River Flood Warning 28, NWS Blacksburg, VA

232 
WGUS41 KRNK 170137
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
937 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018


...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity
for the following rivers in Virginia...
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties

Somewhat higher stages than previously forecast are likely
along the upper Roanoke River as the hevay rainfall continues
across the area late this evening. Parts of the basin have received
1 to 3 inches of rain today with an additional 1 to 3 inches
possible overnight and into the day tomorrow. The river updated
forecast is dependent on this additional rain occurring.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-171337-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0028.180917T1550Z-180919T0000Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.180917T1550Z.180918T0000Z.180918T1200Z.NO/
937 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018


* until Tuesday evening
* At 09PM Sunday the stage was 3.5 feet.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by tomorrow evening.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

pc

495 
WGUS41 KRNK 170719
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...Forecast Moderate Flooding for the following rivers in Virginia...
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke County...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem

Forecast stages remain unchanged from last evening along the upper
Roanoke River. Heavy rainfall continues across the area through
early this morning with parts of the basin receiving 3 to 5 inches
of rain the past 24 hours with an additional 1 to 2 inches possible
through the rest of the morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-171918-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0028.180917T1550Z-180919T0000Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.180917T1550Z.180918T0000Z.180918T1200Z.NO/
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018


* until Tuesday evening
* At 02AM Monday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 14.0 feet by this evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$
RCS

989 
WGUS81 KRNK 171142
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...North Carolina..
  New River Near Galax affecting Carroll...Grayson and City of Galax
  Counties 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties 


Rainfall of 2 to as much as 8 inches has occurred since Saturday over
the basins, with the highest amounts in the headwaters of the New, Dan and 
Roanoke River basins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon today.

&&

VAC035-077-640-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0025.180917T1430Z-180918T1525Z/
/GAXV2.2.ER.180917T1430Z.180917T1800Z.180918T0325Z.UU/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River Near Galax.
* from late this morning until Tuesday morning
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 8.7 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Route 634 (grinders mill road) on right 
  bank may become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3658 8119 3693 8090 3692 8078 3665 8090
          3657 8095                   

$$

VAC121-155-750-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0026.180917T1602Z-180919T0410Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.180917T1602Z.180918T0600Z.180918T2210Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* from this afternoon until late Tuesday night
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 4.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 19.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Flooding along sections of Hazel Hollow 
  road (State Route 626) on Pulaski County side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0027.180918T0632Z-180919T1312Z/
/GLLV2.2.ER.180918T0632Z.180918T1800Z.180919T0112Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 4.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 16.1 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Some campsites along the river are 
  affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0028.180917T1550Z-180919T0000Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.180917T1550Z.180918T0000Z.180918T1200Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from late this morning until Tuesday evening
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

NCC157-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1515Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0915Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday morning. 
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 20.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180921T0038Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1238Z.NR/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday evening. 
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.4 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1924Z-180921T1610Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1924Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0410Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from late this afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 15.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1619Z-180922T0910Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1619Z.180920T0000Z.180921T2110Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from this afternoon until late Friday night
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 18.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 30.3 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-180918T1414Z/
/ELKN7.2.ER.180917T1105Z.180917T1800Z.180918T0214Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* from this morning until Tuesday morning
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 23.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Two to three blocks of Elkin are 
  inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$

086 
WGUS81 KRNK 171418
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1018 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 

The flood crest on the upper Roanoke River has been revised 
slightly downward and only minor flooding is expected along
the river through Salem and Roanoke. Rainfall from Florence
over the past few days has been highly variable across the
basin with less than 2 inches some of the headwaters in 
Montgomery County and over 5 inches in parts of southwest
Roanoke County where terrain enhanced the rainfall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

VAC161-770-775-172218-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0028.180917T1616Z-180918T1340Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.180917T1616Z.180917T1800Z.180918T0140Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from this afternoon until Tuesday morning
* at 10AM Monday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 10.7 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on Jan 23 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

pc

444 
WGUS81 KRNK 171851
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
251 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 

The Roanoke River at Roanoke is very near crest at this time. 
The latest reading on the gage at Walnut Street in the City
of Roanoke showed a slight drop from the peak of 10.74 feet,
but minor fluctuations around this level could last for an hour
or so. Gages upstream on the river at Glenvar and Salem Pump
Station are falling and this trend will translate downstream
later today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
The next scheduled statement will be issued this evening.

