Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 17, NWS Raleigh, NC

September 16, 2018Chatham County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Sep 16, 2018, 10:31 PM EDT for Chatham County, North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 17, 2018, 12:44 AM EDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 16, 2018, 10:31 PM EDT (02:31 UTC)
In effect from: Sep 17, 2018, 12:44 AM EDT
Expired: Sep 19, 2018, 6:51 AM EDT
In force: 54 hr
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Chatham County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Haw River near Bynum (BYNN7). The gauge peaked at 17.42 ft at Sep 17, 2018, 11:00 PM EDT.

Action stage: 10 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 15 ft
Major stage: 17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02096960, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

275 
WGUS42 KRAH 170231
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1031 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-171431-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0017.180917T0618Z-180919T1320Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.180917T0618Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0120Z.NO/
1031 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Haw River Near Bynum.
* from late tonight to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:01 PM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by after
  midnight tomorrow and continue to rise to near 14.3 feet by 
  tomorrow evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Haw River
 Bynum            11   9.8 Sun 10 PM  13.3   9.6   7.3   6.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

7 follow-up statements

777 
WGUS82 KRAH 170445
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1245 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-171645-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180920T1531Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.180916T2332Z.180918T0600Z.180920T0331Z.NO/
1245 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 12:31 AM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by 
  after midnight Tuesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  14.5 Mon 01 AM  23.1  18.3  11.9   7.8      


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC037-171645-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.180917T0444Z-180919T1320Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0120Z.NO/
1245 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:31 AM Monday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.3 feet by Monday
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday late 
  evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Bynum            11  11.3 Mon 01 AM  13.3   9.6   7.3   6.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

934 
WGUS42 KRAH 171309
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
909 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC001-180108-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180919T0954Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.180917T1037Z.180918T0000Z.180918T2154Z.NO/
909 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Haw River At Haw River.* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Haw River        18  20.5 Mon 09 AM  22.5  13.1   9.0   6.4   4.9

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-180108-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2100Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0900Z.NO/
909 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Haw River Near Bynum.* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Major flood stage. Several homes along the 
  right bank of the river are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Bynum            11  15.7 Mon 09 AM  14.9  10.6   7.8   6.3   5.6

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

140 
WGUS82 KRAH 180131
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-181331-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.180915T1619Z.180918T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  6:00 PM Monday the stage was 36.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.7 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road level of the Bragg 
  Blvd (Hwy 24/87) bridge over the Little River. Local businesses 
  will be flooded.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Bragg Blvd (Hwy
  24/87) bridge across the Little River.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road surface of the 
  Manchester Road bridge.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is 
  flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Little River
 Manchester       18  36.0 Mon 06 PM  32.8  26.2  23.5  21.5      


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC037-105-181331-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180920T1440Z/
/MONN7.2.ER.180916T2218Z.180917T2015Z.180920T0240Z.NR/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Upstream of the gage 
  site, North Plank Road in Lee county and R Jordan Road in Chatham 
  county are closed. At the gage site, there is significant flooding 
  of pasture and woods along the river.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  14.3 Mon 09 PM  10.6   7.6   5.4   3.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-181331-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180921T0243Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.180916T2332Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1443Z.NO/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  20.6 Mon 09 PM  18.9  14.5   9.5   6.5      


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-181331-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180922T2100Z/
/FAYN7.3.ER.180916T0820Z.180919T0600Z.180922T0900Z.NO/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 56.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 61.5 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water begins to bypass the left end of the 
  NC24 bridge for several hundred yards. Two miles downstream, the 
  left bank widens to 1000 feet and to a depth of several feet.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Major flood stage. The right bank widens to 
  several hundred feet and there is serious flooding of downstream 
  structures.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  56.2 Mon 09 PM  60.9  54.9  44.1  33.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC001-181331-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180919T0657Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.180917T1037Z.180918T0600Z.180918T1857Z.NO/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  5:31 PM Monday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The town of Haw River 
  begins flooding.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Trailer homes adjacent to the river and the 
  water treatment plant flood. Evacuations may be necessary.
* Impact...At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the 
  base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Haw River        18  25.4 Mon 06 PM  10.3   6.8   4.8   3.8      


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-181331-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2000Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0600Z.180919T0800Z.NO/
931 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  9:16 PM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Major flood stage. Several homes along the 
  right bank of the river are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Bynum            11  17.6 Mon 09 PM  10.2   7.4   6.0   5.2      


