Gale Warning 13, NWS Buffalo, NY

293 
WHUS71 KBUF 011445
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

LEZ020-LOZ030-012100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-191101T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0090.191101T1445Z-191101T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-012245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191101T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0090.191101T1445Z-191102T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 11 PM EDT this evening. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS...West to 30 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-012100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-191101T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...13 to 17 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-012100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-191101T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...13 to 17 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-012100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-191101T2100Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West to 35 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-063>065-011700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-191101T1700Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1045 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West to 50 knots.

* WAVES...17 to 22 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port, or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions, and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
118 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will strengthen as it moves across the eastern
Great Lakes this evening and into southern Quebec by Friday
morning. Heavy rain will taper to showers from west to east
tonight. Meanwhile, a strong cold front will sweep east across
the region this evening, with damaging winds developing in the
wake of the cold front tonight through Friday. Much colder air
will move into the region Friday through the weekend, with the
first snowflakes of the season possible in some areas east of
the lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
The cold front has cleared the eastern Lake Ontario region, and
winds are steadily increasing across Western NY as winds aloft,
subsidence, and cold advection begin to peak. Winds are now gusting
in excess of 50 knots across the Niagara Frontier, and these
damaging wind gusts will spread east across the rest of the area
over the next few hours as strong winds aloft propagate east, and
boundary layer flow veers more westerly.

The steady rain east of Lake Ontario will taper off over the next
few hours, only to be replaced by some lake effect showers by late
tonight. An area of showers will continue across Western NY,
supported by the base of the mid level trough, wrap around moisture,
and lake enhancement.

Damaging winds...

Following the passage of the secondary trough late tonight and
Friday morning, the boundary layer flow will veer more westerly
as the low reaches southern Quebec. Following the wind direction
change to westerly, there will be a period of a few hours with
60+ knot winds at 850mb. Past events have shown this strong
westerly flow signaling wind damage spreading well inland across
the interior Southern Tier and western Finger Lakes, rather
than staying in the typical lake plain locations.

Potential Vorticity analysis of this system is impressive, with
the 1.5 PVU surface descending to below 700mb. This suggests a
tropopause fold and intrusion of stratospheric air into the
troposphere, which will enhance lapse rates and mixing
potential. Furthermore, a fairly impressive isallobaric
fall/rise couplet will pass across the eastern Great Lakes.

Based on the lastest model guidance, thinking has changed little
with the strongest winds occurring tonight northeast of Lake Erie,
centered around the 11 pm to 5 am time frame, and Friday
morning farther east once the flow veers more westerly, centered
around the 4 am to 10 am time frame. Peak wind gusts will
likely reach 60-65 mph in many areas, with some potential for 70
mph gusts especially near the eastern shores of Lake Ontario.
The strong winds will diminish fairly quickly from west to east
Friday morning into the early afternoon as the surface low and
stronger winds aloft move east of the area.

Following the cold front, the airmass will grow rapidly cold enough
to support a lake response off Lake Erie later tonight, and by
Friday morning off Lake Ontario. The boundary layer may become cold
enough to support some wet snowflakes across higher terrain by early
Friday morning, but marginal temperatures and a rapidly drying
synoptic scale airmass should prevent accumulation. The lake effect
rain/snow showers will taper off later Friday, but may not end
altogether.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure across the Ohio Valley will build
northeastward across PA into eastern NY Friday night. This will
cause winds to shift out of the southwest, causing any light lake
effect rain and snow showers to shift northeast of both lakes then
diminish through the night as drier air and subsidence work in
across the area. Cool temperatures expected Friday night with lows
ranging from the upper 20s across the higher terrain to the mid 30s
across the lake plains.

There will be a break in the weather Saturday, with just the chance
for a few rainshowers across far western NY by late in the day ahead
of the next deepening shortwave trough and attendant surface cold
front that will move across western and northcentral NY Saturday
evening through the early overnight. Some warmer air will advect
across the region on a southwesterly flow ahead the approaching
system, which will help to boost temperatures a bit with highs
mainly in the mid to upper 40s.

