River Flood Warning 6, NWS Mobile, AL

168 
WGUS84 KMOB 120308
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-121240-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180212T1240Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.180211T2317Z.180212T0200Z.180212T0640Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 12.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue overnight. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will rise to around 12.7 feet by midnight then fall below flood stage by 
  sunrise Monday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Residents downstream at Seminole Landing should remain alert to 
  possible flooding as the river remains above 12 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC023-025-129-130307-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180209T1131Z.180216T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.1 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-130307-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180210T0617Z.180216T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 26.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by early Tuesday morning then
  begin falling.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands occurs. Cattle in low 
  lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-130307-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.180212T0507Z-180213T1525Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0507Z.180212T1800Z.180213T0925Z.UU/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for the Blackwater River Near Baker
* From tonight until Tuesday morning.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 10.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise near 11.9 
  feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will then begin to fall below 
  flood stage by midnight Monday night.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around Baker to
  downstream of Baker begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-130307-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0004.180212T1048Z-180215T1800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.180212T1048Z.180213T0600Z.180215T1200Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From early tomorrow until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and is forecast to occur. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  11.3 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  noontime Thursday.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding becomes a threat to the Trevor Court and Rattlesnake 
  Bluff areas.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-130307-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180214T1200Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.180211T2210Z.180213T0000Z.180214T0600Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 18.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land near the river occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-130307-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180216T2100Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.180210T0815Z.180213T0600Z.180216T1500Z.NO/
908 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early Tuesday morning. The
  river will fall below flood stage  late Friday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues...with some roads in low lying 
  areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

221 
WGUS84 KMOB 121447
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
847 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-131447-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180213T2200Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180213T1600Z.UU/
847 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* At 12 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands will begin to subside.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

081 
WGUS84 KMOB 121913
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
113 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-131913-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0000Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180213T1800Z.UU/
113 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.4 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 9.5 feet...Kennedy and Peaden Bridges are flooded upstream.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around Baker to 
  downstream of Baker.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

986 
WGUS84 KMOB 130117
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and 
  Wilcox Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County. 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-131832-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180213T1832Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.180211T2317Z.180212T2330Z.180213T1232Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 13.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Residents downstream at Seminole Landing should be alert to 
  possible flooding while the river remains above 12 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC023-025-129-140117-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180209T1131Z.180217T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 33.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 34.4 feet by Friday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 29.0 feet...Pasture land along the river floods. Old Ferry road near
  the river remains floods

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-140117-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180210T0617Z.180217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 26.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-140117-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.180215T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.180215T1000Z.180217T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 40.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue to rise 
  near 44.2 feet by early Saturday morning.
* At 42.0 feet...Water begins to inundate the Eureka Landing community. Access 
  to the community becomes cut-off around 43 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-140000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0000Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180213T1800Z.UU/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around
  Baker to downstream of Baker occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-140117-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180216T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.180212T1145Z.180214T0600Z.180216T0600Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Friday morning.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet by early Wednesday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  early Friday morning.
* At 8.0 feet...Some flooding of low lying areas begins with some trailers near
  some flooding near the Okaloosa Correctional Institute beginning around 10.0 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-140117-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180215T0200Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.180211T2210Z.180213T0600Z.180214T2000Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Wednesday early afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of lowlands and agricultural land along the river begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-140117-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180217T1400Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.180210T0815Z.180213T1800Z.180217T0800Z.NO/
717 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Saturday morning.
* At 6 PM Monday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.8 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  early Saturday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying 
  areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

296 
WGUS84 KMOB 131527
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam - Tailwater affecting Clarke...Monroe and 
  Wilcox Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-140000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180214T0000Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.180211T2317Z.180212T2330Z.180213T1800Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor
* until this evening.
* At 9AM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Residents downstream at Seminole Landing should be alert to 
  possible flooding as the river rises to 12 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC023-025-129-141526-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180209T1131Z.180216T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 34.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 35.4 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-141526-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180210T0617Z.180215T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Tuesday the stage was 27.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.6 feet by Thursday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-141526-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.180214T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.180214T1800Z.180216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam - Tailwater
* From tomorrow early afternoon until further notice.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 41.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
  rise near 43.9 feet by Friday early afternoon.
* At 42.0 feet...Water begins to inundate the Eureka Landing community. Access 
  to the community becomes cut-off around 43 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-140000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0000Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180213T1800Z.UU/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until this evening.
* At 6PM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands will begin to subside.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-141526-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180217T0345Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.180212T1145Z.180215T0000Z.180216T2145Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Friday evening.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  Friday afternoon.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional 
  Insitute will subside as the river level falls below 10 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-141526-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180215T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.180211T2210Z.180213T0530Z.180214T1800Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 9AM Tuesday the stage was 19.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will continue until 
  water level drops below 18 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-141526-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180217T1400Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.180210T0815Z.180213T1500Z.180217T0800Z.NO/
927 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9AM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying 
  areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

