Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Dodge City, KS

761 
WWUS53 KDDC 060053
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
753 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSC069-060102-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190506T0130Z/
Gray KS-
753 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GRAY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3746 10052 3747 10036 3743 10032 3736 10046
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 319DEG 18KT 3741 10043 

$$

KSC119-060130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190506T0130Z/
Meade KS-
753 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL MEADE COUNTY...

At 752 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Missler, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of north
central Meade County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10052 3747 10036 3743 10032 3736 10046
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 319DEG 18KT 3741 10043 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
600 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

The focus for thunderstorm chances shift slighty east across
southwest Kansas and into portions of central Kansas this evening
ahead of a slowly deepening surface low in extreme southwest Kansas.
A prevailing southerly flow will further enhance moisture advection
into central Kansas as a sharpening dryline attendant to the surface
low remains situated across southwest Kansas. Steepening low/mid
level lapse rates ahead of the dryline and more than sufficient
instability will set the stage for thunderstorm development later
this afternoon as a series of H5 vort maxima eject out of the
Colorado Rockies into the high plains. SBCAPE values upward of 2500
to 3000 J/kg, favorable 0-3km shear at 30kt, and a modest +60kt
westerly flow aloft will increase severe potential with large hail
and damaging winds the main threat. An isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

As for temperatures, look for lows back down into the 50s(F) tonight.
For Monday, highs will be dependent on how far south a cold front
pushes southward into western/central Kansas before stalling out.
Highs are expected to be in the mid/upper 60s(F) to possibly near 70F
behind the boundary in central Kansas Monday afternoon with the
lower/mid 80s(F) more likely closer to the Oklahoma border.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Regardless of weak ridging aloft moving out of the Southern Rockies
into the Western High Plains Monday, thunderstorms will be possible
Monday evening in vicinity of a cold front projected to push
southward through much of western and central Kansas late in the
day. Although upper level westerlies will be relativly weak,
abundant moisture/instability and sufficient forcing associated with
the frontal boundary should be enough to trigger thunderstorm
development across portions of southwest and central Kansas toward
the evening hours. Thunderstorm chances continue each day through at
least Wednesday due to little movment of the aforementioned frontal
boundary while an upper level trough pushes ashore into the Desert
Southwest Tuesday, setting up an increasingly difluent southwest
flow aloft across the Western High Plains.

Near to a little below normal temperatures are likely dependent on
the orientation of a near stationary frontal boundary draped across
the area Tuesday. Should see highs generally up into the 60s(F)
and the lower/mid 70s(F). Cooler air begins to spread into western
Kansas behind a strong cold frontal passage late Wednesday. Could
see a wide range of temperatures Wednesday with highs possibly
only up into the 50s(F) toward west central Kansas to the 70s(F)
further southeast...all dependent on timing of the front.
Significantly cooler air spilling into the area may limit highs
to the 50s(F) Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Scattered thunderstorms will track slowly east-southeast across
southwest Kansas into central Kansas through late this evening,
potentially affecting all terminal sites with gusty outflow winds
and large hail. Otherwise, predominately VFR conditions can be
expected through late this evening. Low level stratus is then
expected to develop along and behind a cold front as it pushes
southward across western and central Kansas overnight. MVFR cigs
will be possible at KHYS initially generally after 09Z and
potentially IFR cigs toward daybreak. MVFR cigs may reach as far
south/southwest as KGCK and KDDC. Besides possible gusty outflow
winds from vicinity thunderstorms, southerly winds generally 10 to
30kt will persist across central and portions of southwest Kansas
through late this evening as a surface low remains anchored
across extreme southwest Kansas. Southerly winds are expected to
subside overnight with the loss of daytime heating.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  76  54  71 /  60  40  50  50
GCK  53  71  51  68 /  20  40  50  50
EHA  52  82  53  75 /  10  20  30  30
LBL  55  82  55  74 /  30  30  40  40
HYS  55  65  49  61 /  30  50  70  60
P28  57  80  57  73 /  30  50  50  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-060945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019 /252 PM MDT Sun May 5 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon
in the vicinity of a sharpening dryline extending across southwest
Kansas, then move eastward into central Kansas through this evening.
Some storms may be severe capable of producing up to tennis ball
size hail and damging winds 60 to 70 mph. An isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas each day through Wednesday. Large hail,
damaging winds, and heavy rainfall will be the main threats with the
strongest storms. Tornadoes may be possible as well.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Monday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 5 PM generally east of a
Dighton to Liberal line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
624 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TORNADO          5 N MISSLER             37.39N 100.42W
05/05/2019                   MEADE              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
645 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             6 NNE HUGOTON           37.25N 101.28W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
656 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TORNADO          6 NE MISSLER            37.38N 100.36W
05/05/2019                   MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
659 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             6 NNE HUGOTON           37.25N 101.28W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
706 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     TORNADO          6 NE MISSLER            37.39N 100.37W
05/05/2019                   MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
711 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0709 PM     HAIL             5 N MEADE               37.36N 100.34W
05/05/2019  E1.50 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&