Gale Warning 56, NWS Anchorage, AK

665 
FZAK52 PAFC 131251
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-140145-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 957 mb low 160 nm west of Dutch Harbor will move to 80 nm
southwest of St. Paul at 968 mb Mon morning. The low will then 
move to 160 nm west of St. Paul at 976 mb Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-140145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-140145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-140145-
Bristol Bay-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-140145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-140145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-140145-
Unalaska Bay-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-140145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-140145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-140145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-140145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-140145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-140145-
Adak to Kiska-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side...16 ft Pacific
side.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-140145-
Kiska to Attu-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-140145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-140145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-140145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt.
.WED...E wind 15 kt.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-140145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
351 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NE 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

185 
FZAK52 PAFC 140050
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141330-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 957 mb low 130 nm south of Saint Paul moves 50 nm southwest of
Saint Paul at 970 mb Mon afternoon. The low then exits the Bering
to the north at 990 mb Tue afternoon. A 980 mb North Pacific low 
moves 150 nm southeast of Sand Point Mon afternoon and then 
dissipates by Mon evening.

$$

PKZ150-141330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt except SE 25 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141330-
Bristol Bay-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-141330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141330-
Unalaska Bay-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141330-
Adak to Kiska-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side...
15 ft Pacific side.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141330-
Kiska to Attu-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-141330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt.
.WED...E wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-141330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NE 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

425 
FZAK52 PAFC 141222
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-150115-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 964 mb low 140 nm southwest of St. Paul will exit into the
northern Bering at 986 mb Tue morning. The associated front over
the central Bering will dissipate Wed morning. A 982 mb North 
Pacific low will move to 150 nm southeast of Sand Point Mon 
afternoon then it will move over Bristol Bay at 986 mb Mon night.
The low will then dissipate Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-150115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-150115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt
increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30
kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-150115-
Bristol Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-150115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. From Port Moller E, SE wind 30 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-150115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-150115-
Unalaska Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-150115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-150115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-150115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-150115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-150115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-150115-
Adak to Kiska-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-150115-
Kiska to Attu-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-150115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-150115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-150115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ185-150115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
322 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
504 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The synoptic pattern is being kicked into motion by an upper level
subtropical jet which is amplifying across the North Pacific. This
jet is kicking a closed low just south of the Alaska Peninsula
toward the Bering. Another sprawling low, with a closed center
south of the Rat Islands, is on a track toward the Central
Aleutians. The upper low that dominated the central interior on
Friday, is now flattening out as the the jet drives the next low
toward the Alaska Peninsula. At the surface, the pattern persists
from yesterday with the coldest temperatures across the mainland
and the gustiest conditions noted across the Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement on the overall synoptic change;
however, there is still uncertainty on how fast the pattern will
warm across the southern mainland. There are also minor
differences in the track and timing of the subsequent fronts
associated with the next developing system expected to move across
the North Pacific to the southern Bering on Sunday. Adjustments
on the morning package were made using the influences from the NAM
across Southcentral and the Gulf, with GFS mainly used across the
Southwest and Bering.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Brief IFR conditions were included for early this morning
in a tempo group as low stratus is trapped under a temperature
inversion. Otherwise, kept a scattered low deck through the
afternoon as there is high uncertainty in the timing of the lower
ceilings. Weak isentropic lift is expected to initiate a few
flurries with light northerly expected to persist through late Sunday
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Sunday Night)...

A pattern change toward warmer, wetter, and locally windy
conditions is on track for this weekend. The first in a series of
fronts heads north today bringing rain to Kodiak Island this
morning and spreading snow or a mix of rain and snow to the Gulf
Coasts and Kenai Peninsula through tonight. Cold air damming west
of the Chugach will mitigate downslope drying typical with SE cross-
barrier flow and allow some light snow to work west of the
Chugach. Downslope will become more of a factor on Sunday as warm
advection in advance of the next front heading north erodes the
cold dome. So expect the brunt of frontal precipitation to hold
mainly along the coast Sunday with minimal amounts inland.
Temperatures will continue to warm through the weekend with
coastal areas rising to well above freezing and many inland areas
of Sunday climbing into the upper teens to lower 30s, coolest in
the Copper River Basin.

Gap winds will increases today across Turnagain Arm/Portage Valley
today. This combined with falling snow will produce locally low
conditions in blowing snow from Portage Valley to Turnagain Pass
tonight into Sunday morning. Snow should transition toward a mix
in these locals on Sunday and end the blowing snow threat. Gales
to localized storm force winds can be expected over the Gulf
Marine areas, mainly western Gulf, through Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3...Sat
through Mon)...

