Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Active weather will continue into the this evening as a line of
convection pushes east across the forecast area. Some of the storms
today have the potential to be strong to severe, and as such SPC has
placed the majority of the forecast area in a Severe Storm Watch
through 8 PM. Activity should be diminishing or have already pushed
east out of the forecast area around that time. There is some
potential for patchy fog late tonight depending on how things play
out, but right now there is not enough confidence to add anything to
the forecast.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

A cold front will approach and push through the local area on the
backside of the upper level trough Sunday through Sunday night.
Ahead of the front, the airmass will be very warm and moist so
look for another day with scattered to possibly numerous thunderstorms.
We will begin to dry out on Monday but temperatures will still be
near to above normal. With the dry airmass in place we will see
cooler temps Monday night. Highs will be in the mid 90s Sunday and
the upper 80s to lower 90s Monday. Lows Sunday night will be in
the lower to mid 70s cooling to the mid to upper 60s Monday
night.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Upper level troughing will prevail until a ridge builds in on
Friday. At the surface, weak high pressure will be in place until
a weak cold front approaches Wednesday into Thursday. POPs will
be 20 to 30 percent each afternoon after Tuesday. Lows will be in
the 60s or near 70. Highs will be near 90.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Sunday]...

Widespread TSRA/+TSRA near all terminal through this evening.
Conditions will deteriorate around these storms to IFR/LIFR with
strong gusty winds in the vicinity. Outside of storm influence
conditions will range from MVFR to VFR with WNW winds under 10
kts. There is also a slight possibility for some patchy fog late
tonight.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds will become offshore Sunday night through Monday night in
the wake of a cold front. Otherwise, west to southwest winds will
prevail through the remainder of the upcoming week. Winds are
expected to elevate to cautionary levels Sunday and Sunday night
associated with the front. Winds and seas will be low through the
remainder of the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected through much of the next
week. Elevated chances for wetting rains will exist today and
again on Sunday before a drier pattern sets up for next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Most local rivers are steady or falling. Except for the
Withlacoochee River and the Suwannee River which are gradually
rising. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown has crested and is
gradually falling.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast this weekend. Then
a drier weather pattern will be in place next week. Forecast rain
totals are one inch or less over the next seven days.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or
tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   74  96  74  93  66 /  20  30  40  20   0
Panama City   77  88  75  87  71 /  20  30  30  10   0
Dothan        73  94  71  88  65 /  20  50  40   0   0
Albany        73  94  72  89  65 /  20  50  40   0   0
Valdosta      73  94  73  90  65 /  20  30  40  20   0
Cross City    75  91  76  89  69 /  30  30  30  40  10
Apalachicola  77  87  76  87  71 /  20  20  30  30   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening
     for Coastal Bay-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Humphreys
SHORT TERM...Barry
LONG TERM...Barry
AVIATION...Humphreys
MARINE...Barry
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Pullin

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
608 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

FLZ011-013-016-026-GAZ155-022300-
Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Calhoun FL-Jackson FL-Seminole GA-
608 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN JACKSON AND NORTHEASTERN
CALHOUN COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...WEST CENTRAL
GADSDEN...NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTIES IN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA AND
SOUTHWESTERN SEMINOLE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 700 PM
EDT/600 PM CDT/...

At 608 PM EDT/508 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 11 miles east of Marianna, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Blountstown, Marianna, Chattahoochee, Sneads, Bristol, Grand Ridge,
Altha, Rock Bluff, Clarksville, Ocheesee, Selman, Blue Spring, Union
City, Chipola, Henderson Mill, Lovedale, Kennys Mill, Dellwood, Star
and Alliance.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT/700 PM
CDT/ for the Panhandle of Florida...and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3078 8526 3095 8496 3047 8480 3038 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 326DEG 30KT 3083 8505

ADL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
514 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

FLZ008>013-022315-
Central Walton FL-Holmes FL-Inland Bay FL-Calhoun FL-Jackson FL-
Washington FL-
514 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...
NORTHEASTERN BAY...NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...CENTRAL HOLMES AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 514 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bonifay, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Vernon, Chipley, Bonifay, Bradford, Alford, Caryville, Wausau,
Westville, Moose Pond, Whitehead Crossroads, Fountain, Singer Road,
Camps Head, Holmes Valley, Gainer Spring, Porter Lake, Smyrna,
Bahoma, Compass Lake and Sylvania.

LAT...LON 3093 8570 3067 8524 3039 8519 3042 8567
      3070 8586 3070 8585 3073 8588
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 315DEG 21KT 3071 8567

ADL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
617 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

ALZ067-GAZ120>123-142-144-022315-
Henry AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Baker GA-Calhoun GA-Clay GA-Early GA-
617 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...CLAY...SOUTHERN RANDOLPH...NORTHWESTERN
BAKER...CALHOUN...NORTHEASTERN EARLY AND SOUTHERN QUITMAN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 715 PM EDT/615 PM CDT/...

At 617 PM EDT/517 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 9 miles northeast of Fort Gaines, moving southeast at 25
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Gaines, Morgan, Cuthbert, Georgetown, Blakely, Edison,
Arlington, Leary, Douglasville, Bellville, Bluffton, Shorterville,
Wire Bridge, Iveys Mill, Parksville, Carnegie, Hayes, Watson
Crossroads, Scottsboro Crossroads and Ricks Place.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT/700 PM
CDT/ for southeastern Alabama...and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3177 8467 3140 8443 3131 8466 3141 8475
      3138 8495 3170 8531 3170 8522 3174 8520
      3177 8516 3177 8512 3178 8514 3183 8513
      3186 8514 3188 8513 3189 8513 3189 8512
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 315DEG 21KT 3174 8496

ADL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
625 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE BLAKELY           31.36N 84.92W
06/02/2018                   EARLY              GA   PUBLIC

            TREES REPORTED DOWN IN BLAKELY.

&&

RH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
532 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

ALZ068-FLZ007-009-022315-
Geneva AL-Holmes FL-North Walton FL-
532 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN GENEVA AND HOLMES
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 531 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Geneva, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Geneva, Samson, Ponce De Leon, Caryville, Esto, Westville, Coffee
Springs, Noma, Black, Chancellor, Kellys Crossroads, Cerrogordo,
Lytle, Darlington, Marl, Gritney, Arrant Settlement, Geneva Municipal
A/P, Holland Crossroads and Smith Crossroads.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
southeastern Alabama...and the Panhandle of Florida.

LAT...LON 3104 8612 3120 8592 3120 8588 3095 8558
      3079 8580 3079 8582 3076 8583 3070 8592
      3070 8594
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 326DEG 21KT 3104 8596

ADL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
637 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

FLZ016-GAZ156-157-022315-
Gadsden FL-Decatur GA-Grady GA-
637 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GADSDEN...
SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR AND SOUTHWESTERN GRADY COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM
EDT...

At 636 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of West Bainbridge, or 7 miles southwest of
Bainbridge, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Quincy, Havana, Bainbridge, Attapulgus, Climax, Darsey, Concord,
Jamieson, Faceville, Laingkat, Calvary, Santa Clara, Fowlstown,
Amsterdam, Quincy Airport, Branchville, Hinson and Dogtown.

LAT...LON 3092 8445 3068 8427 3068 8430 3067 8431
      3056 8460 3083 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 315DEG 29KT 3083 8466

ADL