Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 5, 2019Clark County, Meade County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 5, 2019, 8:16 PM CDT for Clark County, Meade County, Kansas. It was in force for 38 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 5, 2019, 8:16 PM CDT (01:16 UTC)
Expired: May 5, 2019, 8:54 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 2.5 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Clark County, KS, Meade County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 5, 8:30 PM CDT	HAIL 1	5 Sse Fowler, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 5, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -204 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2431 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

607 
WUUS53 KDDC 060116
SVRDDC
KSC025-119-060215-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0038.190506T0116Z-190506T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
816 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Meade County in southwestern Kansas...
  West central Clark County in southwestern Kansas...

* Until 915 PM CDT.

* At 815 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fowler,
  moving southeast at 10 mph. A second severe thunderstorm was
  located 5 miles north of Meade. This storm was also moving
  southeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Meade and Fowler. 

This warning replaces the previous severe thunderstorm warnings
which were in effect for north central Meade County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to shelter inside a strong building,  and stay away from
windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3740 10045 3741 10008 3719 9985 3710 10008
      3713 10035
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 310DEG 8KT 3734 10013 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

3 follow-up statements

308 
WWUS53 KDDC 060133
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
833 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSC025-119-060215-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190506T0215Z/
Meade KS-Clark KS-
833 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL MEADE AND WEST CENTRAL CLARK COUNTIES...

At 833 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fowler, moving
south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Meade.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 10037 3738 10006 3719 9985 3710 10008
      3713 10033
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 343DEG 7KT 3730 10013 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

724 
WWUS53 KDDC 060144
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
844 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSC025-119-060215-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190506T0215Z/
Meade KS-Clark KS-
844 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL MEADE AND WEST CENTRAL CLARK COUNTIES...

At 843 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southeast of
Fowler, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east
central Meade and west central Clark Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 10020 3738 10006 3719 9985 3710 10008
      3712 10022
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 343DEG 7KT 3729 10012 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

158 
WWUS53 KDDC 060154
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
854 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSC025-119-060204-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190506T0215Z/
Meade KS-Clark KS-
854 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MEADE AND WEST
CENTRAL CLARK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However heavy rain is
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3734 10020 3738 10006 3719 9985 3710 10008
      3712 10022
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 310DEG 8KT 3727 10010 

$$

UMSCHEID

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 5, 7:41 PM CDT, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 7:41 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
741 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 740 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Much, much busier day than was planned. As of this writing, a
tornadic supercell continues in northern Meade county. Other than
the tornado/large hail threat, this slow -moving storm is
producing a serious flash flooding threat, with radar estimates now
passing 10 inches and still raining. Another supercell approaching
from the northwest will interact with this established supercell
over the next hour. The environment downstream from the Meade county
supercell looks favorable for supporting further tornadic potential,
as the low level jet increases. CAMs including the HRRR are
underperforming today, so will rely on radar trends.
Also, radar indicates a strong tornado passing through NE Stafford
county as of 740 pm. Drier more stable air has arrived roughly
north of US 50 as of 7:40 pm, where the severe thunderstorm watch
was cancelled early. Severe threat will continue for several more
hours in the counties adjacent to Oklahoma.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

The focus for thunderstorm chances shift slighty east across
southwest Kansas and into portions of central Kansas this evening
ahead of a slowly deepening surface low in extreme southwest Kansas.
A prevailing southerly flow will further enhance moisture advection
into central Kansas as a sharpening dryline attendant to the surface
low remains situated across southwest Kansas. Steepening low/mid
level lapse rates ahead of the dryline and more than sufficient
instability will set the stage for thunderstorm development later
this afternoon as a series of H5 vort maxima eject out of the
Colorado Rockies into the high plains. SBCAPE values upward of 2500
to 3000 J/kg, favorable 0-3km shear at 30kt, and a modest +60kt
westerly flow aloft will increase severe potential with large hail
and damaging winds the main threat. An isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

