Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 439
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 20, 2018, 7:55 AM EST for 21 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 20, 2018, 7:55 AM EST (12:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 20, 2018, 2:43 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 21 counties
Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Collier County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 8:01 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Polk | 29 min |
| Dec 20, 8:15 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hardee, Polk | 30 min |
| Dec 20, 8:23 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange | 22 min |
| Dec 20, 8:43 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 21 min |
| Dec 20, 9:21 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 12 min |
| Dec 20, 9:24 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Manatee, Sarasota | 21 min |
| Dec 20, 9:25 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Orange | 35 min |
| Dec 20, 9:25 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Manatee | 35 min |
| Dec 20, 9:37 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 23 min |
| Dec 20, 9:48 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hardee, Polk | 27 min |
| Dec 20, 10:46 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Seminole, Volusia | 29 min |
| Dec 20, 11:01 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Volusia | 29 min |
| Dec 20, 11:13 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 19 min |
| Dec 20, 11:21 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Lee, Manatee, Sarasota | 39 min |
| Dec 20, 11:23 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Sarasota | 2 min |
| Dec 20, 11:24 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Volusia | 19 min |
| Dec 20, 11:35 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia | 55 min |
| Dec 20, 11:54 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hardee, Manatee | 36 min |
| Dec 20, 12:01 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk and 1 more | 44 min |
| Dec 20, 12:02 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Seminole, Volusia | 28 min |
| Dec 20, 12:33 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Seminole, Volusia | 27 min |
| Dec 20, 12:57 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Osceola | 63 min |
| Dec 20, 1:35 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MFL | Glades, Hendry | 25 min |
| Dec 20, 1:45 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MFL | Collier | 45 min |
| Dec 20, 2:25 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 620 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -264 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 569 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 318 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 316 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted.
942 WWUS20 KWNS 201252 SEL9 SPC WW 201252 FLZ000-CWZ000-202100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 439 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 755 AM EST Thu Dec 20 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of East-central to west-central and southwest Florida Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 755 AM until 400 PM EST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Bands of thunderstorms should cross the watch area through mid-afternoon. This activity will offer sporadic tornado and damaging-wind threats in a favorable shear regime, as the inflow air mass gradually destabilizes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles either side of a line from 35 miles south southeast of Sarasota FL to 25 miles north northeast of Melbourne FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 22030. ...Edwards
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 6:28 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Manatee, Sarasota | 62 min |
| Dec 20, 7:38 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 11 more | 97 min |
| Dec 20, 10:49 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry and 11 more | 116 min |
| Dec 20, 1:41 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Highlands, Indian River and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 20, 2:15 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brevard, Broward, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Indian River and 6 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 20, 5:55 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broward, Miami-Dade | 2 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.