Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 149

June 2, 201814 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 2, 2018, 5:48 AM CDT for 14 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2018, 5:48 AM CDT (10:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2018, 10:06 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 45 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 6:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Greenwood, Woodson57 min
Jun 2, 6:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Lafayette, Linn, Livingston and 2 more35 min
Jun 2, 8:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2018-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2011 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2018-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2011 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-211 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 12:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin and 13 more55 min
Jun 2, 9:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Callaway, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Cedar, Cole and 27 more2 hr
Jun 2, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHowell, Oregon, Ozark, Ripley117 min
Jun 2, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Carter, Douglas, Dunklin, Howell, Mississippi and 11 more10 hr
Jun 2, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dent, Douglas and 22 more2 hr
Jun 2, 6:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Dunklin, Howell, New Madrid, Oregon and 6 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.