Storm Warning 53, NWS Anchorage, AK

438 
FZAK52 PAFC 101239
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110115-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong warm front will move into the western Bering by Sunday 
evening, as a 960 mb low approaches. This low will then reach 60
nm west of Shemya late Sunday night, then to 250 nm north of
Shemya Monday morning at 962 mb. A cold front attached to the low
will reach the central Bering by Monday morning as well. This low
will then weaken to 972 mb and be located at 95 nm North of
Gambell on Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ150-110115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. W of Chirikof Island, W wind 50 kt
diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. W of
Chirikof Island, NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
55 kt in the morning out of bays and passes. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110115-
Bristol Bay-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 10 ft.
Patchy freezing fog.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, W wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW 25 kt in the morning becoming S 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110115-
Unalaska Bay-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 16 
ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 
ft building to 28 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110115-
Adak to Kiska-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 65 kt after midnight. Seas 24
ft building to 44 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
42 ft subsiding to 30 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110115-
Kiska to Attu-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Widespread snow showers
and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 65 kt becoming W 55 kt after midnight. Bering 
side, seas 29 ft building to 46 ft after midnight. Pacific side, seas
41 ft building to 50 ft after midnight. Snow showers and rain 
showers.
.MON...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
40 ft subsiding to 29 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...S wind 50 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 30 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas 14
ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 
ft building to 34 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Freezing
spray. Snow.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. Heavy freezing
spray north of Nunivak Island. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-110115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 AM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 20 kt becoming SE 50
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 30 kt 
increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray north of Saint Matthew Island after midnight. Widespread snow 
showers.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Heavy freezing spray north of Saint Matthew Island. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 33 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

894 
FZAK52 PAFC 110101
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111415-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 959 mb Kamchatka low 230 nm southeast of Shemya will move to 
the northern Bering at 962 mb Mon morning. The associated front 
over the Bering will weaken Tue morning and dissipate Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-111415-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt by noon. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111415-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111415-
Bristol Bay-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
Patchy freezing fog.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111415-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, W wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft except 17 ft from Port
Moller
E.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111415-
Unalaska Bay-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt by midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
with snow.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 27 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111415-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111415-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111415-
Adak to Kiska-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 65 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft
building to 42 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 39 ft
subsiding to 28 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 55 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111415-
Kiska to Attu-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 65 kt. From Shemya W, S wind 50 kt becoming W by
midnight. Bering side, seas 30 ft building to 45 ft after midnight. 
Pacific side, seas 41 ft building to 49 ft after midnight. Widespread
rain and snow showers.
.MON...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 38 ft
subsiding to 27 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...S wind 55 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111415-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt with gusts to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 
ft building to 33 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 34 ft subsiding to 26 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111415-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Snow.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111415-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Snow.
.MON...S wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft building to 18 ft
in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-111415-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
401 PM AKST Sun Feb 10 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Snow.
.MON...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to 32 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 33 ft subsiding to 27 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

982 
FZAK52 PAFC 111242
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120115-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 958 mb low located 250 nm north of Shemya this morning, will 
weaken to 977 mb as it races northeast to a position 75 nm west of
Kotzebue by Tuesday morning. The associated surface front 
will sweep from the central Bering to the western coast of Alaska
through mid afternoon today.

A 1015 mb low will lift from the north Pacific to 70 nm south 
southeast of Unalaska by Tuesday evening, then rapidly deepen to 
996 mb located 155 nm southeast of Chignik by Wednesday morning.

$$

PKZ150-120115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-120115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-120115-
Bristol Bay-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-120115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft except 17 ft from Port Moller
E.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. Snow with rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-120115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-120115-
Unalaska Bay-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-120115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ173-120115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 27 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-120115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ175-120115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-120115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ177-120115-
Adak to Kiska-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 55 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 39 ft
subsiding to 29 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 55 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-120115-
Kiska to Attu-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
38 ft subsiding to 27 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 55 kt. Seas 41 ft.
.THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 41 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-120115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt. Gusts as high as 65 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft building to 33 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 33
ft subsiding to 27 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the
afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ180-120115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ181-120115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft building to
18 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas in ice free waters 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-120115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 AM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 32 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
33 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

