Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 31, 2019Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jan 31, 2019, 11:48 PM EST for Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 87 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2019, 11:48 PM EST (04:48 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2019, 1:15 AM EST
In force
87 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1825 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
89 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 31, 9:52 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 9:52 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
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</head>
<body>
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 6:38 PM EST, 5 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

NYZ006>008-020000-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Wind Chill Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-020000-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

A warm up next week may cause flooding from melting snow and ice
jams.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-020000-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-020000-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
638 PM EST Thu Jan 31 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

JJR

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 31, 6:41 PM EST, 5 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
641 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     SNOW             1 ESE EAST AURORA       42.76N  78.60W
01/31/2019  M5.0 INCH        ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0636 PM     SNOW             S WATERTOWN             43.97N  75.91W
01/31/2019  M34.2 INCH       JEFFERSON          NY   COCORAHS

            7.4 INCHES IN THE PAST 2 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900679
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900680

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 31, 8:19 PM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
819 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

NYZ007-008-010245-
Jefferson-Lewis-
819 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON
AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES...

At 816 PM EST, A band of intense lake effect snow producing snow
fall rate of 3 to 4 inches per hour will continue to drift very
slowly south across southern Jefferson County and northern and
central Lewis County. The band of heavy snow is beginning to move
away from the Watertown and Fort Drum areas, conditions will improve
along the Route 3 corridor by mid evening.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are occuring in and near this band of lake
effect snow, producing whiteout conditions. Travel within this band
of heavy snow will be nearly impossible.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 39 and 44.

Other highways impacted include Route 11 from Mannsville to
Watertown, Route 3 south of Watertown, and Route 177.

If you must travel, be prepared for severe winter driving conditions
with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads.

LAT...LON 4378 7523 4369 7626 4378 7629 4383 7636
      4387 7635 4386 7638 4390 7641 4391 7632
      4390 7633 4392 7629 4406 7523 4390 7515

Hitchcock
Local storm report, Jan 31, 9:13 PM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
913 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 PM     SNOW             S WATERTOWN             43.97N  75.91W
01/31/2019  M37.6 INCH       JEFFERSON          NY   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900681

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 31, 9:49 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
949 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

NYZ006>008-010415-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
949 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON...CENTRAL LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 946 PM EST, A band of intense lake effect snow producing snow
fall rate of 3 to 4 inches per hour was located from Adams to Barnes
Corners and West Lowville. This band of heavy snow is moving south
and and will begin to impact northern Oswego County between 10 PM
and 11 PM.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are occuring in and near this band of lake
effect snow.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 37 and 42.

Other highways impacted include Route 11 from Adams to Pulaski,
Route 3, and Route 177.

If you must travel, be prepared for severe winter driving conditions
with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads.

LAT...LON 4358 7539 4361 7626 4369 7626 4378 7629
      4382 7635 4397 7534 4380 7523

Hitchcock
Local storm report, Jan 31, 9:51 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     SNOW             BATAVIA                 43.03N  78.17W
01/31/2019  M5.0 INCH        GENESEE            NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0950 PM     SNOW             3 SSW MARILLA           42.80N  78.55W
01/31/2019  M15.5 INCH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0950 PM     SNOW             RUTLAND CENTER          43.95N  75.81W
01/31/2019  E35.0 INCH       JEFFERSON          NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900682
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900683
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900684

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 31, 11:48 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1148 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

NYZ006>008-010615-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
1148 PM EST THU JAN 31 2019

...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
JEFFERSON...CENTRAL LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 1143 PM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall
rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour extended from near Ellibsurg and
Mannsvile eastward across the Tug Hill to just south of Lowville.
This band was drifting very slowly to the south at about 5 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are occuring in and near this band of lake
effect snow. This will result in blowing and drifting snow with
greatly reduced visibility.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Lowville, Pulaski, Adams, Redfield,
Selkirk Shores State Park, Highmarket, Barnes Corners, Whetstone Gulf
State Park, Southwick Beach State Park, Richland, Watson,
Martinsburg, Lyonsdale, Greig, Orwell, Lorraine, Sandy Creek, Port
Leyden and Lacona.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 36 and 40.

Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this band of lake effect snow.

If you must travel in this area, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on
roads.

LAT...LON 4353 7529 4353 7649 4356 7645 4357 7636
      4356 7631 4358 7626 4369 7626 4380 7631
      4384 7514 4361 7511

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 8:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis86 min
Jan 31, 9:49 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis86 min
Feb 1, 1:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis92 min
Feb 1, 3:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego92 min
Feb 1, 4:38 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego82 min
Feb 1, 12:31 PM ESTFlood WatchBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more5 days
Feb 1, 1:05 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF32 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.