Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Oct 31, 2019, 8:41 PM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oneida County, New York. It took effect at Nov 1, 2019, 7:28 AM EDT. It was in force for 32 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 31, 2019, 8:41 PM EDT (00:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 1, 2019, 7:28 AM EDT
- Expired
- Nov 2, 2019, 3:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 32 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oneida County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River at Boonville (BOON6). The gauge peaked at 10.92 ft at Nov 1, 2019, 4:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 8 ft
- Minor stage
- 10 ft
- Moderate stage
- 11 ft
- Major stage
- 12 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04252500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
265
WGUS41 KBUF 010041
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
841 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...
Black River At Boonville
Moose River Below McKeever
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-010640-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0002.191101T1851Z-191102T1930Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1851Z.191102T0000Z.191102T1330Z.NR/
841 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Black River At Boonville
* from Friday afternoon to Saturday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Friday afternoon and crest near 10.6 feet Friday evening.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-010640-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0003.191101T2200Z-191102T0840Z/
/MCKN6.1.ER.191101T2200Z.191102T0000Z.191102T0240Z.NO/
841 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Moose River Below McKeever
* from Friday evening to late Friday night.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 4.9 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday
evening and crest near 12.4 feet Friday evening.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, water flows across portions of
Moose River Road and impacts some camps.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$
NYC029-121-010640-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0004.191101T0206Z-191101T1018Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.191101T0206Z.191101T0300Z.191101T0418Z.UU/
841 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* until Friday morning.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 7.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 8.3 feet tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in lowlying areas
of Lancaster and Alden.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
Apffel8 follow-up statements
298
WGUS81 KBUF 010549
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
149 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Moose River Below McKeever
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-011148-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.191101T1048Z-191102T1617Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1048Z.191102T0000Z.191102T1017Z.NR/
149 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* from this morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 1 AM Friday the stage was 8.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this
morning and crest near 10.8 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...flood stage, widespread farmland flooding
in the Flats area. Several roads may be closed in Glenfield,
Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-011148-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.191101T2100Z-191102T0930Z/
/MCKN6.1.ER.191101T2100Z.191102T0000Z.191102T0330Z.NO/
149 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
The Moose River Below McKeever
* from this afternoon to late tonight.
* At 1 AM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon and crest near 12.7 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, water flows across portions of
Moose River Road and impacts some camps.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$
Hitchcock285
WGUS81 KBUF 011023
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
623 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Moose River Below McKeever
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-011622-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.191101T1128Z-191102T1617Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1128Z.191102T0000Z.191102T1017Z.NR/
623 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 6 AM Friday the stage was 9.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this
morning and crest near 10.8 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...flood stage, widespread farmland flooding
in the Flats area. Several roads may be closed in Port Leyden,
Glenfield, Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-011622-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.191101T1734Z-191102T0140Z/
/MCKN6.1.ER.191101T1734Z.191101T1800Z.191101T1940Z.NO/
623 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Moose River Below McKeever
* from this afternoon to this evening.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this
afternoon and crest near 12.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, water flows across portions of
Moose River Road and impacts some camps. Flooding along the river
near Lyons Falls.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$
Hitchcock098
WGUS41 KBUF 011508
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1108 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for The
following rivers in New York...
Black River At Boonville
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for The
following rivers in New York...
Moose River Below McKeever
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-012107-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T1715Z/
/BOON6.2.ER.191101T1304Z.191102T0000Z.191102T1115Z.NR/
1108 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate SEVERITY...
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Boonville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.1 feet
this evening.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-012107-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.191101T1507Z-191102T1536Z/
/MCKN6.2.ER.191101T1357Z.191101T1800Z.191102T0936Z.NO/
1108 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate SEVERITY...
The flood warning continues for
the Moose River Below McKeever
* until Saturday morning.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 12.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 13.2 feet
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 13.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding in low lying areas
in Lyons Falls, Goulds Mill, and Lyonsdale. Shibley Bridge may be
closed. Moose River Road flooded, especially near Route 28.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$202
WGUS81 KBUF 012023
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
423 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Moose River Below McKeever
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-020224-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T1715Z/
/BOON6.2.ER.191101T1304Z.191102T0000Z.191102T1115Z.NR/
423 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 4 PM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.1 feet
this evening.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-020224-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191102T1536Z/
/MCKN6.2.ER.191101T1357Z.191101T1531Z.191102T0936Z.NO/
423 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Moose River Below McKeever
* until Saturday morning.