Things get a bit more interesting Saturday night as cold air deepens
across western and northcentral NY with temperatures aloft at 850mb
dipping to around -6 to -7C overnight. There will be mix of rain and
snow showers initially across the higher terrain, with just plain
rain at lower elevations Saturday evening. Precipitation will
transition to all snow across the higher elevations overnight, with
a mix of rain and snow showers across the lower terrain. Lake effect
rain and snow showers will initially be northeast of the lakes,
transitioning to east of the lakes for the second half of the night.
Increasing lake induced instability combined with equilibrium levels
up to 15 Kft and saturation through the dendritic snow growth zone
may lead to the first accumulating snows across the higher terrain,
with possibly a sloppy coating in a few spots across the lower
terrain. Temperatures will again fall into the upper 20s across the
higher terrain, with mainly low 30s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Lake snows will be ongoing but in the process of slowly weakening
early Sunday. As we move through the day Sunday, lake snows will
rapidly begin to shut down as equilibrium levels fall with a
strengthening subsidence inversion. Lake snow will also be hampered
by weak warm advection occuring in the mid-level. Additionally, air
temperatures will be gradually warming over the course of the day,
so any additional accumulations will be minor after sunrise Sunday.
With that said, surface high pressure is forecast to build into the
Mid-Atlantic which will bring dry and quiet weather to the Lower
Lakes as we head into Monday.

Monday, surface high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic will be the main
player influencing our weather. This feature will bring dry and a
bit warmer conditions to the region with highs rebounding into the
50s. Although, a weak low does race by just to our west and
northwest as it heads into Canada. This feature may introduce some
cloud cover across far Western New York. Tuesday into Tuesday night,
precipitation chances again increase as another low races by to our
west dragging its associated cold front across the region. Behind
the cold front, a much colder air mass filters in across the Lower
Lakes with some lake response. After Wednesday, significant
differences arise with the ECMWF showing high pressure building in
across the Lower Lakes with cold conditions(H850T -12C/-14C). While
the GFS brings another weak weak wave across the forecast area with
some light snow for late Thursday into Friday. Either way, it
appears that the later half of the week will be colder at this
point.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Steady rain east of Lake Ontario will diminish by around 09Z, only
to be replaced by lake effect rain showers east of the lake. Some
wet snow may mix in across higher terrain by early Friday morning.
Across Western NY, an area of showers associated with the mid level
trough, wrap around moisture, and lake enhancement will continue
through about 09Z before giving way to weakening lake effect across
the higher terrain of the western Southern Tier. Some wet snow will
mix in across the higher terrain of the Southern Tier, and may even
change to all wet snow. VSBY will be mainly MVFR to VFR in the rain
showers, with spotty IFR across higher terrain where precip changes
to all snow. CIGS will be mainly MVFR through Friday morning before
improving to mainly VFR in the afternoon. The one possible exception
will be in narrow plumes of lake effect clouds and scattered showers
east of both lakes, where some MVFR CIGS may continue through the
afternoon.

Strong winds will continue across the region through Friday morning
with gusts in excess of 50 knots at times in many locations. The
strong winds will subside from west to east from late morning
through the afternoon Friday, with much lighter winds by early
evening.

Scattered lake effect showers will continue Friday night east of
Lakes Erie and Ontario with spotty MVFR VSBY and MVFR CIGS. What
remains of these will move north as boundary layer flow veers to the
southwest. The lake effect clouds and scattered showers will
dissipate by daybreak Saturday.

Outlook...
Saturday...Mainly VFR. A Chance of showers.
Saturday night and Sunday...Mainly VFR, except IFR in lake effect
rain and snow showers east of the lakes.
Monday and Tuesday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Low pressure will track from southern Ontario into southern
Quebec overnight. A strong cold front will push east of Lake
Ontario just before midnight. A secondary surface trough will
move across the lakes after midnight, and this will key the
onset of the strongest winds. This will result in storms and
gales.

The strongest winds will be found on the eastern end of Lake
Erie and Lake Ontario, where a brief period of storm force winds
is likely very late tonight and Friday morning. Waves will
reach the 16-20 foot range on both lakes Erie and Ontario. The
wind event will be relatively short lived, with winds quickly
diminishing Friday afternoon.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Generally 1-2 inches of rain has fallen across the region with
the bulk of the rain over west of Watertown. The exception is
southern Oswego and Lewis counties where observations and radar
estimates suggest totals are approaching 3 inches. This is
likely to result in general flooding, and also may push several
forecast points in the Black River basin above flood stage.

With current rainfall amounts in line with what was modeled by
the RFC, there appears a good chance that one or more forecast
points in the Black River basin will reach flood stage. Another
factor is that the bulk of the rain fell in a 6 hour period,
which can speed up and maximize the crest. This will be closely
monitored.