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

806 
WGUS82 KRAH 181032
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
632 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-182232-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.180915T1619Z.180918T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
632 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  6:00 PM Monday the stage was 36.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.7 feet by this
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road level of the Bragg 
  Blvd (Hwy 24/87) bridge over the Little River. Local businesses 
  will be flooded.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Bragg Blvd (Hwy
  24/87) bridge across the Little River.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road surface of the 
  Manchester Road bridge.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is 
  flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
  Manchester  18  36.0 Mon 06 PM    36.7  33.5  26.9  24.2  22.2


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC001-182232-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180919T0657Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.180917T1037Z.180917T2100Z.180918T1857Z.NO/
632 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  5:31 PM Monday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The town of Haw River 
  begins flooding.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Trailer homes adjacent to the river and the 
  water treatment plant flood. Evacuations may be necessary.
* Impact...At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the 
  base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
  Haw River   18  25.4 Mon 06 PM    22.9  10.3   6.8   4.8   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-182232-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2000Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0331Z.180919T0800Z.NO/
632 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  6:16 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Major flood stage. Several homes along the 
  right bank of the river are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
  Bynum       11  16.8 Tue 06 AM    17.2  10.2   7.4   6.0   5.2


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

ELLIS

112 
WGUS82 KRAH 181604
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-190403-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.180915T1619Z.180918T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* The current stage is unknown.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will begin to slowly fall this afternoon and 
  is forecast to be at 36.5 feet this afternoon.   
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road level of the Bragg 
  Blvd (Hwy 24/87) bridge over the Little River. Local businesses 
  will be flooded.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Bragg Blvd (Hwy
  24/87) bridge across the Little River.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road surface of the 
  Manchester Road bridge.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is 
  flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  36.0 Mon 06 PM  34.1  28.0  24.1  22.1  20.2


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC037-105-190403-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180920T0600Z/
/MONN7.2.ER.180916T2218Z.180917T2015Z.180919T1800Z.NR/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will begin to fall late this afternoon and will
  fall below flood stage by late tomorrow.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Upstream of the gage 
  site, North Plank Road in Lee county and R Jordan Road in Chatham 
  county are closed. At the gage site, there is significant flooding 
  of pasture and woods along the river.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  12.5 Tue 11 AM   9.7   6.5   4.4   3.1   2.9


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-190403-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180921T0032Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.180916T2332Z.180918T0746Z.180920T1232Z.NO/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 11:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  20.2 Tue 12 PM  18.3  14.1   9.7   6.5   4.9


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-190403-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180922T2100Z/
/FAYN7.3.ER.180916T0820Z.180919T0600Z.180922T0900Z.NO/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 59.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 61.6 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water begins to bypass the left end of the 
  NC24 bridge for several hundred yards. Two miles downstream, the 
  left bank widens to 1000 feet and to a depth of several feet.
* Impact...At 59.0 feet, The river will reach the bottom of the 
  railroad bridge just downstream of the Person Street bridge. Debris
  will get stuck against the railroad bridge.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Major flood stage. The right bank widens to 
  several hundred feet and there is serious flooding of downstream 
  structures.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  59.9 Tue 11 AM  61.0  54.9  44.1  33.9  25.4


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC001-190403-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180919T0744Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.180917T1037Z.180917T2100Z.180918T1944Z.NO/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* The current stage is unknown.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The town of Haw River 
  begins flooding.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Trailer homes adjacent to the river and the 
  water treatment plant flood. Evacuations may be necessary.
* Impact...At 25.5 feet, The water treatment plant building floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the 
  base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
 Haw River        18  25.4 Mon 06 PM  10.7   7.2   5.3   4.2   3.6


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-190403-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2043Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0331Z.180919T0843Z.NO/
1204 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At 11:31 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Major flood stage. Several homes along the 
  right bank of the river are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
 Bynum            11  15.8 Tue 12 PM  10.4   7.5   6.2   5.4   4.9


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

389 
WGUS82 KRAH 190219
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1019 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-191419-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2034Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0331Z.180919T0834Z.NO/
1019 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  9:46 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Wednesday.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
  Bynum       11  13.0 Tue 10 PM    10.2   7.4   6.0   5.2   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

266 
WGUS82 KRAH 191051
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
651 AM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-191121-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180919T2034Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.180917T0402Z.180918T0331Z.180919T0601Z.NO/
651 AM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  6:31 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  2:01 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.4 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Haw River
  Bynum       11   9.4 Wed 07 AM     9.6   7.4   6.0   5.2   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

Ellis

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 16, 10:02 PM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 10:02 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1002 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
The center of Tropical Depression Florence will move northward
through the Mountains of North Carolina into NE Tennessee tonight, then
turn through Lower Ohio Valley and northern Mid-Atlantic States
Monday and Tuesday. Attendant trailing surface trough move cross
the region on Tuesday. Much drier and warm weather will arrive as
high pressure builds over North Carolina mid to late week into the
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1002 PM Sunday...