* At 4 PM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* IMPACT...At 13.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding in low lying areas
in Lyons Falls, Goulds Mill, and Lyonsdale. Shibley Bridge may be
closed. Moose River Road flooded, especially near Route 28.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$649
WGUS41 KBUF 020019
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
819 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
Black River At Boonville
Moose River Below McKeever
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-020620-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T2100Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1304Z.191101T2216Z.191102T1500Z.NR/
819 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Boonville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC043-049-065-020620-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191102T1410Z/
/MCKN6.2.ER.191101T1357Z.191101T1531Z.191102T0810Z.NO/
819 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019
The flood warning continues for
the Moose River Below McKeever
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* IMPACT...At 13.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding in low lying areas
in Lyons Falls, Goulds Mill, and Lyonsdale. Shibley Bridge may be
closed. Moose River Road flooded, especially near Route 28.
&&
LAT...LON 4366 7506 4360 7506 4358 7514 4359 7537
4365 7538
$$866
WGUS81 KBUF 020449
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1249 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-021048-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T2000Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1304Z.191101T2216Z.191102T1400Z.NR/
1249 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until this afternoon.
* At 12 AM Saturday the stage was 10.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to drop below flood stage late
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Minor flood, widespread farmland flooding
in the Flats area. Several roads closed along the river in
Glenfield, Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
Hitchcock599
WGUS81 KBUF 021011
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
611 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-021610-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T2000Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1304Z.191101T2216Z.191102T1400Z.NR/
611 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Saturday the stage was 10.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, widespread farmland flooding in
the Flats area. Several roads may be closed in Glenfield,
Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC045-049-021610-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.191105T0100Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.191105T0100Z.191105T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday evening until further notice.
* At 5 AM Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
evening, with a crest near 10.5 feet Tuesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
Hitchcock440
WGUS81 KBUF 021545
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1145 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-021615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191102T2000Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.191101T1304Z.191101T2216Z.191102T1125Z.NR/
1145 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Black River At Boonville.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 9.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this morning and will
continue to fall to around 8.3 feet by Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, widespread farmland flooding in
the Flats area. Several roads may be closed in Glenfield,
Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC045-049-022144-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.191104T1900Z-191105T1000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.191104T1900Z.191105T0100Z.191105T0400Z.NO/
1145 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2019
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday afternoon to late Monday night.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 8.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Monday
afternoon and crest near 10.1 feet Monday evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
ApffelWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 31, 8:15 PM EDT, 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 8:15 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
815 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will strengthen as it moves across the eastern
Great Lakes this evening and into southern Quebec by Friday
morning. Heavy rain will taper to showers from west to east
tonight. Meanwhile, a strong cold front will sweep east across
the region this evening, with damaging winds developing in the
wake of the cold front tonight through Friday. Much colder air
will move into the region Friday through the weekend, with the
first snowflakes of the season possible in some areas east of
the lakes.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At 7 p.m. a 992 surface low was centered across western Lake
Ontario with a cold front extending southward from this low
across Buffalo and through Jamestown. There is a gust front with
this front producing gusts of 40 to 50 mph. This front will
continue to move across the region this evening, reaching
Rochester shortly after 8 p.m. and Watertown shortly after 10
p.m. This front will NOT be the strongest winds of the night.
The strongest winds will arrive around midnight across far
western New York, and spread eastward from Rochester to
Watertown between 1 a.m. and 4 a.m. The feature causing this is
a secondary trough axis which is still across western Lake Erie
early this evening. This coincides with a strong 60 knot low
level jet, a good part of which will mix to the surface due to a
well aligned WSW cold air advection flow. The HRRR has been
useful in timing each of these features.
A line of convection which developed east of Lake Ontario late
this afternoon has moved to the east, which will end our severe
weather threat. The steady rain will effectively end with the
passage of the cold front, but the eastern Lake Ontario region
can expect several more hours of moderate to heavy rainfall this
evening. This combined with previous rainfall will pose a risk
for flooding east of Lake Ontario which is further discussed in
the hydrology section.
