Gale Warning 55, NWS Anchorage, AK

701 
FZAK51 PAFC 130628 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131915-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front sweeps across the North Gulf Coast through Mon morning. A 
second front enters the Western Gulf Sun morning and drives across 
the Gulf weakening by Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-131915-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas  12 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131915-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131915-
Resurrection Bay-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. 
Widespread snow and rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131915-
Prince William Sound-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread 
rain showers and snow. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131915-
Port Valdez-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers and snow. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131915-
Valdez Narrows-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow and rain
showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131915-
Valdez Arm-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131915-
Passage Canal-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131915-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and widespread rain
showers. 
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131915-
Barren Islands East-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131915-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19  ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131915-
Chiniak Bay-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain
showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131915-
Marmot Bay-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131915-
Shelikof Strait-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9  ft diminishing to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131915-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
Snow. 
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray in the morning N
of Anchor Point. Snow and rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131915-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-131915-
Kachemak Bay-
928 PM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread
snow showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
Rain and snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

022 
FZAK51 PAFC 131243
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140115-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the southwestern Gulf will move into the western Gulf
and dissipate Sun night. Generalized low pressure will persist in
the Gulf through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-140115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140115-
Resurrection Bay-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140115-
Prince William Sound-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140115-
Port Valdez-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140115-
Valdez Narrows-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140115-
Valdez Arm-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140115-
Passage Canal-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140115-
Barren Islands East-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140115-
Chiniak Bay-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140115-
Marmot Bay-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140115-
Shelikof Strait-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-140115-
Kachemak Bay-
343 AM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in 
the morning. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

436 
FZAK51 PAFC 140033
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-141330-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the western Gulf will dissipate in the southwestern Gulf 
Mon afternoon. A trough of low pressure will persist over the Gulf 
through Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-141330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-141330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-141330-
Resurrection Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt through early evening. Seas 
2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-141330-
Prince William Sound-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-141330-
Port Valdez-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-141330-
Valdez Narrows-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-141330-
Valdez Arm-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-141330-
Passage Canal-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-141330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-141330-
Barren Islands East-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-141330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, S wind 15 kt. Seas 16
ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt except SE 35 kt S of Dangerous Cape. Seas 16 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape.
Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 
ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-141330-
Chiniak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-141330-
Marmot Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-141330-
Shelikof Strait-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-141330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-141330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-141330-
Kachemak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Jan 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

652 
FZAK51 PAFC 141219
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150115-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the southwestern Gulf will dissipate Mon afternoon.
Low pressure persists over the Gulf through Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-150115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150115-
Resurrection Bay-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150115-
Prince William Sound-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150115-
Port Valdez-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150115-
Valdez Narrows-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150115-
Valdez Arm-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150115-
Passage Canal-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150115-
Barren Islands East-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 20 kt increasing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150115-
Chiniak Bay-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150115-
Marmot Bay-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150115-
Shelikof Strait-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150115-
Kachemak Bay-
319 AM AKST Mon Jan 14 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
504 AM AKST Sat Jan 12 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The synoptic pattern is being kicked into motion by an upper level
subtropical jet which is amplifying across the North Pacific. This
jet is kicking a closed low just south of the Alaska Peninsula
toward the Bering. Another sprawling low, with a closed center
south of the Rat Islands, is on a track toward the Central
Aleutians. The upper low that dominated the central interior on
Friday, is now flattening out as the the jet drives the next low
toward the Alaska Peninsula. At the surface, the pattern persists
from yesterday with the coldest temperatures across the mainland
and the gustiest conditions noted across the Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement on the overall synoptic change;
however, there is still uncertainty on how fast the pattern will
warm across the southern mainland. There are also minor
differences in the track and timing of the subsequent fronts
associated with the next developing system expected to move across
the North Pacific to the southern Bering on Sunday. Adjustments
on the morning package were made using the influences from the NAM
across Southcentral and the Gulf, with GFS mainly used across the
Southwest and Bering.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Brief IFR conditions were included for early this morning
in a tempo group as low stratus is trapped under a temperature
inversion. Otherwise, kept a scattered low deck through the
afternoon as there is high uncertainty in the timing of the lower
ceilings. Weak isentropic lift is expected to initiate a few
flurries with light northerly expected to persist through late Sunday
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Sunday Night)...

A pattern change toward warmer, wetter, and locally windy
conditions is on track for this weekend. The first in a series of
fronts heads north today bringing rain to Kodiak Island this
morning and spreading snow or a mix of rain and snow to the Gulf
Coasts and Kenai Peninsula through tonight. Cold air damming west
of the Chugach will mitigate downslope drying typical with SE cross-
barrier flow and allow some light snow to work west of the
Chugach. Downslope will become more of a factor on Sunday as warm
advection in advance of the next front heading north erodes the
cold dome. So expect the brunt of frontal precipitation to hold
mainly along the coast Sunday with minimal amounts inland.
Temperatures will continue to warm through the weekend with
coastal areas rising to well above freezing and many inland areas
of Sunday climbing into the upper teens to lower 30s, coolest in
the Copper River Basin.

