forecast dry.
Lows tonight will remain in the upper 50s/lower 60s north and in
the mid 60s over the south. Sunday will see afternoon readings in
the mid 70s north to the lower 80s in the south. A weak ridge of
high pressure will drop south into Iowa Sunday night into early
Monday. Lows will remain on the mild side, but generally a few
degrees cooler in the mid 50s north to the lower 60s south.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday night through Saturday/
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Confidence: Medium

The early portion of the week will begin on a quiet note, though
already by Monday afternoon the next approaching trough may spread
some scattered showers and a few thunderstorms into the western
third of the area.  Highs will be just below seasonal norms Monday
and back in the mid 70s north to the lower 80s south. From Tuesday
into Wednesday, a slow moving wave will track over the region and
continue chances for showers and thunderstorms. The Euro continues
to track the surface low across northern Missouri while the GFS has
it tracking over Iowa. This will have some impact on rainfall
amounts and also the scope of rain chances. The remainder of the
week will feature a zonal flow with continued energy rippling
through the pattern. This will result in nearly daily chances for
some precipitation.  Though the mid to late week systems look rather
insignificant, the Friday through Sunday system is more robust. This
should increase chances for stronger storms and bring a potential
for more widespread rains.  Highs through the period from Tuesday
through Saturday will remain range-bound from the mid 70s to lower
80s and be highly dependent upon day to day rain coverage. Any
chances for stronger to severe storms should hold off until late in
the week.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon/
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Weak boundary situated over central/eastern sections aiding in
development of iso thunder at 17z and expect some convection to
pop and recycle through mid afternoon. More organized convection
expected aft 22z over central/northwest areas as larger portion of
the region realizes CAPE release. Have mainly VCTS/VCSH for now
but will monitor for potential better timing of categorical
chances. Winds rather light except near convection. MVFR/IFR cigs
move into northeast sections at KMCW/KALO/KFOD from 12-18z Sunday
as southern sites KDSM/KOTM generally VFR through period. /rev

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...REV
LONG TERM...REV
AVIATION...REV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
336 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-162045-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
336 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through mid evening.
The main threats are lightning, large hail, damaging winds and
locally heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado may also occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through Friday. At this time,
the predictability of severe weather is too low; although toward
Friday some of the storms may be approaching severe limits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

REV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
422 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     TORNADO          4 ENE WHITTEN           42.29N 92.94W
06/15/2019                   GRUNDY             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POSSIBLE LANDSPOUT TORNADO REPORTED
            NORTHEAST OF WHITTEN AND SOUTH OF WELLSBURG
            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA AND HARDIN COUNTY.

&&

REV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
447 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRY                   41.84N 94.10W
06/15/2019                   DALLAS             IA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN AROUND PERRY. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

&&

ANSORGE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
448 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

IAZ047-048-059>061-152245-
Story IA-Boone IA-Jasper IA-Polk IA-Dallas IA-
448 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...Thunderstorms to Impact the Des Moines Metro Area...

At 443 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a several thunderstorms
developing over the Des Moines metro area with the most activity
from Ames, to Polk City, to Waukee.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea sized hail will be possible with
these storms.

Rainfall amounts up to one inch will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, Ames, West Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston,
Clive, Newton, Altoona, Waukee, Pleasant Hill, Grimes, Windsor
Heights, Carlisle, Bondurant, Polk City, Huxley, Saylorville, Madrid
and Mitchellville.

Those attending the Johnston Green Days are in the path of this
storm and should prepare for frequent lightning, gusty winds, and
heavy downpours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

If on or near Saylorville Resevoir or Big Creek Lake, get out of the
water and move indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can
strike out to 10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to
safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central Iowa.

LAT...LON 4193 9396 4208 9366 4167 9300 4153 9347
      4154 9392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 316DEG 29KT 4196 9368

Fowle

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
458 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S AMES                41.99N 93.62W
06/15/2019  M72 MPH          STORY              IA   MESONET

            REPORTED AT AMES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

&&

REV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
519 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AMES                    42.02N 93.62W
06/15/2019                   STORY              IA   PUBLIC

            18 INCH TREE SNAPPED. TREE DID HAVE SOME
            ROT. PICTURE VIA TWITTER.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
531 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E ALBION              42.11N 92.92W
06/15/2019  M68 MPH          MARSHALL           IA   MESONET

            REPORTED AT MARSHALLTOWN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

&&

REV