&&

VAC161-770-775-180251-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180918T1340Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.180917T1609Z.180917T1815Z.180918T0140Z.NO/
251 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 0230 PM Monday the stage was 10.71 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on Jan 23 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

101 
WGUS81 KRNK 172012
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Flood forecast levels on the Roanoke River are only slightly changed
from the previous issuance. The Roanoke will crest this evening
at Roanoke and well downstream at Randolph tomorrow. No flooding
is expected at Alta Vista or Brookneal although stages will be
quite high.

The forecast on the Dan River is lowered with this issuance at all
the forecast points, with mainly moderate flooding now expected.
Danville may briefly reach Major flood stage tomorrow but this 
will not last long.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued later this evening.

&&

VAC161-770-775-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180918T1434Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.180917T1609Z.180918T0000Z.180918T0234Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.5 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on Jan 23 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC037-083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0029.180918T0900Z-180919T2040Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.180918T0900Z.180918T1800Z.180919T0840Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from early tomorrow until Wednesday afternoon
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 25.0 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Apr 26 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1539Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0600Z.180919T0939Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at nearby home.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Mar 21 2003.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T1731Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1800Z.180920T0531Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180921T1208Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0008Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180922T0315Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180920T0000Z.180921T1515Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday evening. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc

238 
WGUS81 KRNK 180103
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
903 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  New River Near Galax affecting Carroll...Grayson and City of Galax
  Counties
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties 


 .The New River at Galax has gone below flood stage and continue 
 to fall this evening. The crest along the New River at Radford has 
 been adjusted up to 16.4 feet. The Roanoke river at Roanoke has
 crest and falling below flood. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 9 AM Tuesday.

&&

VAC035-077-640-180133-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180918T1200Z/
/GAXV2.1.ER.180917T1050Z.180917T1545Z.180917T2123Z.UU/
903 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the New River Near Galax.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 08PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet and falling.

* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding. Some campgrounds 
  upstream begin to be affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3658 8119 3693 8090 3692 8078 3665 8090
          3657 8095                   

$$

VAC121-155-750-180903-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-180918T2000Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.180917T2053Z.180918T0600Z.180918T1400Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until Tuesday afternoon. 
* at 08PM Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  morning.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Significant flooding occures in Bissett 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 
  feet on Apr 24 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC161-770-775-180133-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180918T1434Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.180917T1609Z.180917T2030Z.180917T2312Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 08PM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet and falling tonight.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Wiley Drive low water bridge is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC037-083-180903-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0029.180918T0900Z-180919T2040Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.180918T0900Z.180918T1800Z.180919T0840Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from early tomorrow until Wednesday afternoon
* at 07PM Monday the stage was 22.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 25.0 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Apr 26 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
353 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Florence will continue to track northwest across the extreme western
Carolinas this evening before becoming a remnant low over eastern
Kentucky tonight. This system should finally exit through the Ohio
Valley on Monday. Periods of heavy rain and gusty winds will
accompany this system bringing the threat of significant flooding
through Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 345 PM EDT Sunday...

