Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019

Storm Warning 189, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 14, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 14, 2019, 3:26 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2019, 3:26 PM AKST (00:26 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2019, 3:33 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

471 
FZAK51 PAFC 150026
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-151330-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 971 mb North Pacific low Sat night moves to 50 nm southeast of 
Chignik at 970 mb then moves to 200 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 
980 mb by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-151330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-151330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-151330-
Resurrection Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-151330-
Prince William Sound-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-151330-
Port Valdez-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-151330-
Valdez Narrows-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-151330-
Valdez Arm-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-151330-
Passage Canal-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-151330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 22 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-151330-
Barren Islands East-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-151330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 45 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-151330-
Chiniak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-151330-
Marmot Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-151330-
Shelikof Strait-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-151330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9
ft in the evening building to 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-151330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-151330-
Kachemak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft in the inner bay. Seas 4 ft in the
morning building to 7 ft in the outer bay. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight in the inner bay. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight in the outer bay. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
749 
FZAK51 PAFC 151219
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160115-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A storm force front in the central Gulf lifts to the northern Gulf 
Sun night. A 977 mb low 180 nm southwest of Sitkinak Sun night 
weakens over the central Gulf Mon evening. A front enters the western
Gulf Mon night.

$$

PKZ119-160115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 23
ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160115-
Resurrection Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160115-
Prince William Sound-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160115-
Port Valdez-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160115-
Valdez Narrows-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160115-
Valdez Arm-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160115-
Passage Canal-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160115-
Barren Islands East-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 45 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160115-
Chiniak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160115-
Marmot Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft
subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160115-
Shelikof Strait-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160115-
Kachemak Bay-
319 AM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
626 
FZAK51 PAFC 160041
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161400-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front along the northern Gulf stalls through Monday and
diminishes by Monday night. A second front moves across the
southern Gulf Tuesday morning and moves to the coast in the
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-161400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 22
ft subsiding to 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161400-
Resurrection Bay-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161400-
Prince William Sound-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161400-
Port Valdez-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161400-
Valdez Narrows-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161400-
Valdez Arm-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161400-
Passage Canal-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161400-
Barren Islands East-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161400-
Chiniak Bay-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161400-
Marmot Bay-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161400-
Shelikof Strait-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161400-
Kachemak Bay-
341 PM AKST Sun Dec 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
841 
FZAK51 PAFC 161233
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170145-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front along the northern Gulf stalls through Monday and weakens 
Monday night. A second front pushes north from the southern Gulf 
Tuesday morning and moves to the coast in the afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-170145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt during the morning. Seas 
15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170145-
Resurrection Bay-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170145-
Prince William Sound-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170145-
Port Valdez-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170145-
Valdez Narrows-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170145-
Valdez Arm-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170145-
Passage Canal-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170145-
Barren Islands East-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170145-
Chiniak Bay-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170145-
Marmot Bay-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170145-
Shelikof Strait-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170145-
Kachemak Bay-
333 AM AKST Mon Dec 16 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 14, 5:42 AM AKST, 9 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 5:42 AM AKST, 9 hours 44 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
542 AM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A closed blocking high continues to dominate the northern part of
Alaska. A once strong gale force North Pacific low now over the
southern Kenai is beginning to finally move inland as the upper
closed low opens up into a shortwave trough. Over the Pacific
Ocean,a strong storm force low along the eastern periphery of a
larger upper trough is moving north into the Eastern Aleutians.
This low is rather compact in nature as evidenced by satellite
imagery and ASCAT wind passes from the polar orbiters, with the
strongest core of cold air advection storm force winds still over
the open waters of the Pacific. Over the mainland, extensive fog
and stratus has formed over Southwest Alaska behind a departing
and weakening sheared out upper shortwave trough. Rain showers are
still pushing up along the North Gulf Coast, and some inland
sprinkles are pushing over the Chugach into Anchorage and the
western Kenai. Temps continue to run well above normal for inland
Southcentral (except the Copper Basin).

