Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019

Storm Warning 131, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 13, 2019

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 13, 2019, 3:45 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2019, 3:45 PM AKDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired
Oct 15, 2019, 3:42 PM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

189 
FZAK52 PAFC 132345
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141230-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 984 mb low near Shemya Sun afternoon moves to 180 nm west of
Saint Paul at 951 mb Monday afternoon, with a front crossing the 
region from west to east. The low then moves to 330 nm WSW of
Gambell Tuesday afternoon, with the front reaching southwest 
Alaska. A new low then moves from the west Pacific to 215 nm N of
Adak at 977 mb Tuesday afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-141230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, NE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt, Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 15 kt becoming W
40 kt after midnight, Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141230-
Bristol Bay-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-141230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt except NE 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt, Seas 14 ft building to 30 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, SE wind 30 kt becoming W after
midnight, Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 38 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141230-
Unalaska Bay-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft
building to 36 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 41 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 28 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 50 kt in the evening diminishing to 40 kt. Seas 
32 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...W wind 60 kt. Seas 30 ft building to 39 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 39 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft 
building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141230-
Adak to Kiska-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 55 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...W wind 60 kt. Seas 35 ft Bering side...29 ft Pacific side.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141230-
Kiska to Attu-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft 
building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-141230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 9 ft 
building to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-141230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
345 PM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt, except 40 kt N of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 
21 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
4 follow-up statements
243 
FZAK52 PAFC 141140
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-150100-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a 977 mb North Pacific low exits the
eastern Aleutians Mon night. A 960 mb low 235 nm northeast of
Shemya moves to 245 nm southwest of Gambell at 957 mb before 
moving towards the eastern Russia coast at 970 mb Wed morning. A 
990 mb low 145 nm west of Shemya Tue morning moves to 30 nm
southeast of Saint Paul at 970 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-150100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-150100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt, Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft after
midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 15 kt becoming NW
40 kt after midnight, Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-150100-
Bristol Bay-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-150100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, SE wind 20 kt
increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt, Seas 18 ft building to 30 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, SE wind 25 kt becoming W after
midnight, Seas 7 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 30 ft except 21 ft from Port Moller E.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-150100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 21 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
35 ft subsiding to 28 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-150100-
Unalaska Bay-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-150100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-150100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 36 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 40 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 33 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-150100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 29 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-150100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-150100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-150100-
Adak to Kiska-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 33 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
26 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-150100-
Kiska to Attu-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 29 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-150100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 25 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 39 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 35 ft
subsiding to 27 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 60 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-150100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-150100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-150100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
340 AM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 50 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
776 
FZAK52 PAFC 142351
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151315-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 954 mb low 160 nm northwest of St Paul Island moves ashore in 
western Siberia by Tue afternoon at 961 mb. A strengthening 985 mb
Kamchatka low 170 nm northwest of Shemya moves to 180 nm northeast
of Shemya at 968 mb by Tue afternoon then moves to 50 nm west of 
Cape Newenham at 974 mb by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-151315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt, Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 15 kt becoming W 40
kt after midnight, Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread 
rain showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151315-
Bristol Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt, Seas 16 ft building to 28 ft after
midnight. From Port Moller E, SE wind 25 kt becoming W after
midnight, Seas 6 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft except 19 ft from Port Moller E.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
From Port Moller E, W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 35 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 33 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151315-
Unalaska Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-151315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
37 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 25 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151315-
Adak to Kiska-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151315-
Kiska to Attu-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 37 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 32 ft
subsiding to 25 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 55 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft building to 29 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
351 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 50 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft after
midnight.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$
469 
FZAK52 PAFC 151143
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160100-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 958 mb low 215 nm southwest of Gambell moves to 440 nm southwest 
of Gambell at 971 mb Wed morning before moving to 205 nm north of 
Saint Paul at 984 mb Thu morning. A 987 mb low 155 nm west of Shemya 
moves to 35 nm southeast of Saint Paul at 968 mb Wed morning and then
moves to 50 nm south of Mekoryuk at 977 mb Thu morning.

$$

PKZ150-160100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160100-
Bristol Bay-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft except 19 ft from Port Moller E.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft except 26 ft from Port Moller E.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 33 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160100-
Unalaska Bay-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 25 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160100-
Adak to Kiska-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160100-
Kiska to Attu-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 32
ft subsiding to 25 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 60 kt after midnight. Seas 20
ft building to 29 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 20 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
343 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 50 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 30 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft after
midnight.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
844 
FZAK52 PAFC 152342
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-161300-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 mb low exits the northwest Bering Tue evening. A 969 mb low
190 nm northeast of Shemya moves to 100 nm north of St Paul Island 
at 973 mb by Wed afternoon then crosses the Alaska Peninsula near 
Bristol Bay by Thu afternoon at 982 mb.

