Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Blacksburg, VA

443 
WWUS51 KRNK 202337
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
737 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

VAC029-210000-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-180521T0000Z/
Buckingham VA-
737 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...

At 737 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Shipman to near Centenary to near Trenholm,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Buckingham...
Dillwyn...
Wingina...
Gold Hill...
and Centenary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. For your
safety, move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Stay away from windows.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 7841 3763 7881 3764 7872 3767 7872
      3768 7869 3770 7869 3768 7866 3768 7864
      3771 7865 3773 7864 3770 7845 3769 7824
      3768 7824 3764 7825 3748 7836
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 319DEG 17KT 3775 7882 3763 7847 3766 7802 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MBS

760 
WWUS51 KRNK 202357
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
757 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

VAC029-210004-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-180521T0000Z/
Buckingham VA-
757 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL BUCKINGHAM COUNTY 
WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened and moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. 
However, other storms with strong gusty winds, heavy downpours, and 
possibly small hail will continue to affect Buckingham county 
through 9PM.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3749 7841 3763 7881 3764 7872 3767 7872
      3768 7869 3770 7869 3768 7866 3768 7864
      3771 7865 3773 7864 3770 7845 3769 7824
      3768 7824 3764 7825 3748 7836
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 324DEG 13KT 3770 7878 3758 7843 3761 7798 

$$

MBS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
223 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A southerly flow will continue to push warm and humid air into our
region today and tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
develop this afternoon and become more numerous for Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 220 PM EDT Saturday...

Southerly flow continues to bring warm, moist and unstable air into
the region. Diurnally driven thunderstorms will continue to spring
up this afternoon into the evening before shutting down after
sunset. Storms will develop mainly in the mountains but will have a
generally easterly motion which should carry them out to the
lower lying areas. Latest short range guidance suggests that any
lingering storms should begin dissipating around midnight. The
main threat from any of these showers and storms again will be
any heavy downpours or potential training, leading to water
issues with our already very saturated ground. Humid conditions
will likely lead to patchy fog again tonight, which could become
fairly dense in areas that receive rain today.

Conditions on Monday look to be much like Sunday, continuing with
the warm and humid pattern due to tropical ridging still firmly in
place. A front will be approaching the area from the Ohio Valley and
will trigger a more widespread convective event. SPC day 2 outlook
currently has the region outlooked for general thunder with a
marginal risk just to the west. That being said, again the main
threat would be hydrological, but with modest instabilities, can not
rule out that a cell or two could become strong to severe.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM EDT Sunday...

A blocking ridge centered over Bermuda stretches westward to cover
portions of the southeast and Mid Atlantic states Monday night and
Tuesday. This ridge is expected to sink south by Wednesday, losing
its influence on the region. A weak front should move across the
area Tuesday night into Wednesday. Over the Gulf states north into
the Tennessee Valley, a weak upper level trough will continue to
draw Gulf and Atlantic moisture northward into the area Wednesday.
Similar to last week, tropical moisture interacting with a frontal
boundary will bring numerous slow moving showers with heavy
downpours Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Since the ground will
remain wet and creeks, streams and rivers are elevated, there is a
chance for renewed flooding by the middle of the week. Unlike last
week, the threat for heavy rain will only be a day or two rather
than a whole week, as the front is forecast to move into the
Carolinas Wednesday night.

Temperature will continue to run warmer than normal until the front
moves south of the area Wednesday night. Highs Tuesday will range
from the mid to upper 70s across the mountains to the lower 80s
east. Wednesday's temperatures will be a degree or two warmer than
Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Sunday...

Following a frontal passage Wednesday night, high pressure will
wedge south on Thursday. This wedge of high pressure should keep
most of the area dry through Friday night. With a cool easterly
wind, near uniform temperatures are expected Thursday with highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s.

An upper level ridge over the southeast states will expand northward
on Friday. This ridge will bring warmer temperatures into the region
for the weekend. The chance for thunderstorms return to the area on
Saturday as a cold front approaches the region. The better chance
for widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday and
Monday as the front slowly crosses the area.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Sunday...

VFR conditions to start the period as weak high pressure builds
into the region. This afternoon into the evening, diurnally
driven, isolated showers and possibly a rumble of thunder will
be possible, mainly near and along the Blue Ridge but will move
east into the lower elevations. Based on persistence, fog will
be possible again overnight and could be especially dense in
areas that receive rain today. Guidance suggests that while LWB
will not likely see rain, fog will be particularly heavy at
this TAF location. Fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise.
Toward the end of the TAF period, guidance suggests MVFR
ceilings will begin to drift over DAN ahead of convective
activity developing to the south of the region. Winds are
expected to be light and mainly from the south and west during
the forecast period.

