Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1747

December 31, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 31, 2018, 11:22 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2018, 11:22 AM CST (17:22 UTC)
Expired
Dec 31, 2018, 12:45 PM CST
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 78 counties

Colbert County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Marion County, AL, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Graves County, KY, Marshall County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 294 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
414 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
88 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
294 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
340 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 11:47 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Lamar and 11 more5 hr
Dec 31, 1:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Lamar, Lauderdale and 10 more2 hr
Dec 31, 12:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler and 35 more3 hr
Dec 31, 2:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Edmonson and 12 more119 min
Dec 31, 7:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Choctaw, Claiborne, Copiah and 26 more118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.