Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 19, 2019Clark County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2019, 6:18 PM CDT for Clark County, Kansas. It was in force for 57 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2019, 6:18 PM CDT (23:18 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2019, 7:15 PM CDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.75 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Clark County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 19, 6:42 PM CDT	HAIL 2.75	Ashland, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 24 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 19, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -236 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1061 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

181 
WUUS53 KDDC 192318
SVRDDC
KSC025-200015-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0202.190619T2318Z-190620T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
618 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Clark County in southwestern Kansas...

* Until 715 PM CDT.

* At 618 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Clark State
  Lake, moving southeast at 35 mph.

  This is a very dangerous storm.

  HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. 
           Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, 
           siding, and vehicles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Ashland, Sitka and Clark State Lake. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 9992 3742 9979 3720 9955 3708 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 324DEG 33KT 3730 9982 

HAIL...2.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

3 follow-up statements

903 
WWUS53 KDDC 192324
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
624 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

KSC025-200015-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-190620T0015Z/
Clark KS-
624 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY...

At 624 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ashland, moving
southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Sitka and Clark State Lake. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 9990 3741 9978 3720 9955 3708 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 325DEG 31KT 3726 9979 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

443 
WWUS53 KDDC 192335
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
635 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

KSC025-200015-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-190620T0015Z/
Clark KS-
635 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY...

At 635 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Ashland,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland and Sitka. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 9990 3734 9979 3720 9955 3708 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 324DEG 27KT 3721 9974 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

110 
WWUS53 KDDC 200007
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
707 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

KSC025-200016-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-190620T0015Z/
Clark KS-
707 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 715 PM CDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3729 9990 3734 9979 3720 9955 3708 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 324DEG 33KT 3698 9953 

$$

TURNER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 6:02 PM CDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 6:02 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
602 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

Morning low clouds continue to move through central Kansas with a
departing upper level trough and sun has broke out over eastern
Colorado and western Kansas. A shortwave is moving through eastern
Colorado into western Kansas and will be the focus for the chance
of an isolated storm or two late this afternoon into the evening.
Latest models indicate an instability axis between Garden City and
Dodge of CAPE values in the 1500 range with bulk shears values in
the 35 kt range. As the shortwave moves through a weak cold front
should be enough to lift the airmass to produce the isolated
strong to marginally severe storm with hail up to quarters and
wind gusts over 50 mph. This activity should die off shortly
after sunset and the rest of the evening will be quiet with lows
in the low to mid 60s.

Thursday through the day the upper level winds start switching to
a southwest direction allowing drier air to move into western
Kansas as dewpoints are forecast to lower throughout the day.
Given the unusually wet ground across much of Kansas went a
couple degrees below model guidance due to the ground having
plenty of moisture to evaporate with highs in the upper 80s to low
90s. Another weak frontal boundary across southwest Kansas
combining with an upcoming shortwave from eastern Colorado
bringing in a dryline may be enough lift to develop some isolated
storms late in the day.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

Another round of convection is expected to develop Thursday night
in northwest Kansas as another shortwave moves in from northeast
Colorado. This area of convection should continue eastward along
mainly the I-70 corridor through the overnight before exiting by
sunrise Friday morning.

Friday most models are still trending warmer than what I
personally think will happen. Most models want a high 90s and low
100s solution but given the unusually moist ground for June even
if the dry air aloft comes in evaporation from the soil moisture
should keep high temperatures more in the mid 90s range. Given how
cool we've been this year it still could be the warmest
temperatures we've experienced so far this season.

Saturday a cold front moves into western Kansas and now models
want to stall out the boundary and perhaps lift back to the north
as a warm front. A closed upper low in Wyoming will rotate a
strong shortwave into southeast Colorado and southwest Kansas
which could produce an afternoon round of storms along the front.
Overnight convection coming in from eastern Colorado into western
Kansas could produce a round 2 scenario for Saturday night into
Sunday morning. Given the strength of the forecast upper low and
shortwave...this appears to be our next chance of perhaps a more
widespread severe weather scenario.

The upper level trough will slowly move out of the central plains
Monday and we may finally have the start of a ridging pattern with
drier weather from Tuesday into Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 554 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

VFR conditions will prevail overnight with skies becoming mostly
clear. Winds will generally be light and variable overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  60  90  66  95 /  10  20  10   0
GCK  60  90  63  93 /  10  20  10   0
EHA  62  92  62  94 /  10  20  10   0
LBL  63  93  64  95 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  60  88  67  90 /  10  20  30  10
P28  63  91  68  97 /  30   0  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 5:26 AM CDT, 12 hours 52 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
526 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
526 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 /426 AM MDT Wed Jun 19 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

An isolated strong to perhaps severe thunderstorm or two will
develop across far west central or northwest Kansas later this
afternoon. The probability of severe weather over any one
location, however, is very low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a chance for severe thunderstorm development along a
stalled out front late Thursday, but the better chance for more
organized severe thunderstorms across the southwest Kansas region
will be Saturday and perhaps into Sunday ahead of the next large
scale storm system. Ahead of this storm system on Friday, very hot
temperatures will likely develop south of the Arkansas River with
highs approaching or reaching 100 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
516 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             2 NNE DODGE CITY        37.79N 100.01W
06/19/2019  M1.00 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            REPORTED THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

MR

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:33 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
533 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             6 N MINNEOLA            37.53N 100.02W
06/19/2019  E2.00 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:38 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
538 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             7 N MINNEOLA            37.55N 100.02W
06/19/2019  E3.00 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:45 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
545 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             4 NNW ENSIGN            37.71N 100.27W
06/19/2019  M1.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

            REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

MR

Local storm report, Jun 19, 6:00 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
600 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     HAIL             1 WSW GREENSBURG        37.60N 99.30W
06/19/2019  E1.00 INCH       KIOWA              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

Local storm report, Jun 19, 6:13 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
613 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HEAVY RAIN       8 N JETMORE             38.20N 99.89W
06/19/2019  M1.10 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 8:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Morton, Stanton	56 min
Jun 18, 8:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	54 min
Jun 18, 8:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	46 min
Jun 18, 9:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	27 min
Jun 18, 9:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray, Haskell	54 min
Jun 18, 10:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade	39 min
Jun 18, 10:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Comanche	55 min
Jun 18, 10:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	52 min
Jun 18, 11:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Comanche	46 min
Jun 19, 12:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	51 min
Jun 19, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	43 min
Jun 19, 3:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	55 min
Jun 19, 3:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ness	38 min
Jun 19, 3:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ness	49 min
Jun 19, 3:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ness	42 min
Jun 19, 3:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	52 min
Jun 19, 3:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	36 min
Jun 19, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman	46 min
Jun 19, 4:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford	33 min
Jun 19, 4:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman	40 min
Jun 19, 4:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	37 min
Jun 19, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	33 min
Jun 19, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa	47 min
Jun 19, 5:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	51 min
Jun 19, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	46 min
Jun 19, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	44 min
Jun 19, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt	41 min
Jun 19, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt	52 min
Jun 19, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche, Pratt	47 min
Jun 19, 6:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	49 min
Jun 19, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.