982 
FZAK52 PAFC 120049
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-121330-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong front over the Bering, associated with a 967 mb low in 
the northern Bering, will dissipate Tue morning. A 1020 mb North
Pacific low will move to 290 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor Tue 
morning then it will move to the southwestern Gulf Wed morning. A 
front associated with a 963 mb Kamchatka low will move over the 
western Aleutians Wed. 

$$

PKZ150-121330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-121330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind
25 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. Gusts higher out of bays and
passes. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-121330-
Bristol Bay-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-121330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft except 17 ft from Port Moller E.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
18 ft. Snow with rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt except N 20 kt from Port Moller E. 
Seas 11 ft. Snow.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-121330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-121330-
Unalaska Bay-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt gusting to 35 kt in the evening, diminishing
to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
Snow.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-121330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-121330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft
subsiding to 19 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-121330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 22 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-121330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-121330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-121330-
Adak to Kiska-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-121330-
Kiska to Attu-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft
Bering side...16 ft Pacific side.
.WED...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 40 ft.
.THU...S wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-121330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 35 ft
subsiding to 26 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ180-121330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-121330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas in 
ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-121330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
349 PM AKST Mon Feb 11 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 32 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
410 AM AKST Sat Feb 9 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The synoptic set up persists with a highly amplified ridge across
the North Pacific to the Central Interior and a mature low
pressure system to the west, centered over Kamchatka and filling
on a northward track. Low clouds and patchy fog are noted across
the southern mainland with precipitation moving into the Kuskokwim
Delta as the next front moves to the coast. Winds have tapered
down across the Bering as the storm begins to weaken.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are struggling with how to handle the pattern transition
tonight as the upper low over the Bering moves a strong shortwave
east. NAM was the outlier on the 00Z model run; therefore, changes
were made using the GFS which was a middle ground solution between
the inherited blends and ECMWF. Precipitation was hedged down
across Southcentral locations as models are trending further south
on a surface low that tracks south of the Alaska Peninsula to the
Gulf tonight into Sunday. Stronger winds are still expected around
this low, but the focus is further south. The main challenge
across the southwestern areas of the state continues to surround
gusty winds and precipitation type.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions are expected lower to MVFR later this
morning as the predominant mainland and Gulf ridge shifts its
influence back over the area this afternoon and evening. MVFR
conditions should be prevailing through Sunday morning; however,
there is a shift in stability with a low moving across the
southern gulf late tonight which may improve ceilings at times.
Winds should remain light under weak surface pressure.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Upper level high pressure will remain over the area through
tonight. On Sunday the ridge will slide east as a strong trough
moves in from the west. Most of the energy with this trough will
Push into the Gulf, with a closed low developing just south of
Kodiak Island Sunday morning. A decently strong surface low will
be vertically stacked under the upper low. High pressure will
rapidly build behind this low with Storm force winds over the
southern Marine zones. Further north, precipitation with this
system will reach the Kenai Peninsula early in the morning, and
push eastward across the north Gulf coast during the day. For
inland areas precipitation chances are not looking as promising as
they were on previous model runs, as the low is forecast to track
further south. Thus the Pops have been lowered a bit. On Monday
night the northern portion of the trough will cross the
Southcentral mainland, but should be quite weak and not produce
much precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
A warm front lifting north this morning is bringing areas of rain
to the lower Kuskokwim Valley. Ahead of the front, where
temperatures are hovering at or just below freezing, precipitation
is falling as snow or a mix of snow and freezing rain. The frozen
precipitation will quick transition to rain, however, as a warm,
southerly flow sets up behind the passing front. Tonight, a front
will move in from the west, changing rain back to snow from west
to east. Light accumulations are possible through early Sunday
with higher amounts along the windward side of the Kilbuck and
Alaska Range. A ridge will build in behind the front for the
second half of Sunday. Areas of fog are possible Sunday night into
early Monday morning, especially from Bristol Bay north and east
into the interior valleys as the ridge crests overhead and the
flow at the surface slackens.

