Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Dodge City, KS

160 
WWUS53 KDDC 070137
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
837 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

KSC067-075-093-129-187-189-070200-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-190507T0200Z/
Morton KS-Hamilton KS-Kearny KS-Grant KS-Stanton KS-Stevens KS-
837 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
CDT/800 PM MDT/ FOR MORTON...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...SOUTHERN
KEARNY...GRANT...EASTERN STANTON AND STEVENS COUNTIES...

At 836 PM CDT/736 PM MDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 6 miles southeast of Lakin to 6 miles northwest
of Cave to near Rolla, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses, Hugoton, Lakin, Johnson City, Deerfield, Rolla, Moscow,
Kendall, Richfield, Big Bow, Feterita, Wilburton and Hickok.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT/midnight MDT/ for
southwestern Kansas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3704 10197 3800 10163 3803 10114 3702 10112
      3702 10120
TIME...MOT...LOC 0136Z 274DEG 40KT 3786 10120 3742 10123 3704 10166 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RUSSELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
618 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

Flood watch remains in effect for the southeast half or so of the
forecast area, through Wednesday afternoon. In the near term, all
convective allowing models continue with different spatial
versions of thunderstorm clusters developing along either the
both the dryline and the surface synoptic boundary late in the
day (likely by 6 pm) and congealing into larger clusters while
spreading east into central and south central Kansas. Expecting
additional severe weather as well though the evening with
significant hail threat, as well as isolated tornado and wind with
greatest focus near the frontal boundary (Garden city to Rush
county and south to the Highway 400 corridor. Expect convection to
persist beyond midnight into the early morning hours especially
in south central Kansas counties as the severe threat, (but not
heavy rain) weakens.

Severe convection chances look relatively high again for Tuesday as
the models suggest not enough push southward of the boundary to
get all of southwest Kansas out of the warm sector. By Tuesday we
will have a strong upper vortex moving though the desert southwest
states, while the 850mb from appears to shift slightly northward
during the day, developing a surface low near the panhandles/Elkhart
area by the overnight hours.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

By Wednesday, the front should move south of the region and
bringing a haul of cooler air over the entire area for the
remainder of the week. Stable high pressure settling across the
area Thursday and Friday, resulting in cooler temperatures will
eventually begin to slow recover as return winds develop int
saturday, and showers and thunderstorm chances begin to return to
the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

Thunderstorms will develop across much of southwest and central
Kansas later this evening, potentially affecting all terminals
with gusty outflow winds and low vsbys due to periods of heavy
rainfall. Meanwhile, low level stratus will continue to develop
along and behind a frontal boundary as it pushes slowly south
across western and central Kansas. Ongoing MVFR cigs at KHYS will
persist through this evening with IFR cigs possible generally
after 03Z as the stratus deck lowers overnight. MVFR, and
eventually IFR cigs, are expected to develop in the vicinity of
KGCK and KDDC later tonight with KLBL possibly affected toward
daybreak Tuesday morning.

Southerly winds 10 to 20kt will persist through mid/late evening
south of a near stationary frontal boundary extending across
southwest and central Kansas while northeast winds 10 to 20kt
prevail north of the boundary. The boundary is projected to begin
shifting southward overnight turning winds northeasterly 10 to
20kt across the remainder of southwest and central Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  67  55  69 /  70  70  80  30
GCK  51  63  50  63 /  70  60  70  40
EHA  52  68  50  64 /  30  50  50  20
LBL  55  70  53  68 /  40  70  70  20
HYS  49  59  51  62 /  90  70  80  60
P28  58  75  58  75 /  60  70  80  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for KSZ046-064>066-
078>081-087>090.

&&

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
435 AM CDT Mon May 6 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-070945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
435 AM CDT Mon May 6 2019 /335 AM MDT Mon May 6 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and early
tonight across southwest and south central Kansas. Baseball size
hail and wind gusts of 60 mph will be possible with some of these
storms. A few tornadoes will also be possible.

Periods of heavy rainfall from these storms overnight may result
in ponding of water on roadways or poor drainage areas. Localize
flash flooding can not be ruled out.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas Tuesday and Wednesday. Large hail,
damaging winds, and heavy rainfall will be the main threats with
the strongest storms. Tornadoes may be possible as well.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be required after 3 pm across southwest
and south central Kansas.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
642 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

KSZ066-070030-
Stafford KS-
642 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN STAFFORD COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM CDT...

At 641 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Seward, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm was developing rapidly in a very unstable environment and
may become severe soon!

Locations impacted include...
Hudson, Seward and Radium.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3810 9890 3826 9890 3826 9847 3802 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 255DEG 21KT 3821 9879

UMSCHEID

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
652 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

KSZ045-064-070045-
Hodgeman KS-Ness KS-
652 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN NESS AND NORTHEASTERN
HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

At 652 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Ness City, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This was a rapidly strengthening storm and may become severe soon!

Locations impacted include...
Gray and Bazine.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for southwestern
and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3823 10012 3835 10012 3848 9960 3813 9959
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 255DEG 21KT 3828 10001

UMSCHEID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
734 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             4 N SEWARD              38.24N 98.79W
05/06/2019  E1.00 INCH       STAFFORD           KS   PUBLIC

&&

LEE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
740 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

KSZ043-063-070130-
Finney KS-Scott KS-
740 PM CDT Mon May 6 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY AND
SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

At 739 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Friend, moving north at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Scott City, Shallow Water, Grigston and Friend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for southwestern
and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3813 10073 3820 10100 3854 10100 3853 10070
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 185DEG 19KT 3828 10088

RUSSELL