Gale Warning 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

619 
FZAK52 PAFG 271403
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-280300-
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 mb low in the Western Chukchi Sea 
will move NW while a 988 mb low near the Gulf of Anadyr will merge
with a 987 mb low near the Pribilofs as it moves to St Lawrence 
Island today, and into the Chukchi Sea tonight at 1005 mb, before
merging with 999 mb low near Wrangel Island. High pressure will
move over the area with a 1024 mb high over the Chukotsk Peninsula
building to 1030 mb as it moves over the Chukchi Sea Tue.

$$

PKZ200-280300-
Norton Sound-
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 40 kt. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-280300-
Dall Point to Wales-
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 35 kt becoming W. Blowing snow. Freezing rain. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.MON...N winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-280300-
Kotzebue Sound-
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE winds 35 kt. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 5 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-280300-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
503 AM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE winds 40 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

SDB Jan 19

327 
FZAK52 PAFG 280109
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-281545-
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 mb in the Bering Strait will move to 400 NM northwest of
Point Barrow as a 1006 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to 300 NM north of
Prudhoe Bay as a 1008 mb low by 3pm Tue. A cold front from the 
Bering Strait to the southeast Bering Sea will move to Point Lay 
to the Yukon Delta by 3am Mon, and then move east to Demarcation 
Point by Tue.

$$

PKZ200-281545-
Norton Sound-
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Snow. Blowing snow.
Freezing rain. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-281545-
Dall Point to Wales-
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-281545-
Kotzebue Sound-
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt becoming S 20 kt. Freezing rain and
snow. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 5 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-281545-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
409 PM AKST Sun Jan 27 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt becoming W 20 kt. Freezing rain and
snow. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.MON...NW winds 20 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 10 kt.  

$$

Jan 19

038 
FZAK52 PAFG 281328
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-290300-
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weather front over the West Coast will move NE. A 1023 mb high 
100 nm NW of St Matthew Island will merge with high pressure over 
Chukotka as it moves over the Chukchi Sea as a 1028 mb high today.
The High will continue to build to 1030 mb as it moves N over the
Chukchi Sea with ridging extending S to Nunivak Island. High 
pressure will weaken but persist S of the Bering Strait Wed as a 
low moves S of the area.

$$

PKZ200-290300-
Norton Sound-
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 10 kt becoming N. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-290300-
Dall Point to Wales-
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-290300-
Kotzebue Sound-
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-290300-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
428 AM AKST Mon Jan 28 2019

.TODAY...W winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

SDB Jan 19

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
638 AM AKST Sat Jan 26 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Synopsis...Blizzard conditions on the Northwest Arctic Coast and
strong winds and blowing snow on the remainder of the Coast.
Another low will move north through the Bering Strait bringing
some rain, more snow, and a whole bunch of wind. That wind may
push some water up on top of the ice along the coast from Golovin
to Teller tonight. Some clearing in the Interior east of Ruby
today. Snow to the west and north and several Advisories have been
issued or continue. Expect some gusty south winds in the Brooks
Range tonight to 35 mph.

Models...26/00Z solutions continue the better agreement that we
saw yesterday aloft and at the surface with less divergence. Very
little difference in the surface solutions when initialized
against the 26/12Z surface analysis. Change in flow aloft to more
southwest it should start later this morning with cooling
continuing through Saturday. Our choice of solutions worked well
yesterday, so going to stay the course and use the same solutions
again today which will be a NAMDNG/SREF blend for precipitation,
and mainly NAMDNG for winds.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...A shortwave is moving east across the state
this morning and lies from Ambler to Healy to Whittier this
morning and will be over the AlCan by noon. Ridging building back
north over the area will be over the southwest mainland this
morning, and pushes north to the Arctic Coast this evening with
530 dam heights pushing over the Brooks Range. A shortwave over
the Seward Peninsula this morning will move northwest over the
Chukchi Sea as a low over the Western Aleutians moves over St
Lawrence Island by late this evening at 508 dam, and will continue
north over the Chukchi Sea as it weakens and merges back to the
west into a low over Siberia. At 850 hpa...The -10C isotherm is
north of most of the Arctic Coast and will remain there.

Surface...Troughing over the northern half of the state this
morning extends from Old Crow YT to the Bering Strait, then
southwest to a 970 mb low near Adak. High pressure is building
north over the Southcentral area. High pressure over the Arctic
north of 75N continues as the high moves east. By Sunday morning
the Arctic high will be over the Beaufort Sea 300 nm north of
Demarcation Point with ridging extending south over the Yukon
Territory to a 1037 mb high in the southern Yukon Territory. The
low over Adak will move to St Matthew Island at 980 mb as a low
that was over the Bering Strait moves northwest across the Chukchi
Sea. By Monday morning high pressure over the Yukon Territory will
be pushing west over the Eastern Interior with a 1030 mb high in
the Upper Yukon Flats. The low to the west will move to the
Southwest Arctic at 1000 mb. A tight pressure gradient will
develop across the Brooks Range tonight and Sunday.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Blizzard Warning continues on the
Northwest Coast, and they continue to pick up over the remainder
of the coast with blowing snow and snow reducing visibility.
Expect gusts to 40 mph and visibility near zero at times.
Temperatures not changing significantly through the weekend. Gusty
south winds in the Brooks Range tonight will produce blowing and
drifting snow that may impact travel.

West Coast and Western Interior...Another busy day out west with
several Winter Weather Advisories remaining in effect. Heavy snows
continue in the Upper Kobuk and Noatak today and tonight. Still
expect some minor accumulations of freezing rain in the Lower
Yukon Delta, but the atmosphere is cooling, so that will be ending
as we move into the afternoon. Winds picking up from the south
tonight as the low moves to the Bering Strait. This may push some
water up on top of the shorefast ice along the coast from Golovin
to Teller. Temperatures will remain on the warm side with highs
pushing into the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Central and Eastern Interior...Decreasing clouds and snow along
the Brooks Range will be tapering off through the day.
Temperatures will be cooling. Tanana Valley Jet winds will be
kicking up around Delta Junction overnight with gusts to around 35
mph.

&&

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Will remain warm through
Tuesday then a cooling trend as a pool of cold air sinks southwest
over the interior. Strong inversions developing with the deep cold
air, and good radiational cooling with mostly clear skies that
will allow for max cooling at the surface beyond Thursday.

&&

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Blizzard Warning for AKZ201.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ212-AKZ214-
AKZ215-AKZ217-AKZ218-AKZ219.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

SDB JAN 19