Severe Thunderstorm Warning 291, NWS Springfield, MO

378 
WWUS53 KSGF 170047
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
747 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

KSC011-037-MOC011-217-170115-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-180817T0115Z/
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
747 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON...EASTERN CRAWFORD...BARTON AND VERNON
COUNTIES...

At 746 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near El Dorado Springs to 8 miles north of Golden City
to 6 miles southeast of Pittsburg, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Prairie State Park...
Nevada...                         Lamar...
Frontenac...                      Arma...
Golden City...                    Liberal...
Sheldon...                        Mulberry...
Chicopee...                       Nashville...
Mindenmines...                    Franklin...
Montevallo...                     Arcadia...
Walker...                         Bronaugh...
Lamar Heights...                  Moundville...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 57 and 95.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9443 3798 9407 3735 9408 3736 9461
      3735 9462 3736 9478 3770 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 290DEG 40KT 3785 9408 3751 9410 3736 9461 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Raberding

559 
WWUS53 KSGF 170109
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
809 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

KSC011-037-MOC011-217-170119-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-180817T0115Z/
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
809 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON...EASTERN
CRAWFORD...BARTON AND VERNON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3788 9443 3798 9407 3735 9408 3736 9461
      3735 9462 3736 9478 3770 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 293DEG 61KT 3771 9367 3737 9369 3722 9420 

$$

Raberding

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
622 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

A couple of upper level impulses will interact with a quasi-
stationary front to produce some strong to severe thunderstorms
into this evening. The surface front is currently located from
about Columbia to Joplin. The first upper level impulse is
currently moving out of northeastern NE into IA. Convection is
beginning to fire ahead of this impulse from southern IA into
northeast KS. The second impulse is a leftover MCV currently
moving into north central OK. Visible satellite imagery is
showing what looks like an old outflow boundary extending from
north central AR through north central OK. This seems to be
providing the focus for the northeast OK storms at this time.

Convection associated with these impulses will be on the increase
from late this afternoon into this evening. These storms will
eventually congeal into a complex as they move through the area
overnight. Primary severe threats will be strong winds and large
hail. As the front shifts southward on Friday...afternoon
convection will be more confined to the MO-AR border region.
Temperatures overnight will fall to around 70 with highs on Friday
in the mid to upper 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

There will be a brief lull in the weather from Friday night into
early Sunday. It should be dry with daytime highs in the upper 80s
and overnight lows around 70.

The next system begins to approach the area Sunday as a short wave
moves up over the ridge and begins to dig into the Central Plains.
This system should bring some more widespread rain to the area
which will provide further drought relief. This system will
affect the weather over the region through Tuesday. By Tuesday
night...high pressure begins to move back in both at the surface
and aloft. This will bring in a cooler and drier Canadian air mass that
will remain over the area through the forecast period. Highs mid
to late week will be in the low to mid 80s with lows in low to mid
60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

Convection has developed over southeast Kansas and northeast
Oklahoma and will begin to affect the KJLN terminal by 00z. Two
areas to the northwest and southwest of the area will eventually
congeal into a convective complex later this evening. This will
affect all terminals by 03-05z and continue to affect the area
overnight. Outside of thunderstorm areas...VFR conditions will
prevail but will definitely have MVFR ceilings and visibilities
where thunderstorms are occurring.

Thunderstorms will once again fire during the afternoon on Friday.
At this time expect this activity to be primarily along the MO-AR
border but could affect all three aerodromes.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
413 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-172115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
413 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop out
  ahead of a cold front and upper level disturbance across the
  plains this afternoon. These storms will then move into extreme
  southeast Kansas and western Missouri, generally this evening
  and overnight.

  The best chance of severe storms will be west of
  an Anderson to Stockton to Osceola line after 6 pm. Hail to
  the size of golf balls and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts up
  to 60 mph will be the primary severe weather risks.

  If thunderstorms can develop and move across the same
  locations, some minor localized flooding will be possible in
  addition to the severe storms.

  Some heat index values in the mid 90s will be possible late
  this afternoon across the Missouri Ozarks and extreme
  southeast Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Heat index values in the mid to upper 90s will be possible
  Friday and Saturday afternoons primarily across southern
  Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas.

  Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday
  into the early of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed later this evening into
  tonight over western Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
627 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

MOZ088-170015-
Jasper MO-
627 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

At 627 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Pittsburg to near Seneca. Movement was
east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin...                         Carthage...
Webb City...                      Carl Junction...
Galena...                         Oronogo...
Carterville...                    Duquesne...
Sarcoxie...                       Duenweg...
Jasper...                         Airport Drive...
Alba...                           Purcell...
Carytown...                       Fidelity...
Asbury...                         Neck City...
Avilla...                         Brooklyn Heights...

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 10 and 31.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 36 and 56.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3735 9462 3735 9409 3705 9406 3706 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 256DEG 24KT 3734 9466 3692 9461

Raberding

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 S HAMMOND             37.89N 94.70W
08/16/2018  E59 MPH          BOURBON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED WIND GUST OF 59MPH.

&&

KP