Medium confidence in ceilings and visibilities.

.Extended Aviation Discussion...

Another weak cold front will bring increasing coverage of
showers and thunderstorms again on Monday afternoon. Scattered
MVFR showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday night into
Tuesday with another round likely Wednesday. Conditions are
expected to improve later in the week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JR
NEAR TERM...JR
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...AL/RCS
AVIATION...JR/KK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-211830-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-211830-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
218 PM EDT Sun May 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
613 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ004-202230-
Stokes-
613 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN STOKES COUNTY...

Until 630 PM EDT

At 612 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Walnut Cove,
moving south at 15 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 mph to 50 mph are possible with this storm, which
may bring down small tree limbs or topple trees in waterlogged soil.

Locations impacted include...
Walnut Cove...
Pine Hall...
Germanton...
Meadows...
and Dillard.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3626 8028 3627 8028 3638 8029 3640 8007
      3629 8003 3628 8004 3626 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 351DEG 13KT 3632 8017

MBS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
617 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ003-VAZ016-032-202315-
Surry-Patrick-Carroll-
617 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN SURRY...
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL AND SOUTHWESTERN PATRICK COUNTIES...

Until 715 PM EDT

At 615 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cana, moving
south at 5 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible, which may bring down small
tree limbs or topple trees in waterlogged soil. Small hail and very
heavy rain are also possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Airy...
Flat Rock...
Fancy Gap...
Ararat...
and Cana.

Very heavy rainfall and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive
your vehicle through flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 3668 8075 3673 8053 3655 8043 3655 8044
      3648 8044 3642 8071
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 344DEG 5KT 3664 8062

MBS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
635 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

VAZ019-020-023-024-WVZ507-508-202330-
Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Alleghany-Western Greenbrier-Eastern
Greenbrier-
635 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
NORTHERN ALLEGHANY...ROCKBRIDGE...BATH...NORTH CENTRAL BOTETOURT
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...THE CITY OF COVINGTON...THE CITY OF
BUENA VISTA AND THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...

Until 730 PM EDT

At 634 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms extending from
near Summersville to Callison to Burnsville. Movement was southeast
at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lexington...
Buena Vista...
Covington...
Clifton Forge...
and Glasgow.

This includes The following Location VMI.

Heavy rain is also occurring with these storms and may produce
ponding of water on roadways and localized flooding of poor drainage
areas.

LAT...LON 3818 7951 3815 7953 3817 7944 3809 7949
      3792 7919 3786 7915 3780 7918 3781 7923
      3779 7927 3763 7940 3790 8058 3809 8083
      3808 8071 3827 8044 3822 8036 3811 8036
      3805 8026 3806 7996 3818 7992 3827 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 310DEG 24KT 3822 8092 3798 7988 3820 7964

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
638 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW MOUNTAIN PARK     36.36N 80.92W
05/20/2018                   WILKES             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROOF DAMAGE ON SOUTH CENTER CHURCH ROAD

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW MOUNTAIN PARK      36.34N 80.90W
05/20/2018                   WILKES             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

AMS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
638 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

NCZ004-VAZ032-202315-
Stokes-Patrick-
638 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT STOKES AND SOUTH
CENTRAL PATRICK COUNTIES...

Until 715 PM EDT

At 637 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms extending from
near Ararat to near Capella to Walnut Cove. Movement was south at 10
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible, which may bring down small
tree limbs or topple trees in waterlogged soil. Small hail and very
heavy rain are also possible.

Locations impacted include...
Walnut Cove...
Danbury...
Francisco...
King...
and Pine Hall.

Very heavy rainfall and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive
your vehicle through flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 3626 8033 3642 8045 3655 8044 3666 8049
      3667 8049 3667 8046 3632 8006 3626 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 343DEG 10KT 3658 8045 3635 8027 3627 8016

MBS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
645 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

VAZ047-202345-
Buckingham-
645 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN BUCKINGHAM
COUNTY...

Until 745 PM EDT

At 644 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Wintergreen to near Palmyra.
Movement was southeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible, which may bring down small
tree limbs or topple trees in waterlogged soil. Small hail and very
heavy rain are also possible.

Locations impacted include...
Wingina...
New Canton...
Gold Hill...
and Centenary.

Very heavy rainfall and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive
your vehicle through flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 3764 7825 3760 7827 3761 7880 3763 7882
      3764 7880 3764 7872 3767 7872 3768 7869
      3770 7869 3768 7866 3768 7864 3771 7865
      3775 7862 3776 7855 3776 7851 3780 7849
      3776 7847 3775 7844 3769 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 315DEG 14KT 3787 7895 3786 7830

MBS