Damaging winds...
Following the passage of the secondary trough late tonight and
Friday morning, the boundary layer flow will veer more westerly
as the low reaches southern Quebec. Following the wind direction
change to westerly, there will be a period of a few hours with
60+ knot winds at 850mb. Past events have shown this strong
westerly flow signaling wind damage spreading well inland across
the interior Southern Tier and western Finger Lakes, rather
than staying in the typical lake plain locations.
Potential Vorticity analysis of this system is impressive, with
the 1.5 PVU surface descending to below 700mb. This suggests a
tropopause fold and intrusion of stratospheric air into the
troposphere, which will enhance lapse rates and mixing
potential. Furthermore, a fairly impressive isallobaric
fall/rise couplet will pass across the eastern Great Lakes.
Based on the lastest model guidance, thinking has changed little
with the strongest winds occurring tonight northeast of Lake Erie,
centered around the 11 pm to 5 am time frame, and Friday
morning farther east once the flow veers more westerly, centered
around the 4 am to 10 am time frame. Peak wind gusts will
likely reach 60-65 mph in many areas, with some potential for 70
mph gusts especially near the eastern shores of Lake Ontario.
The strong winds will diminish fairly quickly from west to east
Friday morning into the early afternoon as the surface low and
stronger winds aloft move east of the area.
Following the cold front, the airmass will grow rapidly cold enough
to support a lake response off Lake Erie later tonight, and by
Friday morning off Lake Ontario. The boundary layer may become cold
enough to support some wet snowflakes across higher terrain by early
Friday morning, but marginal temperatures and a rapidly drying
synoptic scale airmass should prevent accumulation. The lake effect
rain/snow showers will taper off later Friday, but may not end
altogether.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure across the Ohio Valley will build
northeastward across PA into eastern NY Friday night. This will
cause winds to shift out of the southwest, causing any light lake
effect rain and snow showers to shift northeast of both lakes then
diminish through the night as drier air and subsidence work in
across the area. Cool temperatures expected Friday night with lows
ranging from the upper 20s across the higher terrain to the mid 30s
across the lake plains.
There will be a break in the weather Saturday, with just the chance
for a few rainshowers across far western NY by late in the day ahead
of the next deepening shortwave trough and attendant surface cold
front that will move across western and northcentral NY Saturday
evening through the early overnight. Some warmer air will advect
across the region on a southwesterly flow ahead the approaching
system, which will help to boost temperatures a bit with highs
mainly in the mid to upper 40s.
Things get a bit more interesting Saturday night as cold air deepens
across western and northcentral NY with temperatures aloft at 850mb
dipping to around -6 to -7C overnight. There will be mix of rain and
snow showers initially across the higher terrain, with just plain
rain at lower elevations Saturday evening. Precipitation will
transition to all snow across the higher elevations overnight, with
a mix of rain and snow showers across the lower terrain. Lake effect
rain and snow showers will initially be northeast of the lakes,
transitioning to east of the lakes for the second half of the night.
Increasing lake induced instability combined with equilibrium levels
up to 15 Kft and saturation through the dendritic snow growth zone
may lead to the first accumulating snows across the higher terrain,
with possibly a sloppy coating in a few spots across the lower
terrain. Temperatures will again fall into the upper 20s across the
higher terrain, with mainly low 30s elsewhere.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Lake snows will be ongoing but in the process of slowly weakening
early Sunday. As we move through the day Sunday, lake snows will
rapidly begin to shut down as equilibrium levels fall with a
strengthening subsidence inversion. Lake snow will also be hampered
by weak warm advection occuring in the mid-level. Additionally, air
temperatures will be gradually warming over the course of the day,
so any additional accumulations will be minor after sunrise Sunday.
With that said, surface high pressure is forecast to build into the
Mid-Atlantic which will bring dry and quiet weather to the Lower
Lakes as we head into Monday.
