Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 340

August 17, 20186 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 17, 2018, 3:44 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2018, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2018, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome41 min
Aug 17, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer60 min
Aug 17, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange30 min
Aug 17, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Greene, Schenectady, Schoharie50 min
Aug 17, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren31 min
Aug 17, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery63 min
Aug 17, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe41 min
Aug 17, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex, Warren38 min
Aug 17, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Greene, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga and 3 more53 min
Aug 17, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill53 min
Aug 17, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh52 min
Aug 17, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Passaic39 min
Aug 17, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire66 min
Aug 17, 6:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks2 hr
Aug 17, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Saratoga, Warren48 min
Aug 17, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Middlesex, Worcester29 min
Aug 17, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region27 min
Aug 17, 7:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Lehigh, Monroe and 2 more51 min
Aug 17, 7:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga, Washington55 min
Aug 17, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region35 min
Aug 17, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess, Ulster43 min
Aug 17, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire53 min
Aug 17, 8:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren43 min
Aug 17, 8:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYColumbia3 hr
Aug 17, 8:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Sussex43 min
Aug 17, 10:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region66 min
Aug 17, 10:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region58 min
Aug 17, 10:36 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYBerkshire118 min
Aug 17, 10:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 19 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1004 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 2:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 17, 7:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 7 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.