Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1746

December 31, 201820 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 31, 2018, 7:02 AM CST for 20 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2018, 7:02 AM CST (13:02 UTC)
Expired
Dec 31, 2018, 9:00 AM CST
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 52 counties

Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 316 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 332 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
316 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
601 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
423 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 11:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 34 more83 min
Dec 31, 11:47 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 31 more5 hr
Dec 31, 1:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Lowndes, Monroe and 7 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.