Flash Flood Watch through 800 AM Monday morning...

Flash Flood Watch also extended from this evening to Monday morning
for the Triangle Area, given latest radar and satellite trends.

Tornado Watch through 1100 PM remains unchanged...

T.D. Florence had pushed north into the southern Foothills of NC as of
mid-evening, moving at 14 mph. The bands of showers with training of
very heavy rain continued to be problematic producing flooding. The
main band at mid-evening extended from near Myrtle Beach NW to
Laurinburg and Fayetteville, and on to the NW into the Triad region.
Hourly rates in the heaviest training cells continued to be nearly 2
inches per hour. The CAMS indicate that as the T.D. center continues
northward, the rain bands will shift slowly east with time (keeping the
heavy rain and flash flooding going) in the current Warning/Watch area.
Additional bands may form in behind the current primary rain band,
continuing the heavy rain threat through daybreak.

The isolated tornado threat in the southeast appears to be lessoning as
the instability has lowered However, we will have a all with SPC
in the next hour, and may have to reissue another Tornado Watch as
if the storms continue to exhibit rotation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 335 PM Sunday...

The coverage and intensity of rainfall over central NC will decrease
Monday morning as the remnants of Florence lift north and away into
the lower Ohio Valley. We will still have the potential for very
heavy rain through the morning as a surface trough moves east
through the region. Showers are expected to become scattered during
the afternoon, with locally heavy rain still expected (more
localized).

Moisture will remain fairly deep over central NC, primarily over
central and E sections where PW will be near 2", lower than recent
values but above the climatological normal. We should see scattered
showers and a few storms Monday afternoon into the evening, with the
best coverage over the NW and north central sections where weak DPVA
is anticipated.

Models depict a surface front and mid level trough shifting east
through the area Tuesday afternoon, when we'll likely see a band of
scattered thunderstorms moving NW to SE (40-50 POP).

POPS will become NIL (finally) after midnight Tuesday as the cold
front moves to the coast.

Highs general in the 80-86 range Monday, then mid to upper 80s
Tuesday. Lows in the lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 305 PM Sunday...

Much drier weather is expected Wednesday through Saturday. The next
chance of afternoon thunderstorms has been delayed until Sunday
(mainly in the NW zones). So, a much needed period to dry and clean
up.

High pressure will be over the region Wednesday into Friday and
Saturday, then shift offshore Saturday night. Mostly clear/mostly
sunny weather is expected. By Sunday, a cold front is expected to
approach from the north bringing a chance of showers and
thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Lows in the 60s
will be common through Saturday, with 65-70 Sunday. Highs generally
in the 80s (82-88).

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 815 PM Sunday...

24 Hour TAF period: Bands of heavy rain showers associated with
Tropical Depression Florence will gradually pivot back east across
central NC overnight. This will shift the heaviest rain and impacts to
KFAY and KINT/KGSO/KRDU through the night. Expect VSBY IFR to MVFR
restrictions in these heavy rain showers. CIGS are expected to
lower to LIFR to IFR overnight, with a continued good chance of
showers at all sites.

As Florence lifts off to the north, drier air aloft will advect into
the area on Monday. This drier aloft, along with daytime heating
should allow eastern and central TAF sites(KRWI, KFAY, and KRDU) to
improve to VFR conditions during the mid to late morning hours. At KINT
and KGSO, ceilings could remain MVFR until late Monday afternoon.
Tempered daytime heating within the continued moist and muggy
airmass will support the re-development of of scattered showers,
along with thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening.

Long Term: Beyond 00z/Tuesday...

A continued moist low-level airmass will favor areas of stratus
and/or fog Monday night/Tuesday morning. A cold front moving
through the area Tuesday afternoon will bring another chance
of showers and storms. Dry VFR conditions will finally return on
Wednesday and will remain predominately VFR through the end of the
week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch extended through Monday morning for NCZ024-025-041-
042-078-089.

Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for NCZ021>023-038>040-
073>077-083>086-088.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Badgett/CBL
NEAR TERM...Badgett
SHORT TERM...CBL/Badgett
LONG TERM...Badgett
AVIATION...Badgett

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 5:16 PM EDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

NCZ021>023-038>040-073-172130-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Rivers, creeks, and streams will continue to rise, even after the
heavy rainfall ends, resulting in life threatening inland flooding,
persisting through mid week. Be especially cautious at night when it
is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Turn around don't
drown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ074>077-083>086-088-172130-
Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 380 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Rivers will continue to rise, even after the heavy rainfall ends,
resulting in life threatening inland flooding, especially along
rivers, creeks, and streams, persisting through the end of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007>011-026>028-043-172130-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ024-025-041-042-078-172130-
Orange-Durham-Wake-Johnston-Wayne-
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Rivers will continue to rise, even after the heavy rainfall ends,
resulting in life threatening inland flooding, persisting through
the end of the week. Be especially cautious at night when it is
harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Turn around don't drown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ089-172130-
Sampson-
516 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 380 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Rivers, creeks, and streams will continue to rise, even after the
heavy rainfall ends, resulting in life threatening inland flooding,
persisting through the end of the week. Be especially cautious at
night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Turn
around don't drown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 8:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
832 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ073-074-083-084-170115-
Stanly NC-Richmond NC-Anson NC-Montgomery NC-
832 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ANSON...
RICHMOND...MONTGOMERY AND EASTERN STANLY COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

At 827 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles south of Troy to
near Rockingham to Bennettsville. Movement was north at 45 mph.

Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with these storm.

Heavy rain and flooding will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Rockingham, Troy, Badin Lake, Hamlet, Biscoe, Norwood,
Badin, Mount Gilead and Ellerbe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina. A tornado watch also remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT
for central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3548 8025 3549 7978 3487 7960 3485 7963
      3485 7962 3481 7966 3481 7968 3480 7969
      3481 7993 3497 7997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 178DEG 40KT 3526 7991 3499 7971 3460 7969

77

Local storm report, Sep 16, 8:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
835 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FLOOD            5 WNW SMITHFIELD        35.54N 78.43W
09/16/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   PUBLIC

            CRANTOCK ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY 210 IN JOHNSTON
            COUNTY IS FLOODED (BOTH LANES) BY MIDDLE
            CREEK.

&&

GIH

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 9:12 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
912 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ021>023-038>040-170200-
Guilford NC-Chatham NC-Alamance NC-Forsyth NC-Randolph NC-
Davidson NC-
912 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE TRIAD REGION
INCLUDING ALAMANCE...FORSYTH...DAVIDSON...RANDOLPH...GUILFORD AND
WESTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...

At 906 PM EDT, Doppler radar showed an area of heavy rain and strong
gusty winds over the Triad region, moving northwest at 50 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these showers, along with
continued very heavy rain rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour.

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Winston-Salem, High Point, Burlington, Asheboro,
Lexington, Graham, Randleman, Siler City and North Carolina Zoo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may lead to flooding. Do not drive your vehicle
through flooded roadways. Watch out for fallen trees and tree limbs.
Both flood waters and fallen trees can be difficult to see in the
dark.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8050 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7928
      3557 7922 3552 8018 3558 8021 3568 8033
      3572 8033 3574 8046 3583 8048 3584 8039
      3586 8039 3588 8042 3589 8037 3596 8038
      3606 8046 3604 8049 3608 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 143DEG 51KT 3590 8008

GIH

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 9:51 PM EDT, 40 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
951 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ007-008-024-025-040-041-170215-
Chatham NC-Durham NC-Wake NC-Person NC-Granville NC-Orange NC-
951 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN PERSON...EASTERN
ORANGE...WEST CENTRAL GRANVILLE...WEST CENTRAL WAKE...NORTHEASTERN
CHATHAM AND DURHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

At 951 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 7 miles
southwest of Cary, moving north at 30 mph.

Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Chapel Hill, Roxboro, Butner, Rougemont, Apex,
Holly Springs and Morrisville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3643 7876 3565 7879 3564 7901 3642 7910
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 162DEG 26KT 3573 7891

77

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 10:07 PM EDT, 24 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1007 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ077-088-170245-
Harnett NC-Cumberland NC-
1007 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HARNETT AND CENTRAL
CUMBERLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM EDT...

