Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 25, 2019Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jan 25, 2019, 12:00 PM EST for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2019, 12:00 PM EST (17:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2019, 2:00 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -81 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1014 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
95 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 25, 10:22 AM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 10:22 AM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 5:20 AM EST, 6 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

NYZ012-019-020-085-261030-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-261030-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-013-014-021-261030-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
Allegany-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-261030-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

A bitterly cold arctic airmass will arrive Wednesday and Thursday of
next week. Wind chills may become dangerously cold during this
period. There may also be lake effect snow and blowing snow east and
northeast of Lake Ontario.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-261030-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-261030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
520 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 25, 9:54 AM EST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
954 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-251645-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-Wyoming-Genesee-Northern Erie-
954 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WYOMING...NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHEASTERN
GENESEE COUNTIES...

At 950 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour will continue along the Lake Erie shore
from Westfield to Hamburg.  This band extends inland across the
Southtowns as well as southern Genesee and northwestern Wyoming
counties. This band of heavy snow will remain roughly in place
through noon.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will produce significant blowing and
drifting snow with brief periods of near whiteout conditions.

Locations impacted include...
Dunkirk, Fredonia, Hamburg, East Aurora, Boston, Eden, Le Roy,
Springville, Perry, Warsaw, Bennington, Colden, Westfield, Gowanda,
Silver Creek, Attica, Pavilion, Angola and Arcade.

This includes Interstate 90 between exits 61 and 57A.

LAT...LON 4244 7950 4253 7939 4304 7791 4295 7791
      4290 7796 4267 7795 4258 7805 4253 7805
      4252 7831 4248 7831 4220 7976 4227 7976
      4228 7973 4231 7977

Zaff
Local storm report, Jan 25, 10:04 AM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1004 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 AM     SNOW             AURORA                  42.72N  78.61W
01/25/2019  M10.4 INCH       ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            VISIBILITY LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900456

DPK
Special weather statement, Jan 25, 10:13 AM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1013 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

NYZ007-008-251715-
Jefferson-Lewis-
1013 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...

At 1010 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 1 to 3 inches per hour extends from Watertown, northern portions
of the Tug Hill Plateau, and northeast to Harrisville.  This band is
expected to vary in intensity this morning and remain roughly in
place through noon.

Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Stony Point, Carthage, West Carthage, Adams,
Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Henderson Harbor, Denmark,
Sackets Harbor, Henderson, Black River, Smithville, Philadelphia,
Rodman, and Copenhagen.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 45 and 48.

LAT...LON 4379 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635 4385 7642
      4396 7644 4396 7634 4402 7636 4405 7639
      4426 7553 4410 7517 4386 7514

Zaff
Local storm report, Jan 25, 11:30 AM EST, 30 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 11:56 AM EST, 4 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 12:00 PM EST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 12:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee81 min
Jan 25, 2:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee54 min
Jan 25, 5:58 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Erie, Wyoming92 min
Jan 25, 6:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Ontario89 min
Jan 25, 7:35 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming55 min
Jan 25, 8:34 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming86 min
Jan 25, 8:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston83 min
Jan 25, 8:57 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFLivingston9 hr
Jan 25, 9:02 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson88 min
Jan 25, 9:44 AM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningBUF12 hr
Jan 25, 9:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming111 min
Jan 25, 10:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson2 hr
Jan 25, 11:56 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua, Wyoming109 min
Jan 25, 1:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming119 min
Jan 25, 1:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis108 min
Jan 25, 3:47 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee118 min
Jan 25, 4:04 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis116 min
Jan 25, 6:21 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee84 min
Jan 25, 6:48 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson87 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.