Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Raleigh, NC

515 
WGUS52 KRAH 142303
FFWRAH
NCC065-127-150515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-180915T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
703 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Nash County in central North Carolina...
  Edgecombe County in central North Carolina...

* Until 115 AM EDT Saturday

* At 701 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain associated with 
  Tropical Storm Florence rotating through Nash and Edgecombe 
  Counties. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen and 
  additional bands will persist through this evening and into 
  tonight. The heavy rain combined with the rain that has already 
  fallen, will result in flash flooding of area streams and creeks. 

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Rocky Mount, Tarboro, Nashville, Dortches, Bailey, Red Oak,
  Princeville, Sharpsburg, Pinetops and Spring Hope.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is 
harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Do not enter or cross 
flowing water or water of unknown depth. 

&&

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3580 7747 3568 7766 3573 7772
      3583 7775 3587 7783 3584 7785 3584 7790
      3573 7819 3577 7825 3584 7824 3620 7801
      3618 7798 3619 7792 3614 7789 3615 7768
      3610 7754 3604 7753 3601 7741 3590 7734

$$

10

912 
WGUS72 KRAH 150345
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1145 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

NCC065-127-150355-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-180915T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Nash NC-Edgecombe NC-
1145 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NASH AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

The heaviest rain has ended with no flooding being reported at this 
time. Please report any flooding to the National Weather Service. 

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3580 7747 3568 7766 3573 7772
      3583 7775 3587 7783 3584 7785 3584 7790
      3573 7819 3577 7825 3584 7824 3620 7801
      3618 7798 3619 7792 3614 7789 3615 7768
      3610 7754 3604 7753 3601 7741 3590 7734

$$

HAINES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
940 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Florence will move very slowly west to southwest near the
coast of southern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina
through tonight. A slow motion to the west over northern South
Carolina will follow Saturday and Sunday. Conditions will finally
improve early next week as the remnants of Florence finally move
away.

&&

.NEAR TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 940 AM Friday...

Currect forecast through Saturday looks on track.

Hurricane Florence will move extremely slowly towards the southwest
staying very close to the NC coastline today. By Saturday morning
Hurricane Florence is forecast to still be near the coastline over
northeastern South Carolina. Latest runs of the GFS and ECMWF
continue to advertise a swath of 10" to 20" across central North
Carolina (isolated higher amounts possible) with the NSSL WRF, and
HRRR also on board. These types of rainfall unfortunately make sense
given the strong low level moisture transport convergence on the
back side of the storm. Given the above have continued the Flash
Flood Watch into Monday evening. Saturday afternoon into evening
Hurricane Florence will then begin to pull more west and then
northwest and head towards Asheville, NC.

This means that a prolonged period of torrential rainfall can be
expected across most of central North Carolina. Flash flooding of
creeks, rivers, streams, and nearby roadways, and washouts of area
bridges are likely. This will likely result in catastrophic and life
threatening flash flooding and extensive prolonged river flooding
across the lower Neuse, Black, and Cape Fear river basins.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 425 AM Friday...

Saturday night through Sunday night... The remnant circulation of
Florence which should be centered over northern South Carolina on
Saturday evening will move slowly west on Sunday and then begin to
lift north into the Appalachians. As the surface low slips west, a
persistent southerly, convergent flow will produce an arc of
widespread moderate to heavy rain across the state. The greatest
rain coverage will be across the southern Piedmont and Sandhills
where we will maintain 90 PoPs with PoPs in the likely range to the
northeast.

Rainfall amounts during the period will average between 2 and 5
inches with lesser amounts across the far northeast Piedmont and
northern Coastal Plain. This additional rain is likely to exasperate
anticipated flooding issues across the southern tier including the
Neuse, Cape Fear, Black and Yadkin river basins where river flooding
may become extreme.

Windy conditions with winds of 15 to 25 MPH with gusts near 40 MPH
on Saturday evening will gradually abate as the remnant low weakens
and pushes away. Given the wet soil, additional issues with falling
trees are expected.

With lots of clouds and widespread rain, little diurnal temperature
change is expected. Morning lows will range around 70 with afternoon
highs in the mid to upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1245 AM Friday...