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Same story as yesterday as the models are in excellent agreement
with the large scale pattern heading out into next week now, but
are in lesser agreement with the strong storm moving over the
Eastern Aleutians today and tonight, and a series of frontal waves
which will move up toward the Alaska Peninsula and into Bristol
Bay Sunday. For now, a continued blend to the GFS was favored as
it fits a good middle ground with everything, and shifts the
strong eastern Aleutian low farther east which now puts the center
over Dutch harbor, with the strongest winds all around Dutch.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...There still remains a chance of light precipitation as the
upper low over the Gulf opens into a trough and crosses overhead
of Anchorage between about 12Z and 18Z today. However, low level
southeasterly flow will persist, so VFR ceilings should persist.
Precipitation-type is also a challenge, with forecast soundings
maintaining at least a small above freezing layer. Could see rain,
freezing rain, or even snow - but precipitation will be very
light and possibly not even measurable. As the upper wave passes
by, Turnagain winds will bend into Anchorage, which will cause
temperatures to jump to well above freezing. These winds will be
relatively short-lived. As a front moves into the southwestern
Gulf Saturday afternoon, down Inlet pressure gradients will
strengthen and push the Turnagain wind back over the northern
Inlet.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sat and
Sun)...
A vertically stacked low will eject over Southcentral early today
while a new front will push into the Western and Northern Gulf of
AK by tonight. The radar is showing widespread returns this
morning from the Southern Susitna Valley down through Middleton
Island. This is a result of the low moving from due south to north
over the Kenai Peninsula and Cook Inlet. Even though the radars
are active, precipitation is having a hard time making it to the
ground for most places thanks to dry air in the low levels of the
atmosphere. As moisture increases this morning, we still expect a
likely chance of some wintry mix to fall around the Cook Inlet, to
include possibly some freezing rain in the colder spots (East
Anchorage). However, anything that does fall should be very light.
For higher elevations such as Turnagain, Thompson, and Hatcher
Passes, a couple inches of snow will be possible through the
morning. Gusty southeast winds will also accompany this low
through many of the usual gaps and higher terrain. Some of these
winds could briefly mix into West Anchorage later today, though
gusts should only be to about 25 mph at most.

A new front will start to work into the Western Gulf by tonight.
This will cause the winds to switch around again for places near
the Cook Inlet thanks to an offshore gradient. This means that the
Matanuska Valley will remain breezy heading into Sun. Rainfall for
the coastal areas will slowly wane late Sat and through much of
Sun for the first time in several days. The exception to this will
be Kodiak Island where the front will bring rain back in earnest
by Sat afternoon. Then, by Sun afternoon, the front will start to
track up along the southern Kenai Peninsula and bring steady rain
back into Western Prince William Sound. Most inland locations will
remain dry on Sun thanks to cross-barrier flow at mountain top.
This flow will also continue to keep temperatures quiet mild for
mid-December.

&&

SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A low centered over the eastern Aleutians continues to slowly lift
northward. Its front will spread in over Southwest today, bringing
gusty southeasterly flow. The Kuskokwim Valley will not see much
precipitation from this front today as the occluded system pulls
the boundary northwestward across the Bering.

A second front moves into Southwest Sunday morning, bringing
another round of gusty southeasterly winds. Current thinking is
that most of the precipitation will be around the Bristol Bay
area, though the Kuskokwim Delta coast may see trace amounts of
snow Sunday. Winds will generally weaken by Sunday evening, as the
low in the eastern Bering moves into the Gulf of Alaska for the
start of the workweek.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Active weather continues for Bering this weekend. First, a strong
low centered over the central Aleutians has brought gales to much
of the southern Bering Sea with an area of storm force winds over
the water on the south side of the low center. As this storm
slowly lifts toward the northeast, storm force winds are possible
on the western side of the low by this evening, mainly between
Atka and Nikolski. As this low weakens and exits to the south,
another low approaches the western Bering by Sunday afternoon.
The associated front will bring gale force winds to the western
Aleutians. Warmer, southerly flow will allow for precipitation to
fall as rain on the east side of this storm, while mixed
rain/snow or all snow will fall on the west side of the low
as colder air is drawn down from the north.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Monday through Wednesday)...
The storm track during this period will be from the Aleutian
Islands eastward to the Gulf of Alaska. High end small craft
advisories or gale warnings will be the norm as each storm system
moves through. Forecast confidence with low and frontal positions
is above average.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The global models are in decent agreement with the synoptic
pattern for north Pacific and Bering through Thursday December
19th. At the onset of this forecast period there are two lows, one
near the AKPEN and a Kamchatka low. There is a dome of high
pressure between the two. There are some minor difference with the
timing of two different cyclones but the forecast intensity is
only a few millibars off, and the forecast track is very similar.
Expect these systems to move from west to east with the first
storm tracking into the Gulf Of Alaska. All the while, the second
storm will head into the Bering with the frontal boundary pushing
across the Aleutian chain. For Southcentral Alaska, temperatures
will be near or slightly above normal. For the Anchorage metro
area the chances of snow in this forecast period look very slim
given the current run of the models.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 155 172-174 130 131.
		 Gale Warning 413 414 150 160 165 170 175-180 351 352 119 120 132-139 141.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO
MARINE/LONG TERM...SB/PJS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 3:26 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Dec 14, 3:37 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 14, 3:42 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC47 hr
Dec 14, 3:42 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days
Dec 15, 3:19 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 15, 3:43 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 15, 3:43 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Dec 15, 3:44 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.