Gap winds will increases today across Turnagain Arm/Portage Valley
today. This combined with falling snow will produce locally low
conditions in blowing snow from Portage Valley to Turnagain Pass
tonight into Sunday morning. Snow should transition toward a mix
in these locals on Sunday and end the blowing snow threat. Gales
to localized storm force winds can be expected over the Gulf
Marine areas, mainly western Gulf, through Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3...Sat
through Mon)...

A closed low south of the Eastern Aleutians, moving north, will
spread increasing chances for snow across Southwest tonight.
However, with strong northeast offshore winds, this will generally
keep precipitation on the lighter side since this low does not
have much of a moisture surge with it. Some coastal blowing snow
is possible along the Kuskokwim Delta. Otherwise, for today, the
main story will remain bitterly cold temps with the wind chill
advisory continuing into the midday.

A warm front will move into Southwest Saturday night into Sunday,
bringing a much more impressive surge of moisture. The warm air
will quickly penetrate Bristol Bay and warm that area up, but
favorable northeast winds 20-30 MPH will continue across the
Kusko Delta. With a burst of 2-3" of snow and strong offshore
winds, expect significant areas of blowing snow possibly reducing
visibilities to a half mile or less during the morning and early
afternoon Sunday before the front moves north and the southerly
winds kick in. A blowing snow advisory may be needed, but held off
for now to get a better handle on timing.

The strong southerly flow continues through Monday, but
precipitation will be more hit or miss behind the dryslot of the
strong warm front.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3...Sat
through Mon)...

A vertically stacked low south of the Western Aleutians continues
to push its frontal boundary across the Chain as it progresses
northeastward towards the Pribilof Islands for Sunday morning.
This low remains storm force based on latest ASCAT imagery and
observations at Shemya. As it moves over the central Aleutians on
Sunday, the low center that has been dominating the pattern
merges with a deeper low center that spins up further east from
the first low. Northeasterly, gale force winds will spread across
most of the Bering and Pribilofs through Sunday morning, until
this system changes positions and starts to bring a southerly flow
by Sunday evening.

One area of concern is would be the frontal system Saturday
through Sunday morning for the Pribilof Islands, which could see
reduced visibilities and blowing snow for a brief period before
the southerly winds kick in. By Monday morning, winds should calm
down a bit for the Aleutians and Pribilofs, with some gales
remaining in the north central Bering, which will diminish to
small crafts throughout the day.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Beginning the marine extended period forecast on Monday, a ~965 mb
low will be slowly moving north over the central Aleutians and
into the Bering, centered near the Pribilofs by Tuesday. The
Bering will be under broad cyclonic flow during this time with
areas of gale force winds expected on the periphery of the low, to
the east and west of the Pribilofs. Winds will diminish through
the day as the low weakens and slowly moves north, with mostly
just small crafts expected by Tuesday afternoon. Wave heights will
also be subsiding through Wednesday, decreasing from near 20 ft
west of the Pribilofs on Monday to only 10-15 ft by Wednesday.

The Gulf of Alaska will see a more active pattern as a series of
storm systems move through, kicking up winds and wave heights
through the first part of the week. Right now, it looks like winds
should remain predominately below gale force, though areas east
and north of Kodiak Island and though the Barren Islands will
likely see periods of gales Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Another system is expected to push through the northern Gulf
Tuesday into Wednesday, but there is still a fair amount of
uncertainty regarding the strength and timing this far out.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning Monday, the southern mainland will be under broad
southerly flow as the area will be caught in between an upper
level low over the Bering and an upper ridge axis over the Pacific
west coast. Warm and moist air will be pumped north into the Gulf
Coast, with a barrage of fronts and lows streaming into the area.
Models still show a chaotic mess in terms of specific features,
with timing and placement differences, but overall it appears the
windward (east) side of the AKPEN, Kodiak, and the Kenai
Peninsula will get the brunt of the action with typical leeward
locations expected to remain mostly dry due to downsloping. These
systems don't look to be as strong the ones that moved through
the area over the New Years holiday due to weaker upper level jet
support. Temperatures are expected to remain well above average
through the middle part of the week. For snow lovers, snow levels
look to rise above sea level in the mountains, meaning rain may
fall at the lower elevations along the coastal mountains from the
Kenai Peninsula to the Chugach along the Gulf Coast.

By the end of the week, models begin hinting at another pattern
change with the upper low over the Bering retreating north
allowing ridging to potentially build back in over the southern
mainland, allowing for a drying/cooling trend over the area.
Still a fair amount of disagreement in the models this far out so
specific details will need some time to get worked out.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 125.
         Wind Chill Advisory 155.
MARINE...Storms 130 178.
         Gales 120 131 132 136-139 150 155 160 165 170-177 179-181 185
         Heavy Freezing Spray 130 139 140 160 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA/AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP