Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Dodge City, KS

831 
WWUS53 KDDC 232213
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
513 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

KSC175-232222-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190523T2230Z/
Seward KS-
513 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN SEWARD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Kansas.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3759 10060 3759 10002 3747 10008 3747 10011
      3743 10011 3700 10033 3700 10063
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 189DEG 106KT 3729 10047 

$$

KSC057-069-119-232230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190523T2230Z/
Ford KS-Meade KS-Gray KS-
513 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FORD...MEADE AND SOUTHERN GRAY COUNTIES...

At 512 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Missler, moving
north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Meade, Fowler, Meade State Park, Missler and Plains. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Kansas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 10060 3759 10002 3747 10008 3747 10011
      3743 10011 3700 10033 3700 10063
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 189DEG 106KT 3729 10047 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
420 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 302 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Plentiful moisture, frontal boundary and upper level disturbance
will lead to widespread thunderstorms, some severe, through the
midnight hour. Surface based storms, which may be tornadic, will
be confined to the warm front zone over south central Kansas, with
elevated hailers to the north and west. On Friday the effective
frontal boundary will be undergoing frontolysis, but there should
still be enough convergence for surface based storms in south
central Kansas; and some of these will likely be severe with
large hail and damaging winds. These storms may be south and east
of Barber county depending on the exact location of the front.
South central Kansas will have to be watched for additional
flooding given the heavy rains expected.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 302 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

The pattern will remain active through at least Monday as another
shortwave trough slowly approaches. There will be chances for
severe storms somewhere across the plains each day. Mesoscale
boundaries will likely play an increasing role in storm mode as
often happens as we get deeper into the warm season.

A break in the wet weather can be expected from late Tuesday into
early Thursday in the wake of the upper level disturbance. This
system will push a cold front through western Kansas with drier
air.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 420 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue for the next
several hours, and included the appropriate convective TEMPO
groups and VCTS mentions. Widespread IFR stratus cigs as of 21z
will continue through the 04-06z Fri time range, before cigs
gradually improve to VFR overnight. E/SE winds currently will gain
more of a westerly component overnight. After 15z Fri, winds will
trend southerly at 10-20 kts. VFR will prevail on Friday, with
areas of stratocumulus, with afternoon convection most likely
southeast of the airports.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  76  61  82 /  80  20  30  40
GCK  47  77  57  82 /  60  10  20  40
EHA  47  78  57  83 /  40  10  10  40
LBL  52  77  59  83 /  70  20  30  30
HYS  55  77  61  82 /  70  20  30  20
P28  65  76  64  82 /  90  60  40  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for KSZ066-079>081-
088>090.

&&

SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Turner

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
317 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-240830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
317 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019 /217 AM MDT Thu May 23 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight. Locally
heavy rainfall is likely, with the threat of flooding highest
across the southeast zones. Some storms this afternoon through
this evening will be strong to severe, with the primary threat
being large hail. Across the far southeast zones, including Meade,
Clark, Comanche and Barber counties, a tornado risk will exist
this afternoon and evening if warmer more humid air can move into
Kansas. Currently, the tornado threat is expected to remain
mainly just to the south of Kansas.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Flooding: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Additional severe thunderstorms are expected to favor the
southeast zones Friday, and area wide Saturday and Sunday. On each
of these days, the flooding risk will continue. Thunderstorms both
Saturday and Sunday will be capable of large hail, damaging winds,
and tornadoes.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be required this afternoon and
tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Turner

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
339 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             2 W SATANTA             37.44N 101.02W
05/23/2019  E1.00 INCH       HASKELL            KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
344 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     HAIL             7 SSE UTICA             38.55N 100.14W
05/23/2019  E1.00 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
359 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 PM     HAIL             3 E DODGE CITY          37.76N 99.97W
05/23/2019  E1.25 INCH       FORD               KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AT THE NWS OFFICE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
406 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

KSZ062-232130-
Kearny KS-
406 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

At 405 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles north of Kendall, moving north at 40 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Kearny
County.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3826 10154 3826 10116 3804 10136 3810 10154
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 199DEG 35KT 3815 10144

JJOHNSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
429 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

KSZ064-065-078-079-232215-
Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-Ford KS-
429 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FORD...EASTERN
HODGEMAN...SOUTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND WESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 515
PM CDT...

At 429 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Offerle, moving north at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Gray, Kinsley, Burdett, Hanston, Offerle, Garfield, Rozel, Sanford,
Frizell and Bellefont.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3777 9940 3779 9971 3823 9972 3822 9913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 197DEG 42KT 3786 9958

JJOHNSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
437 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

KSZ086-087-232230-
Seward KS-Meade KS-
437 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SEWARD AND MEADE
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

At 436 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Floris, or 10 miles west of Beaver, moving northeast at 50 mph. This
storm has a history of producing golf ball sized hail and funnel
clouds.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm as it initially crosses the Oklahoma and Kansas border.

Locations impacted include...
Meade, Fowler, Kismet, Meade State Park, Missler and Plains.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3747 10057 3744 10011 3700 10044 3700 10085
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 206DEG 53KT 3683 10071

TATRO