Otherwise, basin averages are around 1.5 inches for the Buffalo
creeks. These will be monitored too, with Lancaster likely to
crest near flood stage but just about every other forecast point
expected to crest near or below action stage.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A strong cold front will move across the eastern Great Lakes
last evening, and this caused a dramatic increase in winds
which pushed Lake Erie over 10 feet. The lake level appears to
have reached its crest, but will remain high overnight.

This is an unusual situation, with this initial rise shortly
following the passage of the cold front, and then a secondary
rise expected with the strongest winds which will be after
midnight. Typically the highest levels for Lake Erie are with
the initial surge, but in this case its likely that the second
surge will exceed the first. Expect levels to hold steady
before rising again after midnight. Expect a peak around 10
feet above low water datum at Buffalo, which would result in
lakeshore flooding along the Lake Erie shore. Flooding is also
likely along the Niagara River. The elevated Lake Erie water
results in more water flowing down the Niagara River, which can
cause flooding along the riverside in locations such as Cayuga
Island in the City of Niagara Falls.

Strong southwest to west winds combined with high lake levels
will result in lakeshore flooding and shoreline erosion across
Jefferson and Oswego counties. Flooding may also develop across
the Thousand Islands region of the Saint Lawrence River as water
is pushed down the river from Lake Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ001>003-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     Lakeshore Flood Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for
     NYZ001-010-019-085.
     High Wind Warning until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ004>008.
     Lakeshore Flood Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ006-
     007.
     Flood Watch through this evening for NYZ006>008.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LEZ020.
         Storm Warning until 5 AM EDT early this morning for LEZ040-
         041.
         Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LOZ030-
         042-043-062.
         Storm Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for LOZ044-045-
         063>065.
         Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for SLZ022-
         024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Apffel/Hitchcock/TMA
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Hitchcock/TMA
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Apffel/Hitchcock/TMA
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hitchcock/TMA/Apffel

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NYZ008-011730-
Lewis-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-007-011730-
Oswego-Jefferson-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
FRIDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ013-014-021-011730-
Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ002-003-011-012-020-011730-
Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Cattaraugus-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-010-019-085-011730-
Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EDT
FRIDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-011730-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-011730-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-011730-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042-043-062-011730-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ044-045-063>065-011730-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-011730-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
118 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1249 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     FLOOD            1 WSW TURIN             43.62N  75.42W
10/31/2019                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROUTE 51 CLOSED DUE TO WATER AND DEBRIS BETWEEN WEST
            MAIN AND ROUTE 26.

1130 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG GREIG                   43.68N  75.35W
10/31/2019                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON RIVER ROAD AND PARK ROAD

1130 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW LOWVILLE           43.79N  75.50W
10/31/2019                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON NORTH STATE STREET

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901529
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901530
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901531

THOMAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
231 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     SEICHE           1 WNW SOLDIERS PLACE    42.93N  78.90W
11/01/2019                   ERIE               NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER RESCUE AT NIAGARA STREET AND TONAWANDA STREET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901532

KENYON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
238 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW FREDONIA          42.49N  79.35W
10/31/2019  M60 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   NDBC

1200 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO; NY             42.88N  78.89W
11/01/2019  M66 MPH          ERIE               NY   NOS-NWLON

1206 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT   43.12N  78.93W
11/01/2019  M62 MPH          NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

1228 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO AIRPORT         42.93N  78.73W
11/01/2019  M59 MPH          ERIE               NY   ASOS

0141 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST HAMBURG                 42.78N  78.86W
11/01/2019  M59 MPH          ERIE               NY   WXFLOW

0210 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BATAVIA                 43.02N  78.14W
11/01/2019  M59 MPH          GENESEE            NY   NYSM

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901533
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901534
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901535
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901536
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901537
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901538

KENYON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
308 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     SEICHE           1 WSW LA SALLE          43.07N  78.99W
11/01/2019                   NIAGARA            NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            EXIT RAMP CLOSED AT NORTHBOUND 190 AND EXIT 21 DUE TO
            FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901539

KENYON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
313 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     SEICHE           ATHOL SPRINGS           42.77N  78.86W
11/01/2019                   ERIE               NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROUTE 5 EASTBOUND IS CLOSED AT LASALLE TO BIG TREE ROAD
            DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901540

KENYON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
316 AM EDT FRI NOV 01 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1224 AM     SEICHE           2 WSW BUFFALO           42.88N  78.89W
11/01/2019                   LEZ041             NY   OTHER FEDERAL

            BUFFALO NOS GAUGE REACHED 10.6 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER
            DATUM

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1901541

HITCHCOCK