Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Active weather will continue into the this evening as a line of
convection pushes east across the forecast area. Some of the storms
today have the potential to be strong to severe, and as such SPC has
placed the majority of the forecast area in a Severe Storm Watch
through 8 PM. Activity should be diminishing or have already pushed
east out of the forecast area around that time. There is some
potential for patchy fog late tonight depending on how things play
out, but right now there is not enough confidence to add anything to
the forecast.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

A cold front will approach and push through the local area on the
backside of the upper level trough Sunday through Sunday night.
Ahead of the front, the airmass will be very warm and moist so
look for another day with scattered to possibly numerous thunderstorms.
We will begin to dry out on Monday but temperatures will still be
near to above normal. With the dry airmass in place we will see
cooler temps Monday night. Highs will be in the mid 90s Sunday and
the upper 80s to lower 90s Monday. Lows Sunday night will be in
the lower to mid 70s cooling to the mid to upper 60s Monday
night.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Upper level troughing will prevail until a ridge builds in on
Friday. At the surface, weak high pressure will be in place until
a weak cold front approaches Wednesday into Thursday. POPs will
be 20 to 30 percent each afternoon after Tuesday. Lows will be in
the 60s or near 70. Highs will be near 90.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Sunday]...

Widespread TSRA/+TSRA near all terminal through this evening.
Conditions will deteriorate around these storms to IFR/LIFR with
strong gusty winds in the vicinity. Outside of storm influence
conditions will range from MVFR to VFR with WNW winds under 10
kts. There is also a slight possibility for some patchy fog late
tonight.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds will become offshore Sunday night through Monday night in
the wake of a cold front. Otherwise, west to southwest winds will
prevail through the remainder of the upcoming week. Winds are
expected to elevate to cautionary levels Sunday and Sunday night
associated with the front. Winds and seas will be low through the
remainder of the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected through much of the next
week. Elevated chances for wetting rains will exist today and
again on Sunday before a drier pattern sets up for next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Most local rivers are steady or falling. Except for the
Withlacoochee River and the Suwannee River which are gradually
rising. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown has crested and is
gradually falling.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast this weekend. Then
a drier weather pattern will be in place next week. Forecast rain
totals are one inch or less over the next seven days.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or
tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   74  96  74  93  66 /  20  30  40  20   0
Panama City   77  88  75  87  71 /  20  30  30  10   0
Dothan        73  94  71  88  65 /  20  50  40   0   0
Albany        73  94  72  89  65 /  20  50  40   0   0
Valdosta      73  94  73  90  65 /  20  30  40  20   0
Cross City    75  91  76  89  69 /  30  30  30  40  10
Apalachicola  77  87  76  87  71 /  20  20  30  30   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening
     for Coastal Bay-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Humphreys
SHORT TERM...Barry
LONG TERM...Barry
AVIATION...Humphreys
MARINE...Barry
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Pullin

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
255 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

ALZ065-066-068-069-022100-
Dale AL-Coffee AL-Houston AL-Geneva AL-
255 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DALE...EASTERN COFFEE...NORTH
CENTRAL GENEVA AND NORTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 254 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
New Brockton, or near Enterprise, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Daleville, Elba, Enterprise, Fort Rucker, Ozark, Midland City, Level
Plains, Newton, New Brockton, Ariton, Pinckard, Clayhatchee, Mixons
Crossroads, Hunt Field, Waterford, Hooper Stage Field, Gerald,
Central City, Camp Humming Hills and Clintonville.

LAT...LON 3162 8593 3162 8574 3137 8542 3108 8576
      3130 8606 3143 8608
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 286DEG 27KT 3141 8589

ADL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
406 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAKELAND                31.04N 83.08W
06/02/2018                   LANIER             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORTS OF NUMEROUS TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT
            LANIER COUNTY.

&&

RH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NAYLOR                  30.91N 83.08W
06/02/2018                   LOWNDES            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN LOWNDES COUNTY.

&&

RH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
318 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

ALZ066-067-022115-
Dale AL-Henry AL-
318 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DALE AND HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

At 318 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Doster, or 8 miles south of Clio, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Headland, Ariton, Newville, Haleburg, Bells Crossroads,
Tumbleton, Kirkland Crossroads, Edwin, Mabson, Arguta, Snells
Crossroads, Graball, Headland Municipal A/P, Dancey, Phillips
Crossroads, Balkum, Skipperville, Barnes and Echo.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
southeastern Alabama...and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3170 8522 3169 8517 3143 8506 3140 8508
      3139 8508 3132 8541 3162 8577 3162 8542
      3171 8542
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 294DEG 22KT 3160 8564

ADL