848 
WGUS84 KMOB 131925
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
125 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-140210-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180214T0210Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.180211T2317Z.180212T2330Z.180213T2010Z.NO/
125 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor
* until this evening.
* At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 12.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 12 feet...Residents downstream at Seminole Landing should be alert to 
  possible flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-140600-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0600Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180214T0000Z.UU/
125 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until late tonight.
* At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this evening.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands around Baker.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-141924-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180217T0515Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.180212T1145Z.180214T1200Z.180216T2315Z.NO/
125 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Friday evening.
* At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 10 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* At 10 feet...Some flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional 
  Insitute will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

664 
WGUS84 KMOB 140109
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
709 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-140614-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0614Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180214T0014Z.UU/
709 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until late tonight.
* At 6 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this evening.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around 
  Baker to downstream of Baker.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

357 
WGUS84 KMOB 140554
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1154 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-140624-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180214T0614Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.180212T0622Z.180213T0000Z.180214T0022Z.UU/
1154 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Blackwater River Near Baker
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1147 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas and aviation
discussion below.

&&

.UPDATE...Weather maps today shows very little change in the
long-wave upper trof positioned over the central CONUS. East of
the trof axis, a look at high level stream lines, shows axis of
best diffluent flow and net deep layer ascent has shifted
gradually eastward across Alabama to the western Florida
Panhandle over the past 24 hrs. With little movement to the upper
trof to the west, presence of deep layer moisture over the
central Gulf coast and surface front still off to the west, an
unsettled weather pattern holds for the remainder of the day.
Quite a bit of rain has fallen over the past 24 hrs with the
coastal counties getting the bulk. Upwards of 2 to 4 inches of
rainfall was observed over Mobile County Alabama, eastward to
Santa Rosa County Florida. Over southern portions of Okaloosa
County in Florida, rainfall has been substantially higher with
several CoCoRaHS rainfall gauges reporting between 7 and 8 inches
of rain near Niceville, Florida. Considering these totals and the
potential of yet another 1 to 3 inches, possibly locally higher
amounts in a few areas, Flood Watch remains in effect over the
eastern half of zones from along and east of a Wilcox County to
Baldwin County Alabama line. Radar shows better defined shield of
rainfall and embedded storms also aligned over the southern
portions of the watch, extending out into the Gulf waters. Patchy
fog also noted on observations, mainly over the eastern zones and
will add this in for the remainder of the afternoon. The late
morning day 1 severe weather risk update from the Storm
Prediction Center shows the marginal risk being downgraded to a
general storm outlook for the remainder of the day. Still could be
a few strong storms with the main threat in any of these being
brief strong wind gusts. /10

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...Overall, a mix of IFR/MVFR vsby in fog and
IFR/LIFR cigs in the near term. Vsby could be reduced to LIFR
categories at times with the passage of shra. Light south flow
thru the afternoon. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 559 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018/

DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
11/12Z issuance...IFR CIGs and occasional IFR VISBYs in and near
heavier showers and thunderstorms this morning then more likely
prevailing MVFR by this afternoon. IFR conditions once again
tonight with low clouds and fog. Surface winds primarily southeast
to south through late this afternoon into early evening, but
shifting to the northwest by late evening as a cold front passes
through most of the area. 12/DS

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 456 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday night/...The large positive-tilt midlevel
trough over the western portion of the country that we have been
discussing will move to the central portion of the country
and become less amplified through tonight. This will help push a
surface cold frontal boundary that is currently approaching the
lower Mississippi River Valley into the Southeastern States today
and be extending from northeast Alabama to the Mississippi coast by
early this evening and then likely move to just east of our forecast
area by sunrise Monday morning. Out ahead of this surface front, a
moist southerly flow will continue to bring abundant moisture
into our region, with PWATS ranging from 1.5 inches west to 1.7
inches east across our forecast area. A series of mid level
shortwaves will move northeast across the region in the
southwesterly flow aloft, providing enhanced lift over the low level
focus of the frontal boundary. Thus expect likely to categorical
PoPs across the region today into this evening, with the higher
chances over the eastern portions of the forecast area. With the
abundant moisture in place, expect that the widespread showers and
thunderstorms will be very efficient rainfall producers. Over the
eastern portions of the forecast area where we expect the showers
and storms to be most numerous and to persist the longest today, 1.5
to 3 inches of rainfall is likely, with up to around 4 inches
possible. As such we have an elevated flood threat in that area,
and have issued a Flood Watch for the eastern half of our forecast
area today into early this evening, where we could see some flooding
issues, mainly in form of flooding of low lying and poor drainage
and as well as urban areas. Smaller creeks and streams will also be
susceptible to flooding. Isolated flash flooding is possible. Over
the western half of the forecast area we will still see some heavy
rainfall, although it should be diminishing earlier in the day. We
still maintain a limited flood threat for those areas, where
localized nuisance type flooding of low lying and poor drainage
areas, as well as urban areas, will be possible. As far as the
severe weather potential for today, risk appears slightly lower than
yesterday, as low level jet is expected to be weaker and with the
overnight convection diluting already meager instabilities. There
could be a few strong storms, especially near the coast this
morning, but only a marginal risk of severe storms through tonight.
Rains will be ending from west to east tonight, with most of the
remaining showers and storms east of I-65 and over the western
Florida panhandle by late tonight. Patchy fog early this morning and
again late tonight, especially near the coast. Mild temperatures
continue today and tonight, but cooling somewhat overnight over our
interior northwestern counties as those areas will be more firmly in
the cooler air behind the front by sunrise Monday. 12/DS

