Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 258

July 3, 20185 counties in Minnesota; 32 counties in North Dakota; 17 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2018, 1:59 AM CDT for 5 counties in Minnesota; 32 counties in North Dakota; 17 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2018, 1:59 AM CDT (06:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2018, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Clay County, MN, Norman County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Adams County, ND, Barnes County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Wells County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Corson County, SD, Day County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hand County, SD, Harding County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 2:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding58 min
Jul 3, 2:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Billings, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope, Stark57 min
Jul 3, 2:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk, Potter37 min
Jul 3, 2:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins59 min
Jul 3, 3:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark60 min
Jul 3, 3:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, McIntosh54 min
Jul 3, 3:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins21 min
Jul 3, 4:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Burleigh, Grant, Morton, Sioux63 min
Jul 3, 5:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux57 min
Jul 3, 5:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh, Stutsman60 min
Jul 3, 6:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh, Stutsman62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 34 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2018-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 86 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2018-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
86 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Stone, Traverse, Wilkin9 hr
Jul 2, 9:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCTraverse, Wilkin115 min
Jul 2, 11:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Cass, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas and 14 more88 min
Jul 3, 4:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Clay, Norman, Traverse, Wilkin90 min
Jul 3, 7:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Cass, Clay, Clearwater, Douglas, Grant and 8 more119 min
Jul 3, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Traverse, Wilkin2 hr
Jul 3, 12:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bowman, Golden Valley, Grant, Hettinger, Slope and 1 more89 min
Jul 3, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLawrence2 hr
Jul 3, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding and 7 more7 hr
Jul 3, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Clark, Day, Edmunds, Faulk, Hand and 8 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.