Flash Flood Warning 63, NWS Raleigh, NC

622 
WGUS52 KRAH 171200
FFWRAH
NCC063-077-183-171515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180917T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
800 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Granville County in central North Carolina...
  Northwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
  Durham County in central North Carolina...

* Until 1115 AM EDT
  
* At 759 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a thunderstorm producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have
  already fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Creedmoor, Butner, Rdu International,
  Rougemont, Morrisville, Stem and Lake Michie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 7859 3595 7864 3576 7878 3585 7891
      3587 7891 3587 7901 3624 7895 3624 7869

$$

HAINES

954 
WGUS52 KRAH 171436
FFWRAH
NCC063-077-183-171615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180917T1615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1036 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Granville County in central North Carolina...
  Northwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
  Durham County in central North Carolina...

* Until 1215 PM EDT

* At 1035 AM EDT, emergency management officials reported flash 
  flooding due to heavy rain across the warned area. 

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Creedmoor, Butner, Rdu International,
  Rougemont, Morrisville, Stem and Lake Michie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 7859 3595 7864 3576 7878 3585 7891
      3587 7891 3587 7901 3624 7895 3624 7869

$$

10

121 
WGUS52 KRAH 171549
FFWRAH
NCC063-077-183-171815-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180917T1815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1149 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Granville County in central North Carolina...
  Northwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
  Durham County in central North Carolina...

* Until 215 PM EDT

* At 1148 AM EDT, emergency management officials reported flash 
  flooding due to heavy rain across the warned area. Additional 
  intermittent heavy rain is expected into the afternoon.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Creedmoor, Butner, Rdu International,
  Rougemont, Morrisville, Stem and Lake Michie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying 
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes 
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood 
prone area, move to higher ground. Turn around, don't drown when 
encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. 
Stay away or be swept away. 

&&

LAT...LON 3623 7859 3595 7864 3576 7878 3585 7891
      3587 7891 3587 7901 3624 7895 3624 7869

$$

10

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
505 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
The center of Tropical Depression Florence will move northeast
across Pennsylvania today and off the Northeast and Mid Atlantic
coast tonight through Tuesday. A trailing surface front will extend
down through the Appalachians through this evening, before pushing
eastward across the Carolinas tonight through Tuesday night. Drier
air and warm weather will follow for Wednesday into Friday as high
pressure builds over the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 505 AM Monday...

Low level mass convergence and intense moisture transport persists
over the E CWA, while a band of convection extends through north-
central and southwest sections, generating a narrow band of an
additional 1-4" of torrential rainfall over areas that certainly
don't need any more rain. As the center of Florence tracks from NE
KY up through far S OH into PA today, a band of DPVA extending to
its ESE will track northward, exiting NC this morning and finally
bringing an end to the widespread heavy tropical rainfall over
central NC. Will leave the flash flood watch in place until its
scheduled expiration time at 8 am, although it's likely that some
areas will still be under the gun with heavy rain for another hour
or two past that time. A significant dry slot noted on GOES water
vapor imagery channels will punch in from the WSW this morning and
shunt the highest PW to the E, as mid level winds veer around to
SSW. But low level flow will continue out of the SSE with steady
moisture transport, so will maintain high chance pops, especially N,
through the day. Models depict high MUCAPE peaking at 2000-3000 J/kg
this afternoon (although this may be muted by subtle late-day
warming 700-600 mb), along with 25-30 kts of deep layer shear, and a
few strong to severe storms are not out of the question today, with
the greatest risk over the west half of the CWA, where the HREF
depicts a resurgence of decent updraft helicity maxima this
afternoon. Expect mostly cloudy skies today, more clouds north than
south, with highs in the low 80s N to mid 80s S. Scattered
convection is expected to spread east into the E CWA this
evening/tonight, and will retain chance pops in the east through the
night ahead of the front. Lows from around 70 to the mid 70s. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 335 PM Sunday...

The coverage and intensity of rainfall over central NC will decrease
Monday morning as the remnants of Florence lift north and away into
the lower Ohio Valley. We will still have the potential for very
heavy rain through the morning as a surface trough moves east
through the region. Showers are expected to become scattered during
the afternoon, with locally heavy rain still expected (more
localized).

Moisture will remain fairly deep over central NC, primarily over
central and E sections where PW will be near 2", lower than recent
values but above the climatological normal. We should see scattered
showers and a few storms Monday afternoon into the evening, with the
best coverage over the NW and north central sections where weak DPVA
is anticipated.

Models depict a surface front and mid level trough shifting east
through the area Tuesday afternoon, when we'll likely see a band of
scattered thunderstorms moving NW to SE (40-50 POP).

