Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Blacksburg, VA

456 
WGUS71 KRNK 202310
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
710 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

VAC141-202320-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180521T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Patrick VA-
710 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed any remaining road closures.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3643 8023 3654 8024 3654 8011 3646 8013
      3642 8015

$$

NCC169-210330-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180521T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-
710 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT FOR 
NORTHEASTERN STOKES COUNTY...

At 710 PM EDT, Runoff from earlier heavy rainfall is still expected 
to cause flash flooding across the warned area.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Sandy Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3643 8023 3654 8024 3654 8011 3646 8013
      3642 8015

$$

MBS

488 
WGUS71 KRNK 210200
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1000 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCC169-210201-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180521T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-
1000 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN STOKES COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

Runoff from earlier heavy rainfall is no longer expected to cause 
flooding. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3643 8023 3654 8024 3654 8011 3646 8013
      3642 8015

$$

MBS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
223 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A southerly flow will continue to push warm and humid air into our
region today and tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
develop this afternoon and become more numerous for Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 220 PM EDT Saturday...

Southerly flow continues to bring warm, moist and unstable air into
the region. Diurnally driven thunderstorms will continue to spring
up this afternoon into the evening before shutting down after
sunset. Storms will develop mainly in the mountains but will have a
generally easterly motion which should carry them out to the
lower lying areas. Latest short range guidance suggests that any
lingering storms should begin dissipating around midnight. The
main threat from any of these showers and storms again will be
any heavy downpours or potential training, leading to water
issues with our already very saturated ground. Humid conditions
will likely lead to patchy fog again tonight, which could become
fairly dense in areas that receive rain today.

Conditions on Monday look to be much like Sunday, continuing with
the warm and humid pattern due to tropical ridging still firmly in
place. A front will be approaching the area from the Ohio Valley and
will trigger a more widespread convective event. SPC day 2 outlook
currently has the region outlooked for general thunder with a
marginal risk just to the west. That being said, again the main
threat would be hydrological, but with modest instabilities, can not
rule out that a cell or two could become strong to severe.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM EDT Sunday...

A blocking ridge centered over Bermuda stretches westward to cover
portions of the southeast and Mid Atlantic states Monday night and
Tuesday. This ridge is expected to sink south by Wednesday, losing
its influence on the region. A weak front should move across the
area Tuesday night into Wednesday. Over the Gulf states north into
the Tennessee Valley, a weak upper level trough will continue to
draw Gulf and Atlantic moisture northward into the area Wednesday.
Similar to last week, tropical moisture interacting with a frontal
boundary will bring numerous slow moving showers with heavy
downpours Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Since the ground will
remain wet and creeks, streams and rivers are elevated, there is a
chance for renewed flooding by the middle of the week. Unlike last
week, the threat for heavy rain will only be a day or two rather
than a whole week, as the front is forecast to move into the
Carolinas Wednesday night.

Temperature will continue to run warmer than normal until the front
moves south of the area Wednesday night. Highs Tuesday will range
from the mid to upper 70s across the mountains to the lower 80s
east. Wednesday's temperatures will be a degree or two warmer than
Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Sunday...

Following a frontal passage Wednesday night, high pressure will
wedge south on Thursday. This wedge of high pressure should keep
most of the area dry through Friday night. With a cool easterly
wind, near uniform temperatures are expected Thursday with highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s.

An upper level ridge over the southeast states will expand northward
on Friday. This ridge will bring warmer temperatures into the region
for the weekend. The chance for thunderstorms return to the area on
Saturday as a cold front approaches the region. The better chance
for widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday and
Monday as the front slowly crosses the area.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Sunday...

VFR conditions to start the period as weak high pressure builds
into the region. This afternoon into the evening, diurnally
driven, isolated showers and possibly a rumble of thunder will
be possible, mainly near and along the Blue Ridge but will move
east into the lower elevations. Based on persistence, fog will
be possible again overnight and could be especially dense in
areas that receive rain today. Guidance suggests that while LWB
will not likely see rain, fog will be particularly heavy at
this TAF location. Fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise.
Toward the end of the TAF period, guidance suggests MVFR
ceilings will begin to drift over DAN ahead of convective
activity developing to the south of the region. Winds are
expected to be light and mainly from the south and west during
the forecast period.

Medium confidence in ceilings and visibilities.

.Extended Aviation Discussion...

Another weak cold front will bring increasing coverage of
showers and thunderstorms again on Monday afternoon. Scattered
MVFR showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday night into
Tuesday with another round likely Wednesday. Conditions are
expected to improve later in the week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JR
NEAR TERM...JR
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...AL/RCS
AVIATION...JR/KK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-211830-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-211830-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
347 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ004-005-VAZ032-043-202030-
Stokes-Rockingham-Henry-Patrick-
347 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
NORTHEASTERN STOKES...NORTHWESTERN ROCKINGHAM...SOUTHWESTERN HENRY
AND SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTIES...

Until 430 PM EDT

At 346 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Penns Store,
moving south at 5 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph, very heavy rainfall, and possibly small
hail are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Stoneville...
Sandy Ridge...
Spencer...
Penns Store...
and Prestonville.

Heavy rainfall may cause excessive ponding of water on roads and
flooding of poor drainage areas. Do not drive your vehicle through
flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 3658 8015 3662 8000 3645 7988 3642 8013
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 347DEG 6KT 3656 8007

MBS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
414 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ019-020-202045-
Yadkin-Wilkes-
414 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
EAST CENTRAL WILKES AND NORTHWESTERN YADKIN COUNTIES...

Until 445 PM EDT

At 412 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Pleasant Hill,
moving south at 10 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph, very heavy rain, and small hail are
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Elkin...
Jonesville...
Ronda...
Pleasant Hill...
and Brooks Crossroads.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3612 8097 3629 8102 3628 8087 3624 8087
      3625 8081 3625 8080 3626 8078 3627 8078
      3611 8069
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 346DEG 11KT 3626 8089

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
455 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW ELKIN             36.25N 80.89W
05/20/2018                   WILKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN ON J A RUSSELL DRIVE

&&

PW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
458 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ004-005-202145-
Stokes-Rockingham-
458 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN STOKES AND NORTHWESTERN
ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES...

Until 545 PM EDT

At 457 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Sandy Ridge,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph, very heavy rain, and small hail are
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mayodan...
Madison...
Danbury...
Sandy Ridge...
and Pine Hall.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3653 8030 3654 8027 3654 8002 3637 7985
      3626 8009
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 325DEG 16KT 3652 8016

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
500 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW ELKIN             36.31N 80.88W
05/20/2018                   WILKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF WEST FOREST DRIVE
            AND PLEASANT RIDGE ROAD

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
503 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W ELKIN               36.26N 80.89W
05/20/2018                   WILKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN NEAR THE PLEASANT HILL FIRE DEPARTMENT

&&

PW