The remnant circulation of Florence is expected to lift northeast
through the lower Ohio Valley and northeastern United States Monday
and Tuesday. This will mean the trailing rain bands and associated
weather hazards will come to an end by Sunday night or Monday
for the region.

The trailing surface trough will keep a lingering chance of
mainly diurnal showers and storms into Tuesday afternoon
and possibly Wednesday afternoon. Hot and humid conditions will
also linger through midweek. Lows in the lower to mid 70s
(well above normal) will continue into Wednesday, with highs
in the 80s.

Finally, a pattern change with a true cold frontal passage is
expected late Wednesday. A breath of fresh air courtesy of a
Canadian high pressure will arrive by Thursday and Friday. Lows by
Friday may finally dip into the 50s across the northern Piedmont,
with highs only 80-85.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 940 AM Friday...

Mainly MVFR ceilings will prevail through the TAF period, amidst
tropically-moist, nely low level flow between high pressure over the
Northeast and Hurricane Florence, the latter of which recently made
landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC. The slow wswwd drift of the
hurricane will also cause already strong NNELY surface winds to
strengthen further across cntl NC today - strongest at FAY, in
closest proximity to the center of Florence. While outer bands of
showers will pivot swwd and affect RWI, FAY, and RDU this morning, a
shield of heavy, tropical precipitation with reduced visibilities,
and stronger and more numerous outer bands of showers and storms,
will pivot wwd across cntl NC through this evening, including into
the GSO and INT vicinity between 00Z-06Z.

Outlook: Florence will eventually arc swd across SC Sat and Sat
night, then lift nwd and newd through the Appalachians through early
next week. Breezy to windy conditions, periods of continued tropical
downpours, storms, and isolated tornadoes --and sub-VFR conditions--
will result, with improving conditions by Tue.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Hurricane Warning for NCZ078-089.
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday evening for NCZ021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ026>028-040>043-075>077-084>086-
088.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines/Franklin
NEAR TERM...Haines/Franklin
SHORT TERM...Blaes
LONG TERM...Badgett
AVIATION...MWS/Franklin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

NCZ021>025-038-039-073-074-083-151545-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-
Montgomery-Anson-
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ007>011-151545-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

It will become increasingly windy across the far northern counties
of central North Carolina as Hurricane Florence moves onshore. The
wind gusts will be strong enough to down a few large tree limbs.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Prolonged rain and wind Friday and Friday night will result in a few
downed trees, leading to sporadic power outages and isolated flash
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ026>028-041>043-077-078-151545-
Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Harnett-Wayne-
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 373 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ040-075-076-084>086-088-151545-
Chatham-Moore-Lee-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ089-151545-
Sampson-
1145 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 373 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1229 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW GOLDSBORO          35.40N 78.01W
09/14/2018  M4.20 INCH       WAYNE              NC   PARK/FOREST SRVC

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1237 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

NCZ028-141715-
Edgecombe NC-
1237 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT EDGECOMBE COUNTY UNTIL 115 PM
EDT...

At 1236 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower near
Robersonville, or 13 miles west of Williamston, moving west at 45
mph.

Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.

Locations impacted include...
Rocky Mount, Tarboro, Princeville, Sharpsburg, Speed, Leggett,
Kingsboro and Battleboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower; and this
shower may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations
and available television stations for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3586 7735 3583 7737 3583 7741 3584 7777
      3587 7783 3601 7777 3608 7773 3605 7753
      3604 7753 3604 7752 3603 7745 3600 7743
      3600 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1636Z 103DEG 40KT 3589 7730

26

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1240 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     TROPICAL STORM   2 SW FREMONT            35.53N 78.00W
09/14/2018                   WAYNE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES AT ROBERT PEEL AVE
            SOUTHWEST OF FREMONT.

&&

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1244 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW GOLDSBORO         35.38N 77.98W
09/14/2018                   WAYNE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING AT S.
            HERMAN ST. IN GOLDSBORO.

&&

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1247 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N GOLDSBORO           35.39N 77.98W
09/14/2018                   WAYNE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING AT N.
            HERMAN ST. AND ATLANTIC AVE. IN GOLDSBORO.

&&

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1252 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W GOLDSBORO           35.37N 78.00W
09/14/2018                   WAYNE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING AT OLIVIA
            LN. AND S. JOHN ST. IN GOLDSBORO.

&&

TDH