POPS will become NIL (finally) after midnight Tuesday as the cold
front moves to the coast.

Highs general in the 80-86 range Monday, then mid to upper 80s
Tuesday. Lows in the lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 100 AM Monday...

Much drier weather is expected Wednesday through Saturday. The next
chance of afternoon thunderstorms has been delayed until Sunday
(mainly in the NW-N zones). So, a much needed period to dry and
clean up. High pressure will be over the region Wednesday into
Friday and Saturday, then shift offshore Saturday night. Mostly
clear/mostly sunny weather is expected. By Sunday, a cold front is
expected to approach from the north bringing a chance of showers and
thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Lows in the 60s will be
common through Saturday, with 65-70 Sunday. Highs generally in the
80s (82-88).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 220 AM Monday...

24 Hour TAF period: Mainly MVFR and IFR conditions in place across
the forecast area this evening as the trailing rainbands of Tropical
Depression Florence continue to rotate through the area. At this
time, the Triad terminals and KFAY are in a bit of a lull as far as
convection is concerned but KRDU and KRWI could have several hours
of continuous rain this morning. Periodic rain could remain through
the day today but should taper off in intensity and coverage. VFR
conditions will return from south to north later this afternoon with
even the Triad sites scattering out to VFR by 21Z. Fog and low
stratus will continue to be an issue during the early morning hours
on Tuesday morning with concentration of lowest ceilings at the
Triad terminals where very low ceilings could be experienced. Mainly
MVFR conditions overnight Monday night into Tuesday morning at all
other TAF sites.

Long Term: Adverse conditions may come and go over the next several
days as Tropical Depression Florence continues to move north and
then returns through the area in the form of a cold front on
Tuesday. Wednesday should see a return to VFR conditions over the
entire forecast area and should remain in place through the end of
the week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT this morning for NCZ021>025-038>042-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield
SHORT TERM...CBL/Badgett
LONG TERM...Badgett
AVIATION...Ellis

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1103 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

NCZ021>025-038>042-073>078-083>086-171100-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-
Wake-Johnston-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
1103 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Rivers, creeks, and streams will continue to rise, even after the
heavy rainfall ends, resulting in life threatening inland flooding,
persisting through mid week. Be especially cautious at night when it
is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Turn around, don't
drown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through daybreak.

NCZ007>011-026>028-043-171100-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-
1103 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ088-089-171100-
Cumberland-Sampson-
1103 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 381 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Rivers will continue to rise, even after the heavy rainfall ends,
resulting in life threatening inland flooding, especially along
rivers, creeks, and streams, persisting through the end of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through daybreak.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
138 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WADESBORO               34.97N 80.07W
09/17/2018                   ANSON              NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUES UNDERWAY INCLUDING A SUBMERGED
            CAR WITH NATIONAL GUARD ASSETS, ALONG WITH
            FIRE AND RESCUE ASSISTING.

&&

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
141 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 ESE BADIN             35.37N 80.03W
09/17/2018                   MONTGOMERY         NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DOT HAS CLOSED TWO ROADS IN MONTGOMERY
            COUNTY DUE TO WASHING OUT OF CULVERTS. RIVER
            ROAD AND MULLINIX ROAD.

&&

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
156 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW GREENSBORO        36.05N 79.84W
09/17/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ACROSS THE CITY OF
            GREENSBORO. MULTIPLE PEOPLE RESCUED FROM
            FLOODED VEHICLES. PORTIONS OF THE PINECROFT
            APARTMENTS ARE BEING EVACUATED.

&&

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
258 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE PILOT             35.85N 78.26W
09/17/2018                   FRANKLIN           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE FELL DOWN ON POWER LINES ON HAGWOOD RD
            BETWEEN HWY 39 AND STALLINGS RD.

&&

BAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
330 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 S FAYETTEVILLE        35.04N 78.91W
09/17/2018  M16.69 INCH      CUMBERLAND         NC   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTS 16.69 INCHES OF
            RAIN FOR THE EVENT WITH 2.46 INCHES IN THE
            PAST 12 HOURS.

&&

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
359 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ASHEBORO                35.72N 79.81W
09/17/2018                   RANDOLPH           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BETWEEN 9PM AND 1AM, RANDOLPH COUNTY EM TOOK
            AROUND 100 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND FLOODED
            ROADS. THREE WATER RESCUES FROM VEHICLES
            TOOK PLACE AND SEVERAL CITIZEN WERE ASSISTED
            FROM FLOODED HOMES. FLASH FLOOD WATERS ARE
            NOW BEGINNING TO RECEDE LEAVING SOME WASHED
            OUT ROADS.

&&

BLAES