At 1007 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 8
miles northwest of Jerome, or 9 miles southeast of Fayetteville,
moving north at 30 mph.

Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Fort Bragg, Pope AFB, Hope Mills, Spring Lake,
Eastover, Stedman, Wade, Vander and Cedar Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina. A tornado watch also remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT
for central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3490 7867 3485 7888 3529 7911 3538 7879
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 162DEG 25KT 3496 7881

77

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 10:27 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1027 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ022>024-170345-
Guilford NC-Alamance NC-Orange NC-
1027 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT
ALAMANCE...SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND NORTHEASTERN GUILFORD COUNTIES
UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

At 1024 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy shower with
rotation near Carrboro, or near Chapel Hill, moving northwest at 35
mph. This shower will be closely monitored for signs of
strengthening.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this shower. A line of
showers extending northwestward through Alamance and Guilford
counties may also produce strong wind gusts as they move to the
northwest. Weakened trees and tree branches may be knocked down with
these winds.

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Carrboro,
Mebane, McLeansville, Elon College and Summerfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring, and may lead to additional
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
portions of central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3624 7957 3625 7949 3624 7919 3600 7900
      3587 7914 3625 8003 3626 8002
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 143DEG 30KT 3597 7911

GIH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 16, 8:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Randolph	39 min
Sep 16, 8:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery, Richmond	43 min
Sep 16, 9:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph	48 min
Sep 16, 9:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham, Person	24 min
Sep 16, 10:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	38 min
Sep 16, 10:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Alamance, Orange	78 min
Sep 16, 11:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Sampson	66 min
Sep 17, 12:10 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	35 min
Sep 17, 12:50 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Sampson, Wayne	14 min
Sep 17, 2:12 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Johnston, Nash, Wayne, Wilson	8 hr
Sep 17, 3:21 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Durham, Granville, Wake	3 hr
Sep 17, 3:50 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Wilson	3 hr
Sep 17, 3:53 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Wayne	25 min
Sep 17, 4:46 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RAH	Alamance	47 hr
Sep 17, 5:13 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Wake	9 hr
Sep 17, 5:19 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wayne	26 min
Sep 17, 5:45 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham	45 min
Sep 17, 5:56 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Wayne	34 min
Sep 17, 6:43 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Warren, Wilson	3 hr
Sep 17, 6:44 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Granville, Person	3 hr
Sep 17, 6:58 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Nash, Wilson	32 min
Sep 17, 7:03 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Orange, Person, Vance	3 hr
Sep 17, 7:23 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	37 min
Sep 17, 7:32 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Orange	17 min
Sep 17, 7:40 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Halifax, Nash	24 min
Sep 17, 7:52 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham	23 min
Sep 17, 7:54 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham	36 min
Sep 17, 7:59 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	31 min
Sep 17, 8:08 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Granville	22 min
Sep 17, 8:15 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville	30 min
Sep 17, 8:25 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Halifax	50 min
Sep 17, 8:33 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Orange	27 min
Sep 17, 8:44 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Granville	61 min
Sep 17, 9:38 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RAH	Davidson, Davie	61 hr
Sep 17, 9:40 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Anson, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery and 5 more	8 hr
Sep 17, 9:43 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Vance	32 min
Sep 17, 9:45 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Person	45 min
Sep 17, 9:48 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Granville, Person, Vance	4 hr
Sep 17, 10:40 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Granville	35 min
Sep 17, 11:53 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Harnett and 3 more	6 hr
Sep 17, 1:57 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Person	4 hr
Sep 17, 2:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Alamance, Orange	56 min
Sep 17, 3:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Person	50 min
Sep 17, 3:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Richmond	48 min
Sep 17, 3:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Orange	35 min
Sep 17, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Orange, Person, Vance	79 min
Sep 17, 4:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Hoke, Richmond, Scotland	74 min
Sep 17, 4:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	66 min
Sep 17, 5:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	51 min
Sep 17, 5:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland	61 min
Sep 17, 5:45 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 18 more	3 hr
Sep 17, 5:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Vance	16 min
Sep 17, 6:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett, Hoke, Scotland	42 min
Sep 17, 6:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland	69 min
Sep 17, 7:08 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland	2 hr
Sep 17, 7:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson	48 min
Sep 17, 7:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Hoke	55 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018 Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.