Bands of heavier rainfall slowly evolving north aided by weak
instability across eastern sections with a feed of showers into the
Blue Ridge. Otherwise expecting more stratiform rainfall compliments
of the low level wedge, to gradually increase with embedded heavier
bands developing from south to north this evening. Main concern for
torrential rainfall will come in a window from after sunset southern
half to across northern/eastern sections during the early morning
hours of Monday. Latest Hi-Res models suggest a strong convergence
axis to lift north by midnight, espcly where the flow transitions to
a more south to southeast component beneath the departing wedge.
This likely to spell an axis of heavy rain lifting north with
enhanced amounts of over 5 inches due to topography along the Blue
Ridge despite lack of upslope until the flow turns more southeast.
Increasing helicity along this band likely the biggest threat for
spin up tornadoes with perhaps another burst of higher winds with
this feature. Thus planning to extend the wind advisory out until
midnight with some gusty winds even possible out to the Blue Ridge
pending the depth of this band. Since SREF QPF along with the latest
ECMWF output shows an enhanced band of heavier rain up along the
northern Blue Ridge per easterly flow, will expand the flash flood
watch north into the Va Highlands and southern Shenandoah Valley
where flash flood guidance is a bit lower at this point. Otherwise
categorical pops with lows mainly in the 60s overnight.

Florence remnant lifts by to the northwest on Monday allowing warm
advection to win out as a dry slot emerges across the southwest
during the morning with soundings showing some drying aloft. However
appears will still have bands of heavier rain around in the morning
mainly north and east with perhaps little southwest pending just how
fast the punch of dry air arrives. Main question Monday afternoon
will be with convective coverage as heating promotes better
instability with guidance showing perhaps a band of stronger storms
developing east of the mountains later in the afternoon along a
residual trough axis trailing from part of Florence. Even a few
clusters possible mountains if things dont mix out under drying
aloft and low level mixing. Thus maintaining high pops with more
thunder mention before tapering from the southwest again late. Highs
muggy given tropical moisture around with highs possibly topping 80
east and into the 70s mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 345 PM EDT Sunday...

Tropical remnants lift north of us Monday night, moving into
New England Tuesday. Showers may linger us upper shortwave
energy and remnant 5H trof passes over head. After that...look
for clearing and drying as High pressure build back over the
region Wednesday.

It will remain breezy Tuesday in the wake of the departing storm
system, pressure rises behind the system suggesting speeds of 15
to 25 mph...with gusts up to 30 mph along the ridge
crests...from a northwesterly direction.

Drying Tuesday night and Wednesday will bring clearing skies
with a return to mostly sunny conditions Wednesday. Temperatures
will favor above seasonal values as subtropical ridge of high
pressure re-emerges over the southeastern CONUS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 345 PM EDT Sunday...

Subtropical ridge of high pressure is forecast to build across
the southeastern CONUS for Thursday and Friday favoring above
temperatures for the remainder of the week. Dewpoints will also
remain elevated, so anticipating summer-like conditions. A cold
front will approach from the northwest late in the week
providing an uptick in shower/storm chances for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1255 PM EDT Sunday...

Persistence forecast continues at least this afternoon into
early Monday as expect poor flying conditions as the result of
low cigs and vsbys into the overnight.

Expect rain to become more widspread from south to north into
early this evening and heavy at times, especially south of a
KLWB-KROA-KLYH line. Going to see heavier rain bands move
northward into areas east of KBLF-KLWB by midnight with this
heavy rain shifting northeast late.

Ceilings/vsbys will fluctuate between LIFR to low end MVFR into
Monday morning.

Northeast winds to remain gusty at times this afternoon before
turning more east and southeast with stronger gusts of above 30
kts possible, primarily confined to rain bands overnight.

Rainfall becomes more showery on Monday with lingering bands of
showers and perhaps thunderstorms into Monday afternoon espcly
east of the Blue Ridge. As the flow turns more south to
southwest as Florence moves west of the Appalachians, will see
increasing ceilings, but still not expecting anything better
than high end MVFR until Monday afternoon.

Confidence is high on sub-VFR cigs/vsbys and medium on overall
timing of them. High confidence in winds as well.

Extended Discussion...

Will finally see Florence shift north of us by Monday night
with conditions improving. A weak upper low may bring added
showers for Tuesday with possible periods of sub-VFR Tuesday
afternoon. VFR conditions are then expected for Wednesday
through Friday with high pressure over the area.

Confidence gradually transitions to above average by Monday
night into the middle of next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 400 PM Sunday...