A closed low south of the Eastern Aleutians, moving north, will
spread increasing chances for snow across Southwest tonight.
However, with strong northeast offshore winds, this will generally
keep precipitation on the lighter side since this low does not
have much of a moisture surge with it. Some coastal blowing snow
is possible along the Kuskokwim Delta. Otherwise, for today, the
main story will remain bitterly cold temps with the wind chill
advisory continuing into the midday.

A warm front will move into Southwest Saturday night into Sunday,
bringing a much more impressive surge of moisture. The warm air
will quickly penetrate Bristol Bay and warm that area up, but
favorable northeast winds 20-30 MPH will continue across the
Kusko Delta. With a burst of 2-3" of snow and strong offshore
winds, expect significant areas of blowing snow possibly reducing
visibilities to a half mile or less during the morning and early
afternoon Sunday before the front moves north and the southerly
winds kick in. A blowing snow advisory may be needed, but held off
for now to get a better handle on timing.

The strong southerly flow continues through Monday, but
precipitation will be more hit or miss behind the dryslot of the
strong warm front.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3...Sat
through Mon)...

A vertically stacked low south of the Western Aleutians continues
to push its frontal boundary across the Chain as it progresses
northeastward towards the Pribilof Islands for Sunday morning.
This low remains storm force based on latest ASCAT imagery and
observations at Shemya. As it moves over the central Aleutians on
Sunday, the low center that has been dominating the pattern
merges with a deeper low center that spins up further east from
the first low. Northeasterly, gale force winds will spread across
most of the Bering and Pribilofs through Sunday morning, until
this system changes positions and starts to bring a southerly flow
by Sunday evening.

One area of concern is would be the frontal system Saturday
through Sunday morning for the Pribilof Islands, which could see
reduced visibilities and blowing snow for a brief period before
the southerly winds kick in. By Monday morning, winds should calm
down a bit for the Aleutians and Pribilofs, with some gales
remaining in the north central Bering, which will diminish to
small crafts throughout the day.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Beginning the marine extended period forecast on Monday, a ~965 mb
low will be slowly moving north over the central Aleutians and
into the Bering, centered near the Pribilofs by Tuesday. The
Bering will be under broad cyclonic flow during this time with
areas of gale force winds expected on the periphery of the low, to
the east and west of the Pribilofs. Winds will diminish through
the day as the low weakens and slowly moves north, with mostly
just small crafts expected by Tuesday afternoon. Wave heights will
also be subsiding through Wednesday, decreasing from near 20 ft
west of the Pribilofs on Monday to only 10-15 ft by Wednesday.

The Gulf of Alaska will see a more active pattern as a series of
storm systems move through, kicking up winds and wave heights
through the first part of the week. Right now, it looks like winds
should remain predominately below gale force, though areas east
and north of Kodiak Island and though the Barren Islands will
likely see periods of gales Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Another system is expected to push through the northern Gulf
Tuesday into Wednesday, but there is still a fair amount of
uncertainty regarding the strength and timing this far out.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning Monday, the southern mainland will be under broad
southerly flow as the area will be caught in between an upper
level low over the Bering and an upper ridge axis over the Pacific
west coast. Warm and moist air will be pumped north into the Gulf
Coast, with a barrage of fronts and lows streaming into the area.
Models still show a chaotic mess in terms of specific features,
with timing and placement differences, but overall it appears the
windward (east) side of the AKPEN, Kodiak, and the Kenai
Peninsula will get the brunt of the action with typical leeward
locations expected to remain mostly dry due to downsloping. These
systems don't look to be as strong the ones that moved through
the area over the New Years holiday due to weaker upper level jet
support. Temperatures are expected to remain well above average
through the middle part of the week. For snow lovers, snow levels
look to rise above sea level in the mountains, meaning rain may
fall at the lower elevations along the coastal mountains from the
Kenai Peninsula to the Chugach along the Gulf Coast.

By the end of the week, models begin hinting at another pattern
change with the upper low over the Bering retreating north
allowing ridging to potentially build back in over the southern
mainland, allowing for a drying/cooling trend over the area.
Still a fair amount of disagreement in the models this far out so
specific details will need some time to get worked out.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 125.
         Wind Chill Advisory 155.
MARINE...Storms 130 178.
         Gales 120 131 132 136-139 150 155 160 165 170-177 179-181 185
         Heavy Freezing Spray 130 139 140 160 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA/AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP