Severe Thunderstorm Warning 296, NWS Springfield, MO

175 
WWUS53 KSGF 170158
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
858 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

MOC077-170207-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0296.000000T0000Z-180817T0215Z/
Greene MO-
858 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GREENE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3709 9348 3743 9356 3742 9308 3709 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 268DEG 23KT 3742 9318 3710 9301 

$$

Raberding

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
622 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

A couple of upper level impulses will interact with a quasi-
stationary front to produce some strong to severe thunderstorms
into this evening. The surface front is currently located from
about Columbia to Joplin. The first upper level impulse is
currently moving out of northeastern NE into IA. Convection is
beginning to fire ahead of this impulse from southern IA into
northeast KS. The second impulse is a leftover MCV currently
moving into north central OK. Visible satellite imagery is
showing what looks like an old outflow boundary extending from
north central AR through north central OK. This seems to be
providing the focus for the northeast OK storms at this time.

Convection associated with these impulses will be on the increase
from late this afternoon into this evening. These storms will
eventually congeal into a complex as they move through the area
overnight. Primary severe threats will be strong winds and large
hail. As the front shifts southward on Friday...afternoon
convection will be more confined to the MO-AR border region.
Temperatures overnight will fall to around 70 with highs on Friday
in the mid to upper 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

There will be a brief lull in the weather from Friday night into
early Sunday. It should be dry with daytime highs in the upper 80s
and overnight lows around 70.

The next system begins to approach the area Sunday as a short wave
moves up over the ridge and begins to dig into the Central Plains.
This system should bring some more widespread rain to the area
which will provide further drought relief. This system will
affect the weather over the region through Tuesday. By Tuesday
night...high pressure begins to move back in both at the surface
and aloft. This will bring in a cooler and drier Canadian air mass that
will remain over the area through the forecast period. Highs mid
to late week will be in the low to mid 80s with lows in low to mid
60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

Convection has developed over southeast Kansas and northeast
Oklahoma and will begin to affect the KJLN terminal by 00z. Two
areas to the northwest and southwest of the area will eventually
congeal into a convective complex later this evening. This will
affect all terminals by 03-05z and continue to affect the area
overnight. Outside of thunderstorm areas...VFR conditions will
prevail but will definitely have MVFR ceilings and visibilities
where thunderstorms are occurring.

Thunderstorms will once again fire during the afternoon on Friday.
At this time expect this activity to be primarily along the MO-AR
border but could affect all three aerodromes.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
735 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
735 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 339 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM
CDT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe thunderstorms have developed out ahead of a
  cold front and upper level disturbance this evening. These
  storms will continue to move into the Missouri Ozarks through
  the overnight hours.

  This line of storms will be west of an Eldon to Hartville to
  Gainesville line by 9PM...and along a Rolla to Salem to Alton
  line by midnight. Hail up to the size of quarters and damaging
  thunderstorm wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the primary
  severe weather risks.

  If thunderstorms can develop and move across the same
  locations, some localized flooding will be possible in
  addition to the severe storms. This will occur south and west
  of an Alton to Gainesville to Nevada line through the
  overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Heat index values in the mid to upper 90s will be possible
  Friday and Saturday afternoons primarily across southern
  Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas.

  Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday
  into the early of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed west of Highway 63 before 10PM
  and east of Highway 63 after 10 PM.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
745 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

MOZ056-170130-
Morgan MO-
745 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

At 744 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Otterville, or 9 miles east of Sedalia, moving east at 25 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Syracuse...                       Florence...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3857 9283 3858 9306 3865 9307
      3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 289DEG 24KT 3874 9305

Raberding

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
746 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNW HAMMOND           37.95N 94.71W
08/16/2018  E66 MPH          BOURBON            KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA STATION REPORTED 66MPH WIND GUST. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE NEVADA            37.84N 94.33W
08/16/2018  E60 MPH          VERNON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORT OF WIND GUST UP 60MPH IN
            NEVADA.

&&

KP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
756 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

MOZ078-170145-
Cedar MO-
756 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CEDAR COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

At 755 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near El Dorado Springs to 10 miles southwest of
Stockton. Movement was east at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Stockton Lake...                  Stockton State Park...
El Dorado Springs...              Stockton...
Jerico Springs...                 Umber View Heights...
Bearcreek...                      Masters...
Olympia...                        Caplinger Mills...
Wagoner...                        Arnica...
Filley...                         Cedar Springs...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3789 9381 3783 9381 3783 9363 3774 9363
      3774 9361 3758 9362 3758 9407 3790 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 266DEG 26KT 3789 9399 3758 9389

Raberding

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
804 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             2 NW NEWTONIA           36.90N 94.22W
08/16/2018  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF 1.00"
            HAIL.

&&

KP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
819 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

MOZ103-170145-
Stone MO-
819 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN STONE COUNTY UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

At 819 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Galena, or 12 miles west of Highlandville, moving northeast at 25
mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Galena...                         Mccord Bend...
Hurley...                         Ponce de Leon...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3677 9352 3694 9352 3699 9334 3678 9334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 247DEG 20KT 3686 9349

Raberding