Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 233, NWS Shreveport, LA

December 27, 2018Sabine County, Shelby County, Texas; Natchitoches Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 27, 2018, 5:22 AM CST for Sabine County, Shelby County, Texas; Natchitoches Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2018, 5:22 AM CST (11:22 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2018, 6:15 AM CST
In force
53 min
Issued by
NWS Shreveport, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Natchitoches Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Sabine County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Dec 27, 3:43 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 280 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
836 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
280 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
510 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 27, 5:00 AM CST, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 5:00 AM CST, 22 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 1:58 PM CST, 15 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
158 PM CST Wed Dec 26 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166-271800-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Caddo-Bossier-De Soto-McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
158 PM CST Wed Dec 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, northwest Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma and northeast
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...Lake Wind Advisory remains in effect until Noon on Thursday...

Showers and thunderstorms will become numerous overnight across
the region and some of these could become severe with damaging
wind gusts and isolated tornadoes the probable threats. In
addition to the severe weather threat, excessive heavy rainfall
will be possible with rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches possible
with isolated higher amounts until the storm system moves east of
the region on Thursday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will
move back into the forecast for this weekend through at least New
Years Eve. At this time, strong to severe thunderstorms do not
appear likely, nor does the threat for excessive heavy rainfall,
but these threats will continue to be monitored with future
forecasts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters will likely be needed later this
evening into the overnight hours with the threat of Severe
Thunderstorms.

ARZ072-073-LAZ003>006-011>014-017>022-TXZ167-271800-
Columbia-Union-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-Red River-Bienville-
Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
158 PM CST Wed Dec 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana and east Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...Lake Wind Advisory remains in effect until Noon on Thursday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will increase
across the region from the south and west later this evening into
the overnight hours. While an isolated strong or severe
thunderstorm is certainly possible tonight, a more widespread
damaging wind threat will likely materialize near or just after
sunrise Thursday Morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes will likely accompany
a line of strong to severe thunderstorms Thursday Morning before
the storms exit the region Thursday Afternoon. In addition to the
severe weather threat, excessive heavy rainfall will be possible
with rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches possible with isolated
higher amounts until the storm system moves east of the region on
Thursday afternoon.

Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will
move back into the forecast for this weekend through at least New
Years Eve. At this time, strong to severe thunderstorms do not
appear likely, nor does the threat for excessive heavy rainfall,
but these threats will continue to be monitored with future
forecasts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters will likely not be needed overnight
but could be needed early Thursday for the threat of Severe
Thunderstorms.

13

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 27, 4:46 AM CST, 36 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Dec 27, 4:52 AM CST, 30 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:01 AM CST, 21 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:02 AM CST, 20 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:07 AM CST, 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:09 AM CST, 13 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 6:20 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVFranklin, Wood55 min
Dec 26, 7:01 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVGregg29 min
Dec 26, 9:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Rusk, Smith23 min
Dec 26, 9:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby49 min
Dec 26, 10:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Gregg, Marion, Morris, Smith and 3 more29 min
Dec 26, 11:09 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Morris, Titus, Upshur, Wood36 min
Dec 26, 11:10 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Cass, Morris, Red River, Titus and 1 more35 min
Dec 26, 11:43 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Cass, Morris47 min
Dec 27, 12:10 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVCass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur50 min
Dec 27, 12:24 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Cass31 min
Dec 27, 12:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion52 min
Dec 27, 12:55 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Marion25 min
Dec 27, 1:23 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVMarion37 min
Dec 27, 1:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass, Harrison, Marion60 min
Dec 27, 1:37 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison38 min
Dec 27, 1:43 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby32 min
Dec 27, 2:07 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVPanola27 min
Dec 27, 4:52 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVSabine68 min
Dec 27, 5:09 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisorySHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby4 hr
Dec 27, 5:17 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisorySHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk4 hr
Dec 27, 7:10 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches5 days
Dec 27, 7:11 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVAnderson, Cherokee, Houston33 days
Dec 27, 7:11 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVAnderson, Cherokee, Houston, Trinity25 days
Dec 27, 7:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVSmith, Wood24 days
Dec 27, 7:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVGregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood25 days
Dec 27, 7:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVGregg, Rusk5 days
Dec 27, 7:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Panola, Rusk26 days
Dec 27, 7:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Smith3 days
Dec 27, 8:28 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVBowie, Red River47 hr
Dec 27, 8:48 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVWood4 days
Dec 27, 8:50 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVCass, Marion15 days
Dec 27, 8:50 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur26 hr
Dec 27, 9:03 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisorySHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby4 hr
Dec 27, 9:06 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisorySHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk4 hr
Dec 27, 1:54 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Webster25 min
Dec 27, 6:06 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVBienville, Jackson, Lincoln39 min
Dec 27, 6:14 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVNatchitoches, Winn61 min
Dec 27, 6:40 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine50 min
Dec 27, 7:13 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVOuachita32 min
Dec 27, 7:16 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVCaldwell, Grant, Winn59 min
Dec 27, 8:22 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementSHVLaSalle38 min
Dec 27, 9:24 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Red River, Webster18 days
Dec 27, 3:05 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningSHVCaddo, De Soto14 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.