Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1307

August 17, 20185 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 17, 2018, 2:42 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2018, 2:42 PM EDT (18:42 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2018, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 49 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Passaic County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bennington County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1004 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Capitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region7 hr
Aug 17, 7:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 7 more89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Massachusetts, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.