Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1564

October 11, 201828 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 11, 2018, 4:34 AM EDT for 28 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 4:34 AM EDT (08:34 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2018, 5:30 AM EDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 51 counties

Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pender County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Richland County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Union County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 00:00Z on 2018-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 846 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 00:00Z on 2018-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 87 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
846 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
746 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 10, 11:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Union97 min
Oct 11, 8:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Bladen, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Duplin and 25 more89 min
Oct 11, 9:58 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden and 49 more13 hr
Oct 11, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 28 more117 min
Oct 11, 3:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Caswell, Chowan, Currituck and 18 more2 hr
Oct 10, 11:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort and 36 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.