Monday, surface high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic will be the main
player influencing our weather. This feature will bring dry and a
bit warmer conditions to the region with highs rebounding into the
50s. Although, a weak low does race by just to our west and
northwest as it heads into Canada. This feature may introduce some
cloud cover across far Western New York. Tuesday into Tuesday night,
precipitation chances again increase as another low races by to our
west dragging its associated cold front across the region. Behind
the cold front, a much colder air mass filters in across the Lower
Lakes with some lake response. After Wednesday, significant
differences arise with the ECMWF showing high pressure building in
across the Lower Lakes with cold conditions(H850T -12C/-14C). While
the GFS brings another weak weak wave across the forecast area with
some light snow for late Thursday into Friday. Either way, it
appears that the later half of the week will be colder at this
point.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A cold front located near KROC at 00Z will push eastward across
the region. This will produce a dramatic increase in wind
speed, and also roughly mark the end of the steady rain and
LLWS. Expect windy conditions behind the front, with mainly MVFR
flight conditions. A secondary trough of low pressure will move
through from west to east between 05Z and 10Z and this will
trigger the start of the VERY WINDY conditions. Gusts of 50 to
55 kts can be expected at KBUF/KIAG/KROC/KART with slightly less
windy conditions at KJHW.
Expect strong winds to last into Friday morning before gradually
diminishing from west to east mid-day Friday through Friday
afternoon. There also will be some lake effect rain showers,
mainly late tonight and early Friday morning. It will be cold
enough that these may actually change over to snow at KJHW and
may mix with snow at times elsewhere. These will taper off
Friday afternoon and giveway to mainly VFR flight conditions.
Outlook...
Friday night and Saturday...Mainly VFR. A Chance of showers.
Saturday night and Sunday...Mainly VFR, except IFR in lake
effect rain and snow showers east of the lakes.
Monday and Tuesday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.
&&
.MARINE...
Low pressure will develop across the lower Great Lakes this
evening, ending up in southern Quebec by Friday morning. A
strong cold front will push east of Lake Ontario around
midnight. A secondary surface trough will move across the lakes
after midnight, and this will key the onset of the strongest
winds. This will result in storms and gales.
The strongest winds will be found on the eastern end of Lake
Erie and Lake Ontario, where a brief period of storm force winds
is likely very late tonight and Friday morning. Waves will
reach the 16-20 foot range on both lakes Erie and Ontario. The
wind event will be relatively short lived, with winds quickly
diminishing Friday afternoon.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Generally 1-2 inches of rain has fallen across the region with
the bulk of the rain over west of Rochester. The exception is
southern Oswego and Lewis counties where observations and radar
estimates suggest totals already around 2 inches, with an
additional half inch likely before the rain ends after midnight.
This is likely to result in general flooding, and also may push
several forecast points in the Black River basin above flood
stage.
With current rainfall amounts in line with what was modeled by
the RFC, there appears a good chance that one or more forecast
points in the Black River basin will reach flood stage. Another
factor is that the bulk of the rain fell in a 6 hour period,
which can speed up and maximize the crest. This will be closely
monitored.
Otherwise, basin averages are around 1.5 inches for the Buffalo
creeks. These will be monitored too, with Lancaster likely to
crest near flood stage but just about every other forecast point
expected to crest near or below action stage.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A strong cold front will move across the waters this evening,
and this has resulting in a dramatic increase and southwesterly
shift in the winds. This has pushed Erie close to 8 ft as of 8
p.m.
This is an unusual situation, with this initial rise shortly
following the passage of the cold front, and then a secondary
rise expected with the strongest winds which will be after
midnight. Typically the highest levels for Lake Erie are with
the initial surge, but in this case its likely that the second
surge will exceed the first. Expect levels to rise to around 8
ft around 8 p.m. this evening, then hold steady before rising
again after midnight. Expect a peak of between 9-10 feet above
low water datum at Buffalo, which would result in lakeshore
flooding along the Lake Erie shore. Flooding is also likely
along the Niagara River. The elevated Lake Erie water results in
more water flowing down the Niagara River, which can cause
flooding along the riverside in locations such as Cayuga Island
in the City of Niagara Falls.
Strong southwest to west winds combined with high lake levels
will result in lakeshore flooding and shoreline erosion across
Jefferson and Oswego counties. Flooding may also develop across
the Thousand Islands region of the Saint Lawrence River as water
is pushed down the river from Lake Ontario.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Warning until 1 PM EDT Friday for NYZ001>003-010>012-
019-020-085.