Active weather then returns early Monday as an occluded front
attached to a strong surface low in the western Bering advances on
the region. Cold air at the surface will allow the precipitation
to begin as snow everywhere with the exception of the southern
half of the AKPEN. Increasing gusty, southeasterly winds along the
coast will produce areas of blowing snow on Monday, especially
over the YK-Delta. Precipitation is then expected to transition
to a brief period of a wintry mix of snow and freezing rain from
around King Salmon north to Bethel before changing to all rain as
warmer air moves in. The precipitation is expected to remain all
snow in the far interior southwest. The front moves inland late
Monday with colder air again advecting across the southwest from
west to east. This will change rain along the coast then back to
snow.

The prolonged southerly wind Sunday into Monday is expected to
cause water levels to rise along the coast from Kuskokwim Bay to
Hooper Bay. Currently, these levels are expected to reach near
HAT, give or take. Depending on the timing of this event in
conjunction with high tide, this may lead to some coastal erosion
along ice free shores. Stay tuned for updates.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
A storm force low tracking north along the coast of eastern
Russia continues to produce strong westerly winds and snow showers
across much of the Bering. A front associated with this low arcs
from the northern Bering south across the Pribilofs and central
Aleutians. This frontal system will continue to push east today
with a new surface low developing along it. This will help enhance
the southerly flow, pushing more moisture north over the eastern
Bering. Another rapidly deepening surface low will then approach
the western Aleutians on Sunday. This system will swing a warm
front across the western half of the chain, bringing with it
widespread precipitation and strong gales. As the front tracks
north and the trailing cold front pushes east, colder air wrapping
around the back side of strengthening low will produce a large
area of storm force winds, and possible a smaller core of
hurricane force winds, across the western Aleutians and Bering
Sunday night into Monday. Storm force winds are possible for the
Pribilofs late Monday as this system continues to lift north.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...
The active storm track in the Western Bering will continue Monday
through Wednesday as low after low moves northward along the
Russian coast. On Monday, a strong storm will cross the Bering Sea
and head towards the Bering Strait. This storm will bring strong
gale force winds from the east ahead of it, while behind the
front, southerly to southwesterly gale to storm force winds will
follow. This will be a broad area of storm force winds, and it is
expected to make its way into the Central Bering on Tuesday.
Westerly winds are expected to remain near gale force through the
Bering through Wednesday, when the next storm approaches from the
west. At this time, there is some difference between on the timing
and location of the next low, but it appears to be consistently
strong, so the potential for storm force winds ahead of the front
exists for the western Bering again on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, conditions in the Gulf of Alaska appear to be somewhat calmer
than the Bering for the 3 to 5 day period. High pressure building
in beforehand will weaken the trough that crosses the Gulf on
Monday. Behind this front, northwesterly winds will increase
through the Gulf, reaching gale force through the channeled areas
and the Barren Islands, but diminishing rapidly further away from
shore. There is some uncertainty whether these northwesterly winds
will weaken during the 5 day period, or whether they will
maintain gale force through Wednesday as a low develops in the
eastern Gulf.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
There is surprisingly good agreement between models at the
beginning of the long term forecast for what will be an active
storm period over the next week. A strong low pressure system
somewhere around 960mb will move northward along the western
Bering, bringing strong southerly to southwesterly flow for most
of the West Coast. With this low pressure system comes a large
slug of warm air, meaning that Monday will be warm, wet and windy
along the West Coast, which will then quickly be followed by more
seasonable cold temperatures on Tuesday. Conditions east of the
Alaska Range are a little more uncertain due to the fact that the
models are having difficulty resolving the strength and location
of the low that develops in the Gulf of Alaska. At this time, it
looks like a quick shot of precipitation (snow mixing with rain
further south) in the Monday time frame, then rapidly cooling with
gusty outflow winds beginning Tuesday.

Later in the week, the forecast becomes slightly more uncertain,
due to model differences on a developing low in the Western
Aleutians beginning Wednesday. However, a developing ridge ahead
of this front promises colder temperatures across the mainland
through Friday, with the possibility of outflow winds along the
coast in the usual windy areas. As for the Bering Sea, timing may
be uncertain, but stormy conditions are expected through the end
of the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 132 138 150 155.
 Gale Warning 160 165 172 174>181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
MARINE/LONG TERM...LF