Finally into the long-advertised event with bands of moderate to
heavy rainfall across the CWA since this morning. Amounts over the
past few days have ranged from over 3 inches, with isolated 5 inch
amounts in parts of North Carolina and along the Blue Ridge in
Virginia to very little in the far north. The threat for flash
flooding remains overnight with WPC maintaining High Risk overnight
for exceeding flash flood guidance and a still Moderate risk
tomorrow. WPC QPF has backed off some from the truly alarming
forecast rainfall totals of previous days which will have an impact
on the river forecasts but is still substantial enough in the next
24 hours for the Flash Flood Watch to continue or for the expansion
to the northern border of the CWA which was issued this afternoon.
River flood warnings are out along the Dan, Yadkin and just issued
for the New. With the lowered QPF, considerably lower stages now
forecast on the New River compared to previous guidance. Again
the difficulties of issuing river forecasts based all or mostly
on QPF are illustrated. Could still see some minor flooding on
the Roanoke River but these forecast levels are way down from
the projections yesterday. The biggest questions remain on the
Dan and Yadkin rivers where forecasts for Major flooding were
issued last night and we are awaiting updated guidance from
SERFC. High-res CAM models including the HRRR still showing
heavy banded rainfall lifting northwest into Yadkin, Wilkes,
Surry and Watauga counties this evening and this area will be a
potential prime focus for flash flooding.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for VAZ007-009>020-
     022>024-032>035-043-044-058.
     Wind Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ007-009-010-
     012-013-015>017-032.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     Wind Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ001>003-
     018>020.
WV...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for WVZ042>044-507-
     508.
     Wind Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...AMS/JH/WP
HYDROLOGY...PC

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

VAZ018>020-023-024-034-035-WVZ043-044-507-508-171945-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is an isolated risk for quick spinups of
tornadoes into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

VAZ045>047-059-171945-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Charlotte-
335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heavy rainfall will start to move into the area this evening into the
overnight. Localized flash flooding may occur.

In addition, there is an isolated risk for quick spinups of
tornadoes into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Excessive rainfall from the remnants of Florence will impact the
area Monday. Some spots could see isolated strong thunderstorms that
could produce enough added rainfall for flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

NCZ004>006-VAZ011-014-022-033-043-044-058-171945-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Giles-Montgomery-Roanoke-Franklin-Henry-
Pittsylvania-Halifax-
335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is an isolated risk for quick spinups of
tornadoes into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012-013-015>017-032-WVZ042-171945-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-
Wythe-Pulaski-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Patrick-Mercer-
335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

In addition, there is an isolated risk for quick spinups of
tornadoes into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
131 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE SPARTA            36.51N 81.10W
09/16/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON NAPCO ROAD OFF OF NC HIGHWAY 18 IN
            SPARTA. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
212 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 E ENNICE              36.56N 80.91W
09/16/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON NC HIGHWAY 18 NEAR THE OVERPASS WITH THE
            BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY. REPORTED ON TWITTER.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
222 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 NE BLOWING ROCK       36.19N 81.61W
09/16/2018                   WATAUGA            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATAUGA ROADS TWITTER ACCOUNT REPORTED A TREE WAS DOWNED
            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF DEERFIELD ROAD AND BAMBOO ROAD
            IN BOONE. ROADS WERE TEMPORARILY CLOSED BUT THAT HAS
            SINCE BEEN LIFTED TO NORMAL TRAFFIC.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
259 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 ESE ENNICE            36.54N 80.96W
09/16/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON OLD BARRETT ROAD IN ENNICE.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
332 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     FLOOD            1 NE ROCKY MOUNT        37.01N 79.87W
09/16/2018                   FRANKLIN           VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWDER MILL CREEK HAS FLOODED PART OF SCHOOL BOARD ROAD
            BEHIND A SHEETZ GAS STATION IN ROCKY MOUNT.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
408 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S ENNICE              36.52N 80.99W
09/16/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWNED WHICH TOOK OUT POWER LINES AT GLADE CREEK
            SCHOOL ROAD IN ENNICE.

&&

LOCONTO