Alert archive / Florida / Wind Chill Advisories in 2018

Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

January 1, 20184 counties in Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 1, 2018, 2:24 PM EST for 4 counties in Florida. It took effect at Jan 1, 2018, 7:11 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2018, 2:24 PM EST (19:24 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 1, 2018, 7:11 PM EST
Expired
Jan 2, 2018, 9:00 AM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

474 
WWUS42 KMLB 011924
WSWMLB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
224 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

FLZ044-144-021400-
/O.NEW.KMLB.WC.Y.0001.180102T0800Z-180102T1400Z/
Northern Lake County-Southern Lake County-
Including the cities of Eustis, Mount Dora, Leesburg, Tavares, 
Clermont, Mascotte, and Groveland
224 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a Wind Chill
Advisory, which is in effect from 3 AM to 9 AM EST Tuesday. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...The combination with winds and colder
  temperatures will bring wind chill readings to 30 to 33 degrees
  by daybreak.

* OTHER IMPACTS...Cold temperatures will continue into mid day
  Tuesday with highs only climbing through the 40s. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. If you must venture
outdoors...make sure you wear a hat and gloves.

&&

$$
1 follow-up statement
508 
WWUS42 KMLB 020011
WSWMLB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
711 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

FLZ041-021400-
/O.EXB.KMLB.WC.Y.0001.180102T0011Z-180102T1400Z/
Inland Volusia County-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, and Deltona
711 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...The combination of gusty winds and colder temperatures
  will bring wind chill readings to 30 to 33 degrees.

* WHERE...Inland Volusia County County.

* WHEN...Now to 9 AM Tuesday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Make sure you dress
appropriately for the cold weather, including a coat, a hat and 
gloves.

$$

FLZ045-046-021400-
/O.EXB.KMLB.WC.Y.0001.180102T0500Z-180102T1400Z/
Orange-Seminole-
Including the cities of Apopka, Maitland, Orlando, Winter Park, 
Union Park, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Oviedo, Sanford, 
and Winter Springs
711 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...The combination of gusty winds and colder temperatures
  will bring wind chill readings to 30 to 33 degrees.

* WHERE...Orange and Seminole County.

* WHEN...Midnight to 9 AM Tuesday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Make sure you dress
appropriately for the cold weather, including a coat, a hat and 
gloves.

$$

FLZ044-144-021400-
/O.EXT.KMLB.WC.Y.0001.180102T0011Z-180102T1400Z/
Northern Lake County-Southern Lake County-
Including the cities of Eustis, Mount Dora, Leesburg, Tavares, 
Clermont, Mascotte, and Groveland
711 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...The combination of gusty winds and colder temperatures
  will bring wind chill readings to 25 to 33 degrees.

* WHERE...Northern Lake County and Southern Lake County County.

* WHEN...Now to 9 AM Tuesday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Make sure you dress
appropriately for the cold weather, including a coat, a hat and 
gloves.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 1, 9:05 AM EST, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 9:05 AM EST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
East Central Florida Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
905 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

.DISCUSSION...

...Colder than normal with a potential for freezing late in the
week...
...Very hazardous boating conditions through Wed...

Currently...Latest sfc map shows an advancing cold front is nearing
the Volusia/Lake Co borders with much colder air in the wake of the
feature poised to enter northernmost central Florida later this AM.
Areas of light pcpn are quickly moving across the I-4 corridor with
sct light to moderate pcpn quickly advancing towards the remainder
of the area from the gulf coast.

Today-Tonight...The cold front near our northern counties will slide
slowly southward through the area today.  A slug of quite high
moisture (precipitable water 1.4 to 1.5 inches) is still forecast to
advance eastward from the Gulf of Mexico across the south half of
the area just ahead of the front, where the GFS shows the highest
rainfall amounts. Rainfall this morning will be light with some
light to moderate showers possible during the aftn as the energetic
mid/upr feature passes ovhd and enters the Atlc later today.

Extensive cloud cover, rain cooling and cold advection working
southward will result in a raw day with high temps only near 50 in
the far north. Highs should reach the mid 60s in the south and
possibly near 70 in Martin county before the low clouds roll in and
precip commences. Temps are even shown falling slightly this
afternoon. Behind the front, north winds will pick up late in the
day to 15 to 20 mph and gusty. This will likely occur a little after
sunset along the Treasure Coast.

