Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 165

June 9, 201824 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 9, 2018, 2:26 PM CDT for 24 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2018, 2:26 PM CDT (19:26 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2018, 7:52 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 31 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Tama County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Mower County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 2:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWinnebago, Worth38 min
Jun 9, 2:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXWinnebago, Worth33 min
Jun 9, 3:20 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Worth25 min
Jun 9, 3:37 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Worth22 min
Jun 9, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFloyd, Mitchell54 min
Jun 9, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo48 min
Jun 9, 4:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Worth6 hr
Jun 9, 4:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningARXFloyd, Mitchell3 hr
Jun 9, 4:07 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCerro Gordo38 min
Jun 9, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningARXFloyd41 min
Jun 9, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Floyd79 min
Jun 9, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler66 min
Jun 9, 5:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningARXHoward, Winneshiek3 hr
Jun 9, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Floyd47 min
Jun 9, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFayette83 min
Jun 9, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBremer51 min
Jun 9, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWinneshiek55 min
Jun 9, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee45 min
Jun 9, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXFranklin32 min
Jun 9, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClayton88 min
Jun 9, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Franklin54 min
Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee47 min
Jun 9, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk45 min
Jun 9, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Franklin29 min
Jun 9, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 395 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
395 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

128 
WWUS20 KWNS 091925
SEL5  
SPC WW 091925
IAZ000-MNZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 165
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North-central and northeast Iowa
  Far south-central and southeast Minnesota

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A few supercells should develop near the Minnesota-Iowa
border and spread southeast across north-central and northeast Iowa
into the evening. All severe hazards will be possible, before a
likely transition to a linear cluster later this evening, with
damaging winds becoming the primary hazard.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Rochester MN
to 40 miles southeast of Waterloo IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 11:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPlymouth84 min
Jun 9, 2:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Carroll, Cass, Crawford, Fremont, Greene and 10 more114 min
Jun 9, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Floyd, Franklin and 6 more119 min
Jun 9, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 23 more83 min
Jun 9, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 22 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2018Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.