Storm Warning 118, NWS Anchorage, AK

022 
FZAK51 PAFC 010723 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-012015-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1001 mb low 80 nm Southwest of Middleton Island loops to 155 nm
Southwest of Sitka at 990 mb by Wed afternoon. Its front pushes 
across the Gulf through Wed afternoon. High pressure edges into 
the Western Gulf for Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-012015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread
rain  showers. Isolated thunderstorms after midnight. 
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-012015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms after midnight. 
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-012015-
Resurrection Bay-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.  
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.  
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-012015-
Prince William Sound-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft  building to 6 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-012015-
Port Valdez-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-012015-
Valdez Narrows-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-012015-
Valdez Arm-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-012015-
Passage Canal-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-012015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-012015-
Barren Islands East-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming N 45 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms after sunrise. 
.TUE...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Widespread rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-012015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Isolated thunderstorms.  
.TUE...NW wind 50 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 20 ft. Isolated 
thunderstorms. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-012015-
Chiniak Bay-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-012015-
Marmot Bay-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-012015-
Shelikof Strait-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight. 
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-012015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt during the morning. Seas
11 ft.  Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-012015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft
 building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 55 kt during the morning. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-012015-
Kachemak Bay-
1123 PM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

783 
FZAK51 PAFC 011159
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-020030-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 984 mb low 70 nm east of Kodiak moves to 200 nm
southeast of Middleton Island at 991 mb by Wed morning then moves 
into the southeast Gulf at 1006 mb by Thu morning.

$$

PKZ119-020030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers. Slight
chance of thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers. Slight
chance of thunderstorms.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
the morning.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-020030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. Slight
chance of thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Slight chance of 
thunderstorms.
.WED...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-020030-
Resurrection Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-020030-
Prince William Sound-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind to 20 kt early becoming E wind 30 kt. Seas 2 ft
early building to 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-020030-
Port Valdez-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-020030-
Valdez Narrows-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-020030-
Valdez Arm-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-020030-
Passage Canal-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind to 10 kt early becoming E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-020030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-020030-
Barren Islands East-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Widespread rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-020030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers. Slight
chance of thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-020030-
Chiniak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-020030-
Marmot Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-020030-
Shelikof Strait-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of western 
bays and passes developing by late morning. Seas building to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-020030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-020030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 9 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-020030-
Kachemak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt diminishing in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

931 
FZAK51 PAFC 012351
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021245-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 mb low 150 nm E of Kodiak Tuesday afternoon moves to 225 nm
SW of Sitka and weakens to 998 mb Wednesday afternoon, then moves
into the Eastern Gulf.

$$

PKZ119-021245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers and isolated 
thunderstorms.
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021245-
Resurrection Bay-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021245-
Prince William Sound-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021245-
Port Valdez-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers and
isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021245-
Valdez Narrows-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. Showers and isolated 
thunderstorms.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021245-
Valdez Arm-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers and isolated 
thunderstorms.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021245-
Passage Canal-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021245-
Barren Islands East-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt 
after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021245-
Chiniak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021245-
Marmot Bay-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021245-
Shelikof Strait-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021245-
Kachemak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Tue Oct 1 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
459 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a front tracking east through the Copper River Basin
following behind ridging to the east that is also pushing to the
east. The front brought heavy rain to areas along the north Gulf
coast and moderate rain to inland locations. The band of heaviest
precipitation is now east of Glennallen. To the west, a trough
extends south through southwest Alaska and through the Alaska
Peninsula. In the base of the trough, south of the Alaska
Peninsula, a low is developing and beginning to move to the
northeast. Farther west, ridging is over the western Bering is
also moving to the east.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the main synoptic features
into the mid term, but start to struggle with a low in the Gulf
Tuesday. There are minor differences in the strength and position
of the low resulting in differences with how strong the winds will
be. The EC and NAM have been in good agreement and were preferred.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Light winds will persist into the afternoon and then shift
to the north and increase to around 10 kt. Ceilings will remain
low through the early part of the day, but will gradually improve
into the evening. There is some uncertainty with the timing of VFR
conditions returning to the airport.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Mon and
Tue)...
Monday will bring a short reprieve from the wet weather before
another strong low moves in on Tue. Rainfall amounts from Sun
ranged from about 0.50" around the Anchorage Bowl to closer to
1.0" closer to the coast. The front has just about cleared the
ALCAN border this morning and just a weak surface low remains over
the Northern Gulf of AK. This surface low will be the key to the
forecast for the next 48hrs. First, it is helping to produce a
weak offshore gradient at the surface. For now, this is keeping
just enough dry air flowing across the surface to keep widespread
fog from forming. However, localized areas will still see fog this
morning and it could become more widespread, especially as the
sun rises and helps to mix out some of the moisture from Sunday's
rain.