Low clouds will continue overnight and some light precip may linger
in the north as drier air advects in at the lowest levels. A
brisk northeast to north flow in the lower levels will bring a
chance of showers to the coast, with likely PoPs continuing along
the Treasure Coast. Low temps are shown having a rather large
range, from the mid 30s in the northwest to the mid-upper 50s
along the Treasure Coast. With northerly winds up to 10-15 mph
during the overnight hours, a wind chill advisory will be necessary
for portions of the north. Will evaluate ltst 12Z suite of guid
before determining counties in tonights advisory.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR ceilings are overspreading the area but as low level moistening
continues early this morning, these ceilings will lower and become
IFR conds over the north (I-4 and metro Orlando) will spread over
the remainder of the area into afternoon. The low ceilings will
linger into tonight, but should become MVFR northward from about ISM-
MCO-TIX. Gusty north winds 20-25 knots should kick in LEE-DAB by 18-
21z and towards 00z or after south of there.

&&

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...Cold front is forecast to sag into the northern
zones by late morning and reach the southern waters late today.
There has been little change with guidance, which shows 25-30 knot
north/northeast winds building down behind the boundary. Small Craft
Advisory incrementally goes into effect from N-S with a Gale Warning
starting at 21z north of Sebastian Inlet, and 02/03z south of
Sebastian.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this
     afternoon for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line
     0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60
     nm.

     Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Tuesday for
     Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
     Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
     Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
     Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM to 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
     Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this
     evening for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday for
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

JP/DWS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 5:17 AM EST, 9 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
517 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-020000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
517 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
Gusty north winds will kick in behind a cold front today and into
this evening. Wind gusts to 30 or 35 mph will be possible along
the Volusia county coast this afternoon and evening. Gusts 25 to
30 mph could also reach inland to the Interstate 4 corridor late this
afternoon and evening, as well as the Space and Treasure Coasts
this evening and overnight.

.EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
Wind chill values tonight are forecast to drop into the 30s near
and west of Interstate 4, with some upper 20s possible late. A
wind chill advisory may be necessary for some portions of that
area. Make sure to dress appropriately for these much colder than
normal conditions.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Gusty north winds building down the coast today will produce rough
surf and a strong longshore current by this afternoon along the
beaches of Volusia and Brevard counties. Strong rip currents are
also likely near piers, jetties and reefs. Only enter the surf
near a lifeguard.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Very hazardous boating conditions will develop behind a cold front
that moves south into the Volusia coastal waters by late this
morning and reaches the Treasure Coast waters this evening. Small
Craft Advisories will go into effect late this morning and during
the afternoon, then become Gale Warnings over all of the waters
late this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
Hazardous beach and boating conditions will continue through mid
week due to an extended period of gusty northeast to north winds.
Large breaking waves and higher than normal astronomical tides
could lead to minor beach erosion.

There is also a potential for freezing temperatures late in the
week due to a strengthening low pressure center offshore that
will lift northeast and pull very cold air down into central
Florida.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

Lascody

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 1, 2:15 PM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
215 PM EST MON JAN 01 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E HAULOVER CANAL      28.74N 80.70W
01/01/2018  M46.00 MPH       Brevard            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            US AIR FORCE WIND TOWER 0019 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            40KT / 46MPH FROM THE NORTH.

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE HAULOVER CANAL    28.80N 80.74W
01/01/2018  M43.00 MPH       Volusia            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            US AIR FORCE WIND TOWER 0022 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            37KT / 43MPH FROM THE NORTH.

0200 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW PLAYALINDA BEACH   28.63N 80.66W
01/01/2018  M39.00 MPH       Brevard            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            US AIR FORCE WIND TOWER 3132 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            34KT / 39MPH FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST.

&&

KR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 4:23 AM ESTGale WarningMLB36 hr
Jan 1, 4:23 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryMLB15 hr
Jan 1, 4:33 AM ESTBeach Hazards StatementMLBVolusia11 hr
Jan 1, 2:32 PM ESTHigh Surf AdvisoryMLBVolusia61 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in Florida, 2018Every wind chill advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.