SHORT TERM /Monday Through Tuesday night/...
Surface front pushes through Alabama Monday morning with winds
shifting out of the north. Mid and upper level southwesterly flow
persists over the region throughout the day allowing for the
moist overhead air column to remain dominate. The maximum
precipitable water axis is shifted to the extreme east of our
forecast area. As such models are indicating a line of showers and
storms may still be over northwest Florida by day break however
most areas will only see overcast.

Surface high builds into the southeast overnight as the mid-level
flow becomes more zonal. The associated dry air shifts south into
southern Alabama Tuesday nullifying rain chances in northern
portions of the county for the day. Relatively clear skies could
allow for temperatures to reach well above normal into the mid 70s
which would in turn promote surface based CAPE values at or above
1000 J/kg in the afternoon. Therefore isolated thunderstorms could
be possible late in the afternoon along the coast. DJ/17

LONG TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/...
Low level ridge shifts east overnight into Wednesday allowing PWATS
to increase back into the 1.4-1.6 inch range across the forecast
area and winds to become more southerly. Though at the same time a
mid-level ridge over the gulf the shifts north providing ample
subsidence which may hamper convection Wednesday. Thursday sees a
similar story with the aforementioned ridge advecting in drier mid
level air over the Gulf Coast. Consequently Thursday could see
boarder line record highs in the afternoon.

A longwave trough axis over the Great Lakes promotes a strong a
cold front over the southern Ohio river valley. This front pushes
south towards the Gulf Coast as we head into the weekend along
which there could be some increased rain chances. However models
are still inconsistent in the long range on whether or not enough
moisture will be present along the front for realized showers.
DJ/17

MARINE...A light to moderate southerly flow continues through
Sunday night while a cold front slowly approaches the marine area
from the north. Widespread showers and storms, some strong
storms possible, expected today into this evening. Locally
higher winds and seas should be expected near the stronger storms.
Patchy fog is expected to persists over the bays and near shore
waters through Sunday. The front moves into the marine area on
Monday and stalls with winds becoming more easterly. The easterly
flow then prevails on Tuesday and becomes more southeasterly on
Wednesday into late week. 11/DS

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch until 9 PM CST this evening for ALZ054>060-262-264-
     266.

FL...Flood Watch until 9 PM CST this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
630 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121230-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
630 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a marginal risk of severe storms over the entire area
today. The threat is minimal, but a few stronger storms could
produce localized damaging wind gusts, especially from mid morning
through mid afternoon.

Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible today over the
entire area, especially for areas east of Interstate 65 in Alabama
and over the western Florida panhandle, where their is a Elevated
Threat of flooding with minor flooding of area rivers and isolated
flash flooding possible primarily along and southeast of Interstate
65. There is a Limited Threat of flooding threat elsewhere, with
localized nuisance type flooding will be possible.

Patchy fog early this morning and again redeveloping overnight
tonight, lowering visibility to between 1 and 3 miles. Fog could
make for hazardous driving conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-121230-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
630 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a marginal risk of severe storms over the entire area
today. The threat is minimal, but a few stronger storms could
produce localized damaging wind gusts, especially from mid morning
through mid afternoon.

Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible today over the
entire area, especially for areas east of Mobile Bay and into the
western Florida panhandle, where their is a Elevated Threat of
flooding with minor flooding of area rivers and isolated flash
flooding possible primarily along and southeast of Interstate 65.
There is a Limited Threat of flooding threat elsewhere, with
localized nuisance type flooding will be possible.

Patchy fog early this morning and again redeveloping overnight
tonight, lowering visibility to between 1 and 3 miles. Fog could
become locally dense in some areas near the coast with restrictions
to visibility lowering to a half mile or less, making for hazardous
driving conditions.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents along the Alabama and
northwest Florida Gulf beaches through tonight. Entering the water
could be hazardous due to rough surf and rip currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-121230-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
630 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Winds, waves and seas locally higher in and near the passage of
marine storms. Lightning activity enhanced in storms. Rain and areas
of fog, occasionally lowering visibility below 1 mile, possible
overnight over bays, sounds and near shore Gulf waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.