Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 165
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 9, 2018, 2:26 PM CDT for 24 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 9, 2018, 2:26 PM CDT (19:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 9, 2018, 7:52 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 31 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Tama County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Mower County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Winnebago, Worth | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 2:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Winnebago, Worth | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 3:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Worth | 25 min |
| Jun 9, 3:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo, Hancock, Worth | 22 min |
| Jun 9, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Floyd, Mitchell | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo | 48 min |
| Jun 9, 4:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo, Worth | 6 hr |
| Jun 9, 4:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ARX | Floyd, Mitchell | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 4:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 4:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Floyd | 41 min |
| Jun 9, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd | 79 min |
| Jun 9, 5:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Butler | 66 min |
| Jun 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ARX | Howard, Winneshiek | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 6:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Fayette | 83 min |
| Jun 9, 6:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Bremer | 51 min |
| Jun 9, 6:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Winneshiek | 55 min |
| Jun 9, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee | 45 min |
| Jun 9, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Franklin | 32 min |
| Jun 9, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clayton | 88 min |
| Jun 9, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Butler, Franklin | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk | 45 min |
| Jun 9, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Butler, Franklin | 29 min |
| Jun 9, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan | 54 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 395 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -155 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 661 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 128 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.9
The text
As transmitted.
128
WWUS20 KWNS 091925
SEL5
SPC WW 091925
IAZ000-MNZ000-100300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 165
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-central and northeast Iowa
Far south-central and southeast Minnesota
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A few supercells should develop near the Minnesota-Iowa
border and spread southeast across north-central and northeast Iowa
into the evening. All severe hazards will be possible, before a
likely transition to a linear cluster later this evening, with
damaging winds becoming the primary hazard.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Rochester MN
to 40 miles southeast of Waterloo IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 11:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Plymouth | 84 min |
| Jun 9, 2:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Crawford, Fremont, Greene and 10 more | 114 min |
| Jun 9, 1:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Floyd, Franklin and 6 more | 119 min |
| Jun 9, 3:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 23 more | 83 min |
| Jun 9, 6:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 22 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2018Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.