Lakeshore Flood Warning until 1 PM EDT Friday for NYZ001-010-
019-085.
High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 4 PM EDT Friday for
NYZ004>008.
Lakeshore Flood Warning from midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT
Friday for NYZ006-007.
Flood Watch through Friday evening for NYZ006>008.
High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 1 PM EDT Friday for
NYZ013-014-021.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT Friday for LEZ020.
Storm Warning from 11 PM this evening to 5 AM EDT Friday
for LEZ040-041.
Gale Warning until 11 PM EDT this evening for LEZ040-041.
Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT Friday for LOZ030.
Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Friday
for LOZ042-043-062.
Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 1 PM EDT Friday for
LOZ044-045-063>065.
Gale Warning from 3 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday for SLZ022-
024.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/TMA
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Hitchcock/TMA
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Apffel/HSK/TMA
MARINE...Hitchcock/TMA
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hitchcock/TMA/ApffelHazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 1:18 PM EDT, 7 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ008-011730- Lewis- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-007-011730- Oswego-Jefferson- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Warning. Lakeshore Flood Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Warning. Lakeshore Flood Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ013-014-021-011730- Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ002-003-011-012-020-011730- Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Cattaraugus- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001-010-019-085-011730- Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. Lakeshore Flood Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. Lakeshore Flood Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-011730- Wayne-Northern Cayuga- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-011730- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-011730- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042-043-062-011730- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ044-045-063>065-011730- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-011730- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT, 5 hours 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 330 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ007-008-312230- Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 330 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...Heavy Rain and Isolated Thunder this afternoon... An area of rain is advancing across the Finger Lakes and towards Central New York this afternoon...including Jefferson and Lewis Counties. Heavy rain for the next 1 to 2 hours will create poor visibilities and ponding of water on roadways, and could produce low lying or poor drainage flooding. Additionally, a few rumbles of thunder are possible. Heavy rain will taper off to a lighter rain event across the region. Thomas
Special weather statement, Oct 31, 4:27 PM EDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 427 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-312300- Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 427 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...A RAINY EVENING COMMUTE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY GUSTY WINDS... There will be moderate to heavy rainfall during the evening commute, with about a half inch of rain expected between 430 and 700 p.m. Expect ponding of water in areas of poor drainage. Motorists are urged to slow down, and remain alert for localized flooding, especially in low-lying areas and underpasses. A strong cold front will reach far western New York this evening and bring a brief period of gusty winds before the strongest winds arrive later tonight. Expect wind gusts to 50 mph with this front. The front will reach Dunkirk and areas west around 6 p.m. and Buffalo, Niagara Falls, and Batavia around 7 p.m. Apffel
Local storm report, Oct 31, 7:44 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
744 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0626 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW BREMEN 43.84N 75.44W
10/31/2019 LEWIS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE DOWN ON LOMBER RD AND TILMAN RD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901525
ARSpecial weather statement, Oct 31, 8:13 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
813 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
NYZ003-004-013-014-010115-
Ontario-Livingston-Wayne-Monroe-
813 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
... Rain and Gusty Winds this evening ...
A cold front will sweep across the Genesee Valley and northern
Finger Lakes region between 8 and 9 pm. This front will bring
heavier rain showers and also a burst of much stronger winds.
Southwest winds will gust to 40 to 50 mph through the evening...with
much stronger winds to follow later tonight.
LAT...LON 4332 7800 4336 7799 4337 7803 4341 7805
4339 7775 4328 7754 4332 7735 4333 7714
4331 7697 4333 7692 4302 7689 4301 7696
4282 7698 4281 7771
ThomasThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Monroe, Ontario, Wayne | 62 min |
| Oct 31, 8:41 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | BUF | Herkimer, Lewis, Oneida | 28 hr |
| Oct 31, 8:41 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Wyoming | 5 hr |
| Nov 1, 3:51 AM EDT | Gale Warning | BUF | 7 hr | |
| Nov 1, 10:45 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 15 hr | |
| Nov 1, 3:22 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego and 1 more | 56 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.