As for temperatures, look for lows back down into the 50s(F) tonight.
For Monday, highs will be dependent on how far south a cold front
pushes southward into western/central Kansas before stalling out.
Highs are expected to be in the mid/upper 60s(F) to possibly near 70F
behind the boundary in central Kansas Monday afternoon with the
lower/mid 80s(F) more likely closer to the Oklahoma border.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Regardless of weak ridging aloft moving out of the Southern Rockies
into the Western High Plains Monday, thunderstorms will be possible
Monday evening in vicinity of a cold front projected to push
southward through much of western and central Kansas late in the
day. Although upper level westerlies will be relativly weak,
abundant moisture/instability and sufficient forcing associated with
the frontal boundary should be enough to trigger thunderstorm
development across portions of southwest and central Kansas toward
the evening hours. Thunderstorm chances continue each day through at
least Wednesday due to little movment of the aforementioned frontal
boundary while an upper level trough pushes ashore into the Desert
Southwest Tuesday, setting up an increasingly difluent southwest
flow aloft across the Western High Plains.

Near to a little below normal temperatures are likely dependent on
the orientation of a near stationary frontal boundary draped across
the area Tuesday. Should see highs generally up into the 60s(F)
and the lower/mid 70s(F). Cooler air begins to spread into western
Kansas behind a strong cold frontal passage late Wednesday. Could
see a wide range of temperatures Wednesday with highs possibly
only up into the 50s(F) toward west central Kansas to the 70s(F)
further southeast...all dependent on timing of the front.
Significantly cooler air spilling into the area may limit highs
to the 50s(F) Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Scattered thunderstorms will track slowly east-southeast across
southwest Kansas into central Kansas through late this evening,
potentially affecting all terminal sites with gusty outflow winds
and large hail. Otherwise, predominately VFR conditions can be
expected through late this evening. Low level stratus is then
expected to develop along and behind a cold front as it pushes
southward across western and central Kansas overnight. MVFR cigs
will be possible at KHYS initially generally after 09Z and
potentially IFR cigs toward daybreak. MVFR cigs may reach as far
south/southwest as KGCK and KDDC. Besides possible gusty outflow
winds from vicinity thunderstorms, southerly winds generally 10 to
30kt will persist across central and portions of southwest Kansas
through late this evening as a surface low remains anchored
across extreme southwest Kansas. Southerly winds are expected to
subside overnight with the loss of daytime heating.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  76  54  71 /  70  40  50  50
GCK  53  71  51  68 /  30  40  50  50
EHA  52  82  53  75 /  10  20  30  30
LBL  55  82  55  74 /  40  30  40  40
HYS  55  65  49  61 /  60  50  70  60
P28  57  80  57  73 /  40  50  50  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Turner
SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 3:52 PM CDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-060945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019 /252 PM MDT Sun May 5 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon
in the vicinity of a sharpening dryline extending across southwest
Kansas, then move eastward into central Kansas through this evening.
Some storms may be severe capable of producing up to tennis ball
size hail and damging winds 60 to 70 mph. An isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas each day through Wednesday. Large hail,
damaging winds, and heavy rainfall will be the main threats with the
strongest storms. Tornadoes may be possible as well.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Monday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 5 PM generally east of a
Dighton to Liberal line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 5, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
645 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             6 NNE HUGOTON           37.25N 101.28W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 6:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
656 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TORNADO          6 NE MISSLER            37.38N 100.36W
05/05/2019                   MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 6:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
659 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             6 NNE HUGOTON           37.25N 101.28W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 7:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
706 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     TORNADO          6 NE MISSLER            37.39N 100.37W
05/05/2019                   MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 7:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
711 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0709 PM     HAIL             5 N MEADE               37.36N 100.34W
05/05/2019  E1.50 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 7:56 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
756 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             5 SSW MONTEZUMA         37.53N 100.49W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 5, 7:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	44 min
May 5, 7:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Meade	45 min
May 5, 7:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Stafford	30 min
May 5, 7:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray, Meade	56 min
May 5, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	46 min
May 5, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark	49 min
May 5, 8:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Meade	28 min
May 5, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	53 min
May 5, 9:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	53 min
May 6, 12:27 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Meade	12 hr
May 6, 4:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman and 6 more	62 hr
May 6, 6:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Stafford	48 min
May 6, 6:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ness	53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.