$$

PKZ150-161300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 20 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-161300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Isolated thunderstorms during the 
evening.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-161300-
Bristol Bay-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-161300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon, Seas
37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the
afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Isolated
thunderstorms during the evening. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-161300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 60 kt after midnight. Seas 21
ft building to 31 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
37 ft subsiding to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-161300-
Unalaska Bay-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-161300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 16
ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-161300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt after midnight. Seas 23
ft
building to 33 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-161300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-161300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-161300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-161300-
Adak to Kiska-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-161300-
Kiska to Attu-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-161300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft subsiding to 25 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-161300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-161300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-161300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 13, 4:44 AM AKDT, 11 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 4:44 AM AKDT, 11 hours 1 minute before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
444 AM AKDT Sun Oct 13 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

High pressure over interior Alaska with relative low pressure over
the Bering and the Gulf has resulted in nearly clear skies over
almost all of southern Mainland Alaska this morning. The clear
skies and long nights are resulting in falling temperatures
across the area. Few areas away from the immediate coast are still
above freezing, with 20s widespread over Southcentral and interior
Southwest Alaska. An approaching North Pacific low is spreading
high cloud cover over Bristol Bay, Kodiak Island, and is slowly
encroaching on the southern Kenai Peninsula. These high clouds as
they are, are not able to even threaten any precipitation. Thus,
dry weather continues across the area.

Closer to the North Pacific low, centered well south of Sand
Point, rain is being drawn northwestward from the parent low due
to favorable upper level winds. Thus, from the Alaska Peninsula
over to Unalaska Island, light rain is moving into the area. A
separate front is moving across the western Aleutians, with rain
overtaking the islands around Shemya. This is in advance of the
extratropical low that was Typhoon Hagibis. Associated winds will
begin impacting the western Aleutians around midday today.

In the upper levels, a weak rex block has developed with a
relative upper level high over the Y-K delta, with an upper level
low near Dutch Harbor. A very strong 150 kt jet streak over
Kamchatka is beginning to impinge upon the western Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Some uncertainty as to the track of former Typhoon Hagibis
persists in the models this morning. While its initial track has
been well agreed upon in the models for a couple days now, where
the center of the low ends up beyond Monday has been in constant
flux. The center of the rapidly strengthening low crosses the
western Aleutians late this afternoon, entering the Bering. Most
of the models continue to show the center turning towards the
north before it reaches 170W. How quickly that turn occurs is very
much in doubt, and is adding significant uncertainty to the
forecast. The models order themselves by Monday night by how
strong the low is at that time. The NAM is strongest and has the
low center near Kamchatka. Meanwhile the Canadian is weakest with
almost no turn depicted by the model. Thus, the Canadian has the
same low a bit north of St. Paul Island at the same time as the
NAM has the low on the coast of the Kamchatka Peninsula. The two
global models are about in the middle. Fortunately, regardless of
which of these tracks the low ends up following, the impacts over
land will be minimal with any of them.

Elsewhere, another area where there is some uncertainty in the
forecast is the depth of cold air over the Copper River Basin by
Monday night. Not only would that have an obvious impact on the
temperatures in that area, but more importantly, how strong the
winds are through the Matanuska Valley, and through
Valdez/Thompson Pass. Otherwise, quiet weather is highly likely to
persist over nearly all of mainland southern Alaska. Thus,
forecast confidence is dependent on ones location. For the Bering,
confidence is lower than normal, while for most of mainland
Alaska the confidence is very high.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

High pressure remains over Southcentral and the Gulf of Alaska
and should persist over Southcentral the next few days. Over the
Gulf, a front will push into this ridge and bring gale force
winds into the Gulf tonight into Monday. Due to the strength of
this blocking ridge over the mainland, the winds along the coast
will increase with the tightening presure gradient, but the
precipitation should stay over the Gulf (and Kodiak) until at
least Tuesday.

