Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 1, 2019Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Feb 1, 2019, 4:38 AM EST for Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 82 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2019, 4:38 AM EST (09:38 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2019, 6:00 AM EST
In force
82 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1825 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
89 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Feb 1, 4:21 AM EST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 4:21 AM EST, 17 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 6:38 PM EST, 10 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

NYZ006>008-020000-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Wind Chill Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-020000-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

A warm up next week may cause flooding from melting snow and ice
jams.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-020000-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-020000-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

JJR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 31, 11:48 PM EST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1148 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

NYZ006>008-010615-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
1148 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
JEFFERSON...CENTRAL LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 1143 PM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall
rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour extended from near Ellibsurg and
Mannsvile eastward across the Tug Hill to just south of Lowville.
This band was drifting very slowly to the south at about 5 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are occuring in and near this band of lake
effect snow. This will result in blowing and drifting snow with
greatly reduced visibility.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Lowville, Pulaski, Adams, Redfield,
Selkirk Shores State Park, Highmarket, Barnes Corners, Whetstone Gulf
State Park, Southwick Beach State Park, Richland, Watson,
Martinsburg, Lyonsdale, Greig, Orwell, Lorraine, Sandy Creek, Port
Leyden and Lacona.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 36 and 40.

Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this band of lake effect snow.

If you must travel in this area, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on
roads.

LAT...LON 4353 7529 4353 7649 4356 7645 4357 7636
      4356 7631 4358 7626 4369 7626 4380 7631
      4384 7514 4361 7511

RSH
Special weather statement, Feb 1, 1:43 AM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
143 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2019

NYZ006>008-010815-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
143 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2019

...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MOST
JEFFERSON...SOUTHERN LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 140 AM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall
rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour extended from Sandy Creek across the
Tug Hill to Port Leyden amd Constableville. The band of snow was
slowly pushing south at 10 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Pulaski, Redfield, Selkirk Shores
State Park, Highmarket, Mexico Point State Park, Nine Mile Point,
Whetstone Gulf State Park, Richland, Lyonsdale, Greig, Orwell, Sandy
Creek, Port Leyden, Lacona, Lyons Falls, Altmar, Mannsville,
Ellisburg and Constableville.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 35 and 39.

Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this band of lake effect snow.

If you must travel in this area, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on
roads.

LAT...LON 4348 7541 4352 7651 4356 7645 4357 7628
      4373 7627 4370 7512 4361 7511

RSH
Special weather statement, Feb 1, 3:13 AM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
313 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2019

NYZ006-008-010945-
Oswego-Lewis-
313 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LEWIS AND NORTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 310 AM EST, an area of heavy snow was located along a line
extending from Mexico bay and Pulaski across the southern slopes of
the Tug Hill to near Constableville. The heaviest portion of this
band was confined to northern Oswego county where snowfall rates of
up to 2 inches an hour were being experienced.  The band is slowly
drifting to the south and weakening...while its inland reach is
diminishing.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Pulaski, Redfield, Selkirk Shores
State Park, Nine Mile Point, Mexico Point State Park, Richland, New
Haven, Mexico, Williamstown, Orwell, Sandy Creek, Lacona, Altmar,
Osceola, Howardville, Salmon River Reservoir, Kasoag, North Osceola
and Swancott Mill.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 34 and 36.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.

LAT...LON 4343 7560 4348 7581 4339 7586 4350 7654
      4356 7645 4357 7636 4356 7631 4356 7628
      4365 7626 4362 7557
TIME...MOT...LOC 0810Z 284DEG 11KT 4362 7671 4359 7583

RSH
Special weather statement, Feb 1, 4:38 AM EST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 8:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis86 min
Jan 31, 9:49 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis86 min
Jan 31, 11:48 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis87 min
Feb 1, 1:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis92 min
Feb 1, 3:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego92 min
Feb 1, 12:31 PM ESTFlood WatchBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more5 days
Feb 1, 1:05 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF32 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.