By tonight, a strong upper level shortwave will move towards the
Western Gulf and give plenty of support to this surface low. The
shortwave is currently tracking along the Aleutians just south of
Dutch Harbor. This system will cause the weak low to slide towards
Kodiak Island and rapidly deepen through Tue morning. This will
bring yet another round of widespread moderate rain to nearly all
of Southcentral. This rain will carry from southeast to northwest
across the area associated with a weak warm front. The best
chance for rain around the Anchorage area will be early Tue
morning (daybreak) through the midday. The most substantial impact
from this system will be the winds over the marine areas. As the
low deepens and pivots just east of Kodiak Island, it will be able
to tap into some colder air from SW AK. This is a fairly classic
set up to bring some very gusty N-NW winds through Shelikof
Strait, the Cook Inlet, the Barren Islands, and much of Kodiak
Island. We have issued a storm warning for marine areas just east
of Kodiak. There is still some uncertainty with the exact strength
and track of the low center, so winds and waves may need to be
increased with future packages.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Upper level troughing along the Kuskokwim Delta coast will
continue to bring scattered showers onshore today. As the flow
across Southwest Alaska turns northwesterly in response to ridging
building in along the coast, the north side of the Alaska
Peninsula will become more favored for upslope showers.
Northwesterly winds will increase rapidly tonight through Tuesday
morning both through the typical gaps and passes in the Alaska
Peninsula and also across Southwest Alaska as a strong surface low
in the western Gulf rapidly intensifies. The northwest winds will
start diminishing Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night. A
shortwave trough will move onshore over the Kuskokwim Delta
Tuesday evening followed close behind by a second one Wednesday
morning and a broader upper trough Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Upper level ridging in the western Bering will shift east and into
the central Bering today and then over the eastern Bering
tonight. Northwesterly winds will increase over the eastern Bering
and across the Alaska Peninsula tonight through Tuesday morning in
response to the tightening of the surface pressure gradient
between the ridge and a low deepening rapidly in the western Gulf.
Following the ridge, a shortwave trough and accompanying surface
ridge will move from the western Aleutians and Bering this
afternoon and evening to eastern Bering by Tuesday. The next
shortwave will swing across the northern and central Bering
Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night followed by another one
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

&&

.MARINE (Tue afternoon Thu night)...
The strong low pressure system in the Gulf will keep gale-force
winds along the back side of the low, mainly in the southern and
western Gulf. There could be some storm force gusts, especially
out of bays and passes on Tuesday afternoon, but sustained winds
should be max-gales. Those winds will taper off quickly Wednesday
night into Thursday as the system weakens toward the Panhandle.
The Bering Sea will see a period of relatively benign conditions
through mid-week as broad westerly flow sets up, but not very
strong. However, the fetch and time of westerly winds could stack
some larger waves/swell than the weaker winds would suggest. The
next significant system enters the Bering on Thursday with a gale-
force front.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Tue afternoon Sat night)...
The extended forecast begins with a Gulf of Alaska low near peak
intensity. However, that system quickly weakens while the pattern
shifts a little bit to a zonal jet stream with several strong
disturbances. The first disturbance spins up a very progressive
low that tracks into the Bering Strait region. The wind direction
and wind duration hint at some possible surge/coastal erosion
issues, but the worst should be north of the Kuskokwim Delta
area. However, there is some uncertainty associated with the
broader forecast as the remnants of Typhoon Mitag will make an
extratropical transition and phase with the jet over east Asia.
Both long range models (ECMWF and GFS) show a little different
progression of this feature. The ECMWF delay the trough into which
the tropical system phases, and hence not a great phase, which
results in a flat ridge downstream. The GFS looks to fully phase
the feature which really amplifies the downstream north Pacific
ridge. Details should become more clear early to mid week. Stay
tuned.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales...120, 130, 131, 136, 137, 138, 139, 140, 150,
				 155, 160, 351, 352.
		 Storms...132.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
MARINE/LONG TERM...ML