This ridge will also keep clear skies over the inland areas of Southcentral
until some higher clouds move inland Tuesday. This will bring in
colder temperatures the next two nights with numerous areas
reaching into the teens and perhaps some single digit lows in the
Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The forecast pattern commences with ridging over western Alaska.
Mild weather expected today and most of Monday for southwest
Alaska. A strong system will be pushing through the Bering on
Monday. The leading edge of the precipitation shield will move
into the west coast Monday afternoon. Expect moisture to increase
with gusty southerly or southeasterly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

The main event will be the extratropical transition of Hagibis
and the ensuing re-strengthening of the surface low over the
Bering as cold air gets entrained. By 00z Monday, both the GFS
and ECMWF have a 985mb/984mb low south of Attu Island and rapidly
moving into the Bering by 06z Monday and deepening to 975mb/976mb
respectively. By 18z Monday, the GFS and ECMWF have the surface
low west of the Pribilof Islands with surfaces pressures of
956mb/959mb. The pressure gradient forces over the Bering will be
formidable most of the forecast period. Storm force winds and
hurricane force winds will materialize over the Bering. Rough seas
and widespread precipitation anticipated Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Bering Sea/Aleutians: Post-tropical cyclone Hagibis will begin to
fill and exit to the northern Bering Tuesday. Thus, while storm
force winds will initially be widespread in the Bering (with a
broad swath of gales elsewhere), winds will diminish during the
day. While models have come into better agreement with the track
of former Hagibis, there is still a lot of uncertainty with what
comes after. The main theme is that either a short wave or a
closed low will develop near the western Aleutians late Tuesday.
This feature will track eastward across the Bering just north of
the Aleutians late Tuesday into Wednesday. Increased winds are
expected, but the strength will depend whether a closed low
forms...so for now, the range of possibilities spans from low end
gales to storm force winds. As the cold air mass behind the
associated front moves across the warmer SSTs of the Bering,
instability will increase thus isolated thunderstorms look
possible over the southern Bering Sea Wednesday. Winds will
diminish Thursday and general cyclonic flow will prevail in the
Bering.

Gulf of Alaska: Easterly winds in the northern Gulf will diminish
Monday into Tuesday. The forecast in the Gulf becomes murky by
Wednesday. General low pressure is expected with winds mostly
below advisory level... however small craft advisory level swell-
driven seas will likely persist. Late Wednesday, an upper low
will cross the AKPEN then redevelop a surface low in the Gulf
early Thursday. High uncertainty continues with this setup, but
assuming this low comes to fruition, expect increased winds and
precipitation in the periphery of the low.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The excitement in the long term continues to be focused in the
Bering Sea and Aleutians. As post-tropical cyclone Hagibis exits
to the northern Bering Tuesday, focus turns to what happens in its
wake. Model consistency remains poor, but the general theme is
that either a short wave or a deeper closed low will develop in
the baroclinic zone under a 160 to 170kt jet. It will traverse the
southern Bering (just north of the Aleutians) from west to east
and likely bring a brief return of gales to the Aleutians/
southern Bering. Isolated thunderstorms are possible behind the
associated front Wednesday as modified Arctic air flows over
relatively warm water.

Meanwhile, due to the track of the former typhoon, impacts over
the Southwest mainland look minimal. As the system shifts
northward, it will push a cold front across the Aleutians into the
west coast in the rough Tuesday to Wednesday time frame.
Precipitation will be possible along the west coast, and increased
southerly winds are expected. However, it's worth noting that the
front will have significantly weakened by the time it reaches the
mainland. Thus, while the Kuskokwim Delta Coast could see gusts
above 40kt, warning level winds are not expected. In the Wednesday
to Thursday timeframe, precipitation in the Bristol Bay area will
be possible as the other low/short wave moves into the coast...
but confidence is poor given the inconsistency in that feature.

Friday into Saturday, longwave troughing will set in from the
central Pacific into the Bering. Expect cloudier weather and
general southerly flow over Southwest. Models indicate shortwaves
will likely rotate around the low bringing periods of unsettled
weather, but it's way too soon to get into timing/location
specifics.

Over Southcentral, generally dry weather is expected through
midweek. High pressure will persist over northern Alaska, and
cold conditions inland with offshore winds will dominate through
midweek. With this scenario, increased winds are likely in the
usual gaps, including Thompson Pass and the Matanuska Valley. A
series of fronts will move from the Gulf northward. This will
potentially bring precipitation to the North Gulf Coast, but
generally expect precipitation to stay over the marine area.
During the later part of the week, the ridge will retrograde to
the north. A wetter, or at least cloudier pattern is possible and
overnight lows won't be quite as cold as earlier in the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Hurricane Force Wind Warning: 177, 411, 413.
Storm Warning: 173-176, 178, 179, 412.
Gale Warning: 120, 131, 132, 138, 150, 155, 165, 170, 172, 180,
			  181, 185, 351, 352, 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PS
MARINE/LONG TERM...MM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 3:30 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 13, 3:30 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC36 hr
Oct 13, 3:30 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 13, 3:31 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Oct 13, 3:31 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 13, 3:31 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Oct 13, 3:31 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC4 days
Oct 13, 3:50 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Oct 13, 3:35 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 13, 3:45 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 13, 3:46 PM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC36 hr
Oct 13, 3:46 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2019Every storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.