Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 25, 2019Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jan 25, 2019, 1:57 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 108 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2019, 1:57 PM EST (18:57 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2019, 3:45 PM EST
In force
108 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -81 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1014 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
95 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 25, 10:22 AM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 10:22 AM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 5:20 AM EST, 8 hours 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

NYZ012-019-020-085-261030-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-261030-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-013-014-021-261030-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
Allegany-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-261030-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Ontario.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-261030-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-261030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 25, 12:00 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jan 25, 12:23 PM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 1:05 PM EST, 52 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jan 25, 1:38 PM EST, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
138 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             7 SW ATTICA             42.80N  78.39W
01/25/2019  M6.3 INCH        WYOMING            NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0100 PM     SNOW             3 NE BOSTON             42.66N  78.70W
01/25/2019  M13.7 INCH       ERIE               NY   SNOW SPOTTER

0130 PM     SNOW             S WATERTOWN             43.97N  75.91W
01/25/2019  M5.9 INCH        JEFFERSON          NY   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900460
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900461
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900462

DPK
Special weather statement, Jan 25, 1:46 PM EST, 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
146 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

NYZ012-019-020-085-252045-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-Wyoming-
146 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WYOMING...
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA
COUNTIES...

At 139 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snowfall rates
of 1 to 2 inches per hour extends from Brocton to Hamburg. The band
then stretches across East Aurora, Marilla and through Attica, with
impacts throughout the hills to the south to about Cattaraugus
Creek.  This band will begin to strengthen again during the
afternoon and start to move to the north.  This will have an adverse
effect on the commute for anyone travelling south of Buffalo
through this evening. The band will move north into Metro Buffalo by
around nightfall.

Locations impacted include...
Dunkirk, Fredonia, Hamburg, East Aurora, Evans, Boston, Eden, Perry,
Warsaw, Bennington, Colden, Orchard Park, Silver Creek, Attica,
Angola, North Collins, Derby, and Wales Center.

This includes Interstate 90 between exits 59 and 57.

LAT...LON 4244 7950 4253 7939 4259 7919 4269 7910
      4281 7886 4278 7885 4278 7849 4287 7849
      4286 7796 4273 7796 4231 7977

Zaff
Special weather statement, Jan 25, 1:57 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
157 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

NYZ007-008-252045-
Jefferson-Lewis-
157 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND
CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES...

At 155 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snowfall rates
of 1 to 2 inches per hour extends from Watertown to Harrisville.
This band is expected to start to move to the south this afternoon
and begin to affect northern portions of the Tug Plateau.

Some locations that are or will be impacted include...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Stony Point, Carthage, Lowville, West Carthage,
Adams, Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Henderson Harbor,
Barnes Corners, Denmark, New Bremen, Watson, Sackets Harbor,
Henderson and Black River.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 39 and 48.

LAT...LON 4370 7626 4378 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635
      4384 7644 4387 7650 4390 7650 4419 7538
      4410 7517 4378 7513

Zaff

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 12:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee81 min
Jan 25, 2:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee54 min
Jan 25, 5:58 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Erie, Wyoming92 min
Jan 25, 6:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Ontario89 min
Jan 25, 7:35 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming55 min
Jan 25, 8:34 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming86 min
Jan 25, 8:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston83 min
Jan 25, 8:57 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFLivingston9 hr
Jan 25, 9:02 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson88 min
Jan 25, 9:44 AM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningBUF12 hr
Jan 25, 9:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming111 min
Jan 25, 10:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson2 hr
Jan 25, 11:56 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming109 min
Jan 25, 12:00 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson2 hr
Jan 25, 1:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming119 min
Jan 25, 3:47 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee118 min
Jan 25, 4:04 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis116 min
Jan 25, 6:21 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee84 min
Jan 25, 6:48 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson87 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.