Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Raleigh, NC

947 
WGUS72 KRAH 150154
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
954 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

NCC101-191-150201-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180915T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne NC-Johnston NC-
954 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WAYNE AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM EDT...

The Flash Flood Emergency for Johnston County will be allowed to 
expire. Flash flooding is still ongoing though and Flash Flood 
Warning 44 is still in effect! There is also a Flash Flood Emergency 
still in effect for southern Wayne county. Please move to higher 
ground immediately!

LAT...LON 3534 7782 3525 7783 3526 7828 3529 7831
      3526 7839 3526 7849 3538 7856 3547 7844
      3555 7830 3561 7814 3559 7806 3560 7805
      3559 7800 3558 7782 3543 7783 3540 7780
      3538 7780

$$

HAINES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
230 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Florence will move very slowly west to southwest near the
coast of southern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina
through tonight. A slow motion to the west over northern South
Carolina will follow Saturday with a turn northward into the
Appalachians Sunday. Conditions will finally improve early next week
as the remnants of Florence finally move away.

&&

.NEAR TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 135 PM Friday...

Currect forecast through Saturday looks on track.

Hurricane Florence will move extremely slowly towards the southwest
staying very close to the NC coastline this afternoon. By Saturday
morning Hurricane Florence is forecast to still be near the
coastline over northeastern South Carolina. Latest guidance continue
to advertise a swath of 10" to 20" across central North Carolina
(isolated higher amounts possible). These types of rainfall
unfortunately make sense given the strong low level moisture
transport convergence on the back side of the storm.

This means that a prolonged period of torrential rainfall can be
expected across most of central North Carolina. Flash flooding of
creeks, rivers, streams, and nearby roadways, and washouts of area
bridges are likely. This will likely result in catastrophic and life
threatening flash flooding and extensive prolonged river flooding
across the lower Neuse, Black, and Cape Fear river basins.

The coastal plain and Sandhills will remain in a favorable area for
isolated tornadoes for the rest of the afternoon into this evening.
As Florence moves further westward on Saturday, a favorable
environment for isolated tornadoes will expand westward into the
southern Piedmont.

&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 PM Friday...

The remnant circulation of Florence will move slowly westward
Saturday night and then begin to lift north into the Appalachians on
Sunday. As the surface low slips west, a persistent southerly,
convergent flow will produce an arc of widespread moderate to heavy
rain across the state. The greatest rain coverage will be across the
southern Piedmont and Sandhills.

Rainfall amounts during the period will average between 2 and 5
inches with lesser amounts across the far northeast Piedmont and
northern Coastal Plain. This additional rain is likely to exasperate
anticipated flooding issues across the southern tier including the
Neuse, Cape Fear, Black and Yadkin river basins where river flooding
may become extreme.

Windy conditions with winds of 15 to 25 MPH with gusts near 40 MPH
on Saturday evening will gradually abate as the remnant low weakens
and pushes away. Given the wet soil, additional issues with falling
trees are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 230 PM Friday...

The remnant circulation of Florence is expected to lift northeast
through the lower Ohio Valley and northeastern United States Monday
and Tuesday. This will mean the trailing rain bands and associated
weather hazards will come to an end by Sunday night or Monday
for the region.

The trailing surface trough will keep a lingering chance of
mainly diurnal showers and storms into Tuesday afternoon and
possibly Wednesday afternoon. Very warm and humid conditions will
also linger through the rest of the week. Lows in the lower to mid
70s (well above normal) with highs in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 135 PM Friday...

Mainly MVFR ceilings will prevail through the TAF period, amidst
tropically-moist, nely low level flow between high pressure over the
Northeast and Hurricane Florence. A shield of heavy, tropical
precipitation with reduced visibilities, and stronger and more
numerous outer bands of showers and storms, will pivot westward
across cntl NC through this evening, including into the GSO and INT
vicinity between 00Z-06Z.

Outlook: Florence will eventually arc across SC Saturday and
Saturday night, then lift nwd and newd through the Appalachians
through early next week. Breezy to windy conditions, periods of
continued tropical downpours, storms, and isolated tornadoes --and
sub-VFR conditions-- will result, with improving conditions for
Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Hurricane Warning for NCZ078-089.
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday evening for NCZ021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ026>028-040>043-075>077-084>086-
088.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Franklin
NEAR TERM...Haines/Franklin
SHORT TERM...Blaes/Franklin
LONG TERM...Badgett/Franklin
AVIATION...MWS/Franklin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
507 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

NCZ021>025-038-039-073-074-083-152115-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-
Montgomery-Anson-
507 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007>011-152115-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-
507 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Tropical storm Florence will continue to push west over far southern
NC this evening. Wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph will be strong enough
to knock down a few tree limbs.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Prolonged rain and wind Friday and Friday night will result in a few
downed trees, leading to sporadic power outages and isolated flash
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ026-040-041-075>077-084>086-152115-
Franklin-Chatham-Wake-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
507 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ027-028-042-043-078-088-089-152115-
Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-Cumberland-Sampson-
507 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 374 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
537 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TROPICAL STORM   5 S PINE LEVEL          35.44N 78.24W
09/14/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STEVENS CHAPEL ROAD WASHED OUT NEAR
            PRINCETON.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
608 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TROPICAL STORM   2 NW SMITHFIELD         35.52N 78.37W
09/14/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND SOME POWER LINES
            DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY, 28,580 CUSTOMERS
            WITHOUT POWER.

&&

TC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
609 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     TROPICAL STORM   2 SSE RALEIGH           35.79N 78.65W
09/14/2018                   WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND SOME POWER LINES
            DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY, 67,249 CUSTOMERS
            WITHOUT POWER.

&&

TC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
622 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 NE MIDDLEBURG         36.41N 78.30W
09/14/2018                   WARREN             NC   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

JJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
627 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GOLDSBORO               35.37N 77.97W
09/14/2018                   WAYNE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER RESCUE UNDERWAY IN GOLDSBORO.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
627 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

NCZ007-142245-
Person NC-
627 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL PERSON COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM EDT...

At 627 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower over
Roxboro, moving west at 35 mph.

Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.

Locations impacted include...
Roxboro, Hyco Marina and Hyco Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower. If the
shower intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

&&

LAT...LON 3645 7895 3636 7894 3635 7915 3648 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 083DEG 30KT 3641 7901

77