Severe Thunderstorm Warning 105, NWS Nashville, TN

447 
WWUS54 KOHX 272117
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
417 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

TNC021-043-272126-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0105.000000T0000Z-180627T2130Z/
Dickson TN-Cheatham TN-
417 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DICKSON AND SOUTH
CENTRAL CHEATHAM COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Nashville.

LAT...LON 3606 8740 3626 8740 3629 8705 3605 8705
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 269DEG 24KT 3616 8721 

$$

Shamburger

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
331 PM CDT Wed Jun 27 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Today started off active as an upper level trough associated with
the Great Lakes low helped form a complex of storms near and east
of Nashville around daybreak. That complex spread east through
the Upper Cumberland/Plateau the rest of the morning. That entire
area had at least 1.50 inches of rain (isolated totals much
greater) while early afternoon temps were suppressed down into
the upper 60s (!!) to lower 70s. Quite a deal for late June. New
storms...some causing reports of downed trees...formed in southern
KY by mid afternoon and were spreading across our northeast
counties at 20Z. These should exit our CWA by 22Z.

Looking west... a few other storms were developing by 20Z in our
northwest counties. Expect these to expand and intensify as they
move southeastward through areas that were south of this morning's
rains and therefore encounter an more unstable airmass. SPC Meso
page shows CAPEs exceeding 3000 J/Kg across the west and south
halves of the Midstate.

Should be a break in the storms this evening but additional
rounds/complexes of storms are possible late tonight into Thursday
thanks to a moist and unstable airmass along with northwesterly
upper level flow generated between the departing Great Lakes low
and the H5 ridge over the Southwest U.S. That H5 ridge will build
eastward toward TN later Thursday night and move across the state
on Friday, thus ending the northwest flow aloft. Higher heights
and thickness, rich moisture and increased insolation should make
Friday the most uncomfortable day in the short term. Heat indicies
should be mainly in the 102-105 range.

After Friday's slight decrease, POPs should trend a tad higher
Saturday and Sunday as the H5 ridge slides to our east. A warm
moist airmass will remain in place both days...with scattered
afternoon/evening storms and temps running a few degrees higher
than average.

Monday through Wednesday of next week looks a little warmer than
average with scattered afternoon and evening storms. Upper level
ridge axis will stretch from NM northeastward to PA, leaving TN on
the south side of that axis. This should produce light east or
northeasterly flow aloft. Models suggest extra moisture could be
provided by a westward-moving weakness on the south side of the
ridge...so POPs in the 30 to 50 percent range seem reasonable each
day.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Additional thunderstorms expected to develop near all airports
this afternoon with VCTS through 00Z. A break in activity is
anticipated this evening before more scattered showers or possibly
some thunderstorms affects the area tonight. VFR will be seen at
CKV/BNA/MQY through the period but CSV will have MVFR/IFR cigs/vis
at times this afternoon. Gusty southwest winds early in the TAFs
will become light after sunset.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  91  74  93  75 /  50  50  20  30  10
Clarksville    74  91  73  91  74 /  50  50  20  30  10
Crossville     70  85  70  87  70 /  60  50  20  30  20
Columbia       74  91  73  91  73 /  40  50  20  40  10
Lawrenceburg   73  91  72  91  73 /  40  50  20  40  20
Waverly        74  90  73  91  74 /  50  50  20  30  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......49
AVIATION........Shamburger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
814 AM CDT Wed Jun 27 2018

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-281130-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
814 AM CDT Wed Jun 27 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across
Middle Tennessee mainly this afternoon, then again late tonight.
The main concern with any strong to severe thunderstorms that do
develop will be strong to damaging winds. Minor flooding is also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
345 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0259 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N GAINESBORO            36.36N  85.65W
06/27/2018                   JACKSON            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE CITY OF GAINESBORO.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...COUNTY/STATE...LOCATION...FATALITIES...
INJURIES...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER OHX1800188

DAVIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
347 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

TNZ007-272115-
Robertson TN-
347 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ROBERTSON COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

At 347 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Guthrie, or 10 miles northwest of Springfield,
moving east at 30 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Greenbrier, Coopertown, Ridgetop, Cross Plains, Orlinda,
Adams and Cedar Hill.

LAT...LON 3660 8665 3636 8680 3650 8712 3652 8711
      3654 8712 3655 8712 3655 8714 3657 8713
      3661 8712 3662 8713 3664 8711 3665 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 289DEG 25KT 3657 8704

Shamburger

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
350 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RED BOILING SPRINGS     36.53N  85.85W
06/27/2018                   MACON              TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROADS FLOODED IN DOWNTOWN RED BOILING SPRINGS AROUND
            HWY 52 AND BENNETT HILL RD AND MCCLURE AND MAIN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1800190

DAVIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
355 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

TNZ025-026-272145-
Dickson TN-Cheatham TN-
355 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL DICKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN
CHEATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

At 355 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Dickson, moving east at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dickson, Ashland City, White Bluff, Kingston Springs, Pegram, Burns,
Charlotte and Vanleer.

LAT...LON 3623 8698 3614 8700 3609 8704 3604 8704
      3605 8705 3604 8706 3605 8718 3603 8719
      3607 8748 3625 8747 3626 8697
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 273DEG 26KT 3616 8739

Shamburger

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
401 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE GRIMSLEY          36.24N  84.92W
06/27/2018                   FENTRESS           TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN STANDING ROCK ROAD ALONG
            THE FENTRESS MORGAN COUNTY LINE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1800191

DAVIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
402 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

TNZ030>033-272130-
Putnam TN-Overton TN-Jackson TN-Smith TN-
402 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OVERTON...
SOUTHEASTERN SMITH...SOUTHERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 402 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong
thunderstorm producing dime size hail in Carthage, moving east at 25
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cookeville, Carthage, Gainesboro, Algood, Baxter, Gordonsville,
Hickman, South Carthage, Granville and Cummins Falls State Park.

LAT...LON 3608 8542 3615 8601 3634 8599 3635 8539
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 